Author: Admin

  • Delaware Declares State of Emergency and Activates Emergency Operations Center Ahead of Major Winter Storm

    Delaware Declares State of Emergency and Activates Emergency Operations Center Ahead of Major Winter Storm

    The State of Delaware has declared a State of Emergency as a powerful winter storm approaches the region, mobilizing state and local agencies to prepare for potentially hazardous conditions. In response, the Delaware Emergency Management Agency (DEMA) has activated the Emergency Operations Center (EOC) to coordinate preparations and response efforts across the state.

    Governor Matt Meyer emphasized the importance of readiness as this system moves in, saying that Delawareans should feel secure and well supported as severe winter weather conditions develop.

    What the Declaration Means

    A State of Emergency gives state leaders the authority to streamline decision-making and resource deployment, improve coordination with local governments and emergency responders, and position personnel and equipment strategically ahead of the storm. The EOC activation brings key agencies together to share data, track impacts in real time, and ensure rapid communication on public safety actions.

    Expected Weather and Conditions

    Forecasters are tracking a strong winter system expected to bring heavy snow, a wintry mix, and significant icing across much of Delaware. Snow totals could reach near a foot in some areas, with the exact amounts depending on storm track and temperature changes. After the storm’s passage, temperatures are projected to plunge into the teens and low 20s, increasing the risk of slick conditions and prolonged cold.

    This system is part of a larger winter storm affecting the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast, with similar emergency declarations and warnings issued in neighboring states as snow and ice threaten travel and infrastructure.

    Preparedness Actions Urged for Residents

    Officials are urging Delaware residents to take proactive steps now to prepare for potential disruptions:

    • Stock up on essential supplies like non-perishable food, water, prescription medicines, and pet needs.
    • Prepare your home for extended cold by checking heating systems, weatherproofing doors and windows, and ensuring fuel supplies are adequate.
    • Assemble emergency kits for vehicles and households with flashlights, batteries, blankets, first-aid kits, and a battery-powered weather radio.
    • Avoid nonessential travel when conditions worsen. If travel is necessary, leave extra time, go slowly, and carry emergency gear in your vehicle.

    DEMA also reminds residents to dress appropriately outdoors in layers and take measures to prevent cold-related health issues like hypothermia and frostbite.

    What to Watch For

    Officials warn that travel could become dangerous or impossible at times during the storm, particularly on Sunday and into early next week. Power outages and hazardous road conditions are possible, especially where heavier snow and ice accumulate.

    State and local partners will continue monitoring conditions, issuing updates through emergency alerts, social media, and official channels. Residents should stay tuned to local forecasts and guidance from DEMA, the National Weather Service, and transportation authorities.

  • Winter Storm Warning Now In Effect 7 PM Sat Through 1 PM Mon

    Winter Storm Warning Now In Effect 7 PM Sat Through 1 PM Mon

    ..WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO 1 PM EST 
    MONDAY...

    * WHAT...Heavy snow and mixed precipitation expected. Total snow
    accumulations between 8 and 12 inches and ice accumulations around
    three tenths of an inch.

    * WHERE...Portions of central and northern Delaware, northeast
    Maryland, southern New Jersey, and southeast Pennsylvania.

    * WHEN...From 7 PM Saturday to 1 PM EST Monday.

    * IMPACTS...Significant ice accumulation on power lines and tree
    limbs may cause widespread and long-lasting power outages. Power
    outages and tree damage are likely due to the ice. Travel could be
    nearly impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the
    Monday morning commute.

    PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

    If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
    your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for
    the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.
    ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO 7 AM EST 
    MONDAY...
    
    * WHAT...Heavy snow with mixed precipitation expected. Total snow 
      accumulations between 6 and 10 inches and ice accumulations around 
      one tenth of an inch. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.
    
    * WHERE...Portions of southern Delaware and southern New Jersey.
    
    * WHEN...From 7 PM Saturday to 7 AM EST Monday.
    
    * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions 
      could impact the Monday morning commute.
    
    PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
    
    If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in 
    your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for 
    the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.
    
  • Cold Weather Advisory in Effect Tonight for the Delmarva Region

    Cold Weather Advisory in Effect Tonight for the Delmarva Region

    A Cold Weather Advisory is in effect tonight across the Delmarva Peninsula as a dangerous surge of arctic air settles into the region. Mostly clear skies combined with strong winds will allow temperatures to fall rapidly after sunset, creating life-threatening cold conditions overnight into early Saturday morning.

    Overnight lows are expected to range between 6 and 12 degrees, but north winds of 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph will dramatically increase the cold impact. As a result, wind chill values are expected to fall below zero across much of Delmarva, with several locations dropping into the -5 to -10 degree range by the pre-dawn hours.

    The coldest wind chills are expected across interior sections of the peninsula, while coastal areas will still experience bitter conditions despite some marine influence. These wind chills can cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes, especially with prolonged exposure.

    Residents are urged to limit time outdoors, dress in multiple layers including hats and gloves, and ensure pets are brought indoors. Exposed pipes should be protected, and those relying on supplemental heating should use it safely. Power outages are not expected to be widespread, but strong gusts could lead to isolated issues.

    Conditions will slowly improve after sunrise Saturday, though temperatures will remain well below normal, and cold weather precautions will remain necessary throughout the day.

    Stay weather aware and prepared for hazardous cold conditions across the Delmarva region tonight.

  • Major Winter Storm Arriving Tomorrow Night Through Monday; Latest Forecast Update

    Major Winter Storm Arriving Tomorrow Night Through Monday; Latest Forecast Update

    A complex and potentially high-impact winter storm is expected to affect the Mid-Atlantic this weekend, bringing a combination of snow, sleet, and freezing rain from Saturday into Monday. While confidence is increasing that much of the region will be impacted, significant uncertainty remains regarding exact precipitation types and totals due to a difficult forecast setup involving strong warm air advection overriding very cold surface temperatures.

    This setup raises the risk for not only accumulating snow, but also dangerous icing, particularly across parts of Maryland, Delaware, New Jersey, and the Delmarva Peninsula.

    Snowfall Forecast Overview

    The heaviest snowfall is expected across northern and western portions of the region, where colder air is more firmly established.

    Across northern Maryland, including areas such as Frederick, Westminster, Bel Air, Baltimore, and Wilmington, snowfall totals of 8 to 12 inches are possible by the time the storm concludes.

    Farther south and east, including Washington, Annapolis, Easton, Dover, and much of central Maryland and Delaware, snow totals are expected to range between 5 and 10 inches. Snowfall amounts begin to decrease closer to the coast as warmer air aloft works into the region.

    Along the immediate coast and across portions of southern Delmarva, including Salisbury, Ocean City, and Pocomoke City, snowfall totals are forecast to range from 4 to 8 inches, with lower amounts of 3 to 6 inches possible for coastal Virginia locations such as Chincoteague, Exmore, and Cape Charles.

    Significant Ice Threat Also Expected

    In addition to snow, portions of the Mid-Atlantic face a serious icing risk due to periods of freezing rain and sleet.

    Areas shaded in darker purple on the ice forecast indicate significant icing, where ice accretion of one quarter inch or greater is possible, along with 1 to 3 inches of sleet. This includes parts of central Maryland, the western shore of the Chesapeake Bay, and portions of interior Delaware.

    Surrounding areas shown in lighter pink could still see impactful icing, with less than one quarter inch of ice accumulation and 1 to 2 inches of sleet possible. Even lighter ice amounts can cause hazardous travel, downed tree limbs, and isolated power outages.

    Why This Forecast Is So Difficult

    This storm is particularly challenging to forecast due to strong warm air advection aloft, which allows warmer air to surge over top of a shallow layer of arctic air locked in at the surface. This creates a narrow and highly sensitive transition zone between snow, sleet, and freezing rain.

    Small changes in temperature, storm track, or precipitation intensity could lead to sharp gradients in impacts over short distances. As a result, precipitation types and totals may vary significantly from one location to another, even within the same county.

    Travel and Infrastructure Impacts

    The combination of heavy snow and ice could lead to dangerous travel conditions throughout the weekend. Roads may quickly become snow covered or ice glazed, especially during periods of freezing rain. Ice accumulation also increases the risk of downed trees and power lines, which could result in scattered power outages.

    Residents should be prepared for rapidly changing conditions and possible travel disruptions.

    How to Prepare

    Residents across the Mid-Atlantic are urged to take preparation steps now, ahead of the storm:

    • Avoid unnecessary travel during the height of the storm.
    • Keep an emergency kit ready with flashlights, batteries, food, water, and medications.
    • Charge electronic devices ahead of time in case of power outages.
    • Check on elderly neighbors and those with limited mobility.
    • If you must travel, keep a winter survival kit in your vehicle including blankets, food, and a fully charged phone.
    • Monitor the latest forecasts and updates, as adjustments to snow and ice totals are likely.

    Bottom Line

    This weekend’s winter storm has the potential to bring heavy snow, significant icing, and hazardous travel conditions across much of the Mid-Atlantic. While confidence is high that the region will be impacted, the exact nature of those impacts remains uncertain due to the complex interaction between warm air aloft and very cold surface temperatures.

    Residents are encouraged to stay weather aware and prepared as the forecast continues to evolve over the coming days.

  • Cold Weather Advisory In Effect For Friday Night Across Delmarva

    Cold Weather Advisory In Effect For Friday Night Across Delmarva

    …COLD WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT TO 10
    AM EST SATURDAY…

    * WHAT…Very cold wind chills as low as 8 below expected.

    * WHERE…Portions of central, northern, and southern Delaware,
    northeast Maryland, central, northern, and southern New Jersey,
    and southeast Pennsylvania.

    * WHEN…From midnight Friday Night to 10 AM EST Saturday.

    * IMPACTS…The cold wind chills as low as 8 below zero could result
    in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. Frostbite and
    hypothermia will occur if unprotected skin is exposed to these
    temperatures. Wind chill values can lead to hypothermia with
    prolonged exposure.

    PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

    Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a
    hat, and gloves.

    Keep pets indoors as much as possible.

  • Major Winter Storm Expected This Weekend with Heavy Snow and Icing Concerns

    Major Winter Storm Expected This Weekend with Heavy Snow and Icing Concerns

    A significant winter storm is expected to impact the Mid-Atlantic this weekend, beginning late Saturday and continuing through Monday. The storm is forecast to bring a wide range of winter weather impacts across the region, including heavy snowfall, mixed precipitation, and areas of freezing rain, particularly across Delmarva and southern portions of Maryland and New Jersey.

    Snowfall Outlook

    The heaviest snowfall is expected across northern and western portions of the region. Much of northern Maryland, including areas such as Frederick, Westminster, Baltimore, Bel Air, and Gaithersburg, along with northern Delaware and southern New Jersey, could see widespread snowfall totals of 12 to 18 inches. Wilmington, Vineland, and surrounding communities also fall within this higher-impact zone.

    Snow totals decrease moving south and east toward the Chesapeake Bay and coastal plain. Central Maryland locations such as Annapolis and Chestertown are forecast to receive 8 to 14 inches of snow. Areas farther south, including Easton, Cambridge, La Plata, and Lexington Park, are currently forecast to receive 6 to 12 inches.

    Across southern Delmarva and the lower Eastern Shore, snowfall amounts are expected to be lower due to warmer air and a greater risk of mixing. Salisbury is forecast to receive 5 to 10 inches, while Ocean City, Pocomoke City, Chincoteague, Exmore, and Cape Charles are expected to see between 3 and 6 inches of snow.

    Ice and Mixed Precipitation Concerns

    In addition to snowfall, icing is a major concern for parts of the region. A corridor of significant icing is possible across southern and central Delmarva, including areas such as Georgetown, Salisbury, Ocean City, Pocomoke City, Chincoteague, and Cape Charles. These areas could experience up to a quarter inch of freezing rain, along with the potential for sleet accumulations exceeding one half inch. This could lead to hazardous travel conditions and the potential for power outages.

    Farther north, including parts of northern Maryland, northern Delaware, and southern New Jersey, lighter icing is possible. These areas may see up to a tenth of an inch of freezing rain, along with periods of sleet, mainly during transitions between snow and rain.

    Impacts and Timing

    Travel conditions are expected to deteriorate rapidly late Saturday night as precipitation overspreads the region. The most significant impacts are likely to occur Sunday into early Monday, when snowfall rates may become heavy at times and icing issues increase across southern areas. The combination of heavy snow, ice accumulation, and gusty winds could lead to dangerous road conditions and scattered power outages.

    Weather First will continue to monitor this evolving storm closely. While confidence is increasing in a high-impact winter weather event, exact snow and ice totals may still shift depending on the storm track and temperature profile.

    Residents are urged to prepare now, review travel plans, and stay tuned for forecast updates as the weekend approaches.

  • Extreme Cold Poised to Grip the Mid-Atlantic as Arctic Air Expands East

    Extreme Cold Poised to Grip the Mid-Atlantic as Arctic Air Expands East

    A dangerous surge of Arctic air is expected to spread across the Mid-Atlantic region late this week and persist into early February, bringing some of the coldest conditions of the winter season so far. Forecast confidence continues to increase that this will be a prolonged and impactful cold stretch rather than a brief cold snap.

    An Arctic front is forecast to move through the region this weekend, allowing frigid air to pour southward into Maryland, Delaware, Virginia, and surrounding areas. Temperatures are expected to fall sharply behind the front, with daytime highs struggling well below normal and overnight lows dropping into the teens and single digits in many locations. Some inland and higher elevation areas may fall even colder.

    Strong winds accompanying the Arctic air will significantly worsen conditions by driving wind chills into dangerous territory. Wind chill values are expected to drop below zero at times across parts of the Mid-Atlantic, especially overnight and during the early morning hours. These conditions can lead to frostbite on exposed skin in a short amount of time and increase the risk of hypothermia for anyone spending extended periods outdoors.

    The cold is expected to linger well beyond the weekend. Forecast trends indicate much below normal temperatures continuing through the end of January and into early February, with a heightened risk of hazardous cold conditions returning in waves. This suggests limited opportunities for meaningful warmups during this period.

    The prolonged nature of the cold raises concerns for frozen pipes, increased energy demand, and stress on infrastructure. Any power outages that occur during this time could quickly become dangerous due to the sustained cold. Pets, livestock, and outdoor plumbing will need protection as temperatures remain well below seasonal averages.

    Residents across the Mid-Atlantic should prepare now for an extended stretch of winter cold. Cold weather safety precautions are strongly encouraged, including limiting time outdoors, dressing in layers, protecting exposed skin, and ensuring adequate heating is available.

    Additional updates will be provided as the timing and severity of the cold become more refined.

  • Impactful Winter Storm This Weekend Becoming Likely For Delmarva

    Impactful Winter Storm This Weekend Becoming Likely For Delmarva

    Confidence continues to grow that a significant winter storm will impact much of the Mid Atlantic, including the Delmarva Peninsula, beginning Saturday night and potentially lasting into Monday. While there is still uncertainty regarding the exact track and where the heaviest snowfall sets up, the overall signal for a high impact event continues to strengthen.

    A developing area of low pressure is expected to organize near the Texas Gulf Coast on Saturday. This system will be fueled by several pieces of upper level energy diving south into the base of a persistent long wave trough dominating much of the continental United States. As these upper level disturbances interact and begin to phase Saturday night into Sunday, surface low pressure is expected to deepen while tracking east through the southeastern states and then turning north and east toward the Virginia coastline by late Sunday.

    Forecast guidance has continued to trend northward with the track of the low, largely due to improved phasing of the upper level energy. While this trend increases confidence that the storm will affect the region, it also introduces uncertainty regarding snowfall totals and precipitation type, particularly for southern and coastal locations.

    At this time, confidence is high that much of the region will see moderate to heavy snowfall. Probabilities for six inches or more of snow have increased significantly, ranging from around 60 percent in the southern Poconos to as high as 80 to 90 percent near and south of the I 95 urban corridor. Many areas also have the potential to receive over one inch of liquid equivalent precipitation, which supports the potential for impactful snow totals.

    Snow is expected to break out across the region late Saturday night into Sunday morning. Temperatures will be cold enough at the onset for all snow, with overnight lows dropping into the single digits across northern areas and into the teens to near 20 degrees across Delmarva. These cold temperatures should initially support efficient snow accumulation.

    Snow is likely to continue through the day Sunday and may fall heavy at times, especially as northeast winds increase, particularly along the coast. Late Sunday into Sunday night, there is the potential for some mixing across southern portions of the region, including Delmarva and parts of southern New Jersey, and possibly as far north as the Philadelphia area if the low tracks close enough to the coast. Given the strength of the arctic high pressure to the north and the entrenched cold air mass, plain rain appears less likely. Any mixing would more likely involve sleet or freezing rain rather than a full changeover to rain.

    If mixing does occur, a return to all snow is expected later Sunday night into early Monday as colder air reasserts itself and the system begins to pull away. Precipitation should gradually taper off across the region during the day Monday.

    While confidence has increased that this will be a significant winter storm, uncertainty remains regarding where the heaviest snowfall ultimately falls. Just 24 hours ago, the primary concern was whether the storm would pass far enough south to largely miss the area. Now, the focus has shifted to whether the track becomes far enough north to introduce mixing for southern and coastal locations.

    As is often the case with large winter storms, the corridor of heaviest snowfall is typically narrow, sometimes only 100 miles wide. Areas southeast of this axis may experience more mixing or lower snow totals, while areas northwest may see lighter precipitation. Because of this, it will likely take another one to two forecast cycles to better resolve where any potential blockbuster snowfall sets up within the region.

    Residents across Delmarva and the surrounding Mid Atlantic should closely monitor forecast updates over the coming days, as even small shifts in the storm track could have a significant impact on snowfall totals and overall impacts.

  • Growing Threat of Significant Winter Storm for Delmarva This Weekend

    Growing Threat of Significant Winter Storm for Delmarva This Weekend

    Forecast confidence is increasing that a potentially impactful winter storm could affect the Delmarva region late Saturday through Sunday, though important details regarding track and snowfall amounts remain uncertain at this time.

    Weather patterns aloft are becoming increasingly active as we head toward the weekend, with interactions expected between northern and southern jet stream systems. The energy driving this setup is currently located over the Arctic and the Pacific Ocean, meaning it will take several more days for forecasts to fully resolve how this system evolves. Even so, most forecast guidance now consistently shows an area of low pressure developing near Texas on Friday before moving east along the Gulf Coast into Saturday.

    As the system approaches the East Coast, guidance generally favors the low tracking northeast toward the North Carolina coast before moving offshore late Sunday into early Monday. This type of track would place Delmarva on the colder, northern side of the storm, increasing the potential for winter weather impacts across the region. A key question remains how close the storm tracks to the coastline, as even small shifts could have a major influence on snowfall totals.

    A strong arctic high pressure system will be positioned to the north, supplying cold air into the Mid Atlantic. Earlier forecast guidance suggested this high might suppress the storm farther south, limiting impacts locally. However, trends over the past 12 to 24 hours show the storm track edging farther north, increasing the likelihood that precipitation spreads into Delmarva.

    Snow probabilities have responded accordingly. Current guidance now indicates a 75 to 95 percent chance of at least 2 inches of snow and a 70 to 85 percent chance of 6 inches or more for areas along and south of the Interstate 95 corridor, with probabilities decreasing farther north.

    Even more impressive with NBM blends of >12 inches of snow are between 50-60% as of this morning. These numbers are notably higher than those from previous forecast cycles and point toward a growing signal for a meaningful winter weather event.

    If this storm materializes, snowfall could begin late Saturday and continue through Sunday, with the potential for lingering impacts into Monday depending on how quickly the system moves away. While confidence in exact snowfall totals remains low, the overall signal for a winter storm affecting at least part of Delmarva is stronger than typically seen at this lead time.

    It is important to note that East Coast winter storms often produce narrow bands of heavy snow, sometimes only 50 to 100 miles wide. With the storm’s key ingredients still thousands of miles away, it is far too early to determine which specific locations will see the highest accumulations. Residents across Delmarva should continue to monitor forecast updates closely over the coming days as details become clearer.

  • Major January Winter Storm Possible to Bring Heavy Snow and Dangerous Ice This Weekend

    Major January Winter Storm Possible to Bring Heavy Snow and Dangerous Ice This Weekend

    Confidence continues to increase in the development of a significant winter storm that is expected to impact a large portion of the central and eastern United States beginning Friday and continuing through the weekend. This system has the potential to produce a wide swath of heavy snow and dangerous ice, leading to hazardous travel and possible infrastructure impacts.

    Current forecast trends indicate this storm will track from the Great Plains toward the East Coast, strengthening as it moves east. Areas north of the storm track are expected to see periods of heavy snow, while locations along and just south of the track face a heightened risk for freezing rain and sleet.

    Heavy snow is likely across portions of the central Plains, Ohio Valley, and into parts of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. Snowfall rates could become intense at times, resulting in rapidly deteriorating road conditions, reduced visibility, and significant travel disruptions. Snow-covered roads and difficult driving conditions are expected where the heaviest bands develop.

    South of the snow zone, dangerous ice accumulation is becoming increasingly likely. A wintry mix of freezing rain and sleet may create treacherous conditions, especially on untreated surfaces. Ice accretion raises concerns for downed trees and power outages, particularly in areas that experience prolonged freezing rain.

    There is a growing signal for at least moderate winter storm impacts from Friday through Sunday. These impacts include hazardous travel, disruptions to daily routines, and possible damage to infrastructure. The combination of snow, ice, and cold temperatures could make conditions especially dangerous during peak travel periods.

    While confidence in a high-impact winter storm is increasing, some uncertainty remains regarding the exact track and timing. Small shifts in the storm’s path could significantly change where the heaviest snow and ice set up. Forecast details will continue to be refined as the system approaches.

    Residents across the affected regions should begin preparing now for potentially dangerous winter weather conditions this weekend. Additional updates will be issued as confidence continues to improve and impacts become clearer.

  • Severe Solar Radiation Storm (S4) Underway Following Powerful X-Class Solar Flare

    Severe Solar Radiation Storm (S4) Underway Following Powerful X-Class Solar Flare

    This is the largest solar radiation storm in over 20 years. The last time S4 levels were observed was in October, 2003

    Space weather officials confirm the Earth is now experiencing an S4 (Severe) solar radiation storm, a significant escalation in space weather conditions triggered by a powerful X2-class solar flare that erupted from the Sun roughly 48 hours ago. The delayed arrival of high-energy solar particles is consistent with this type of event and marks a period of increased risk for aviation, satellite operations, and space-based technology.

    According to the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center, S4 radiation storms are among the strongest levels on the solar radiation scale and occur when energetic protons accelerated by a solar flare and associated shock wave reach Earth.

    What Is an S4 Solar Radiation Storm?

    Solar radiation storms are classified from S1 (Minor) to S5 (Extreme) and are driven by high-energy particles, primarily protons, traveling outward from the Sun at near-relativistic speeds. An S4 storm indicates severe radiation levels in near-Earth space, capable of producing real-world impacts beyond just auroras.

    While geomagnetic storms mainly affect Earth’s magnetic field, radiation storms directly impact satellites, aircraft at high altitudes, and astronauts.

    Hazards and Potential Impacts

    During an S4 radiation storm, several hazards become more likely:

    Aviation Impacts

    • Flights on polar and high-latitude routes may be forced to reroute to lower latitudes
    • High-frequency (HF) radio communication used by transpolar flights can become unreliable or unavailable
    • Increased radiation exposure for flight crews and passengers on long-haul polar flights

    Satellite and Space Systems

    • Elevated radiation levels can cause single-event upsets, memory errors, or temporary malfunctions in satellites
    • Increased drag and sensor noise may degrade satellite performance
    • Some spacecraft operators may place satellites into protective safe modes

    Astronaut Safety

    • Astronauts aboard the International Space Station may take protective measures, including moving to more shielded areas
    • Spacewalks are typically postponed during severe radiation events

    Radio and Navigation Disruptions

    • HF radio blackouts are possible, especially over polar regions
    • GPS accuracy may be reduced due to increased ionospheric disturbance

    What This Means for the Public

    For most people on the ground, direct impacts remain limited, and radiation levels at Earth’s surface remain safe. However, this storm underscores the heightened level of solar activity currently underway and why space weather is closely monitored.

    Looking Ahead

    Radiation storms can persist for several days, depending on how long elevated particle flux continues. Additional flares from the same active solar region could prolong impacts or intensify conditions further.

    Forecasters continue to monitor solar activity closely, as strong radiation storms often occur alongside or shortly before geomagnetic storm conditions, which could increase the chance for auroras at lower latitudes in the coming days.

  • Bitter Cold Pattern Taking Shape Across the Eastern U.S. Over the Next Two Weeks

    Bitter Cold Pattern Taking Shape Across the Eastern U.S. Over the Next Two Weeks

    A prolonged stretch of colder than normal temperatures is becoming increasingly likely across much of the eastern United States as we move deeper into late January. The latest temperature outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center show a strong and persistent signal for below average temperatures developing during both the 6–10 day and 8–14 day forecast periods.

    The 6–10 day outlook highlights a broad area of colder than normal conditions expanding from the Midwest into the Ohio Valley, Mid-Atlantic, and Northeast. The highest confidence for below normal temperatures is centered over the Great Lakes and interior Northeast, where probabilities strongly favor temperatures well below seasonal averages. This colder air mass is expected to gradually spread eastward and southward as the pattern evolves.

    By the 8–14 day timeframe, the cold signal strengthens and becomes more entrenched across the eastern half of the country. Much of the Mid-Atlantic, Southeast, and Northeast show a high likelihood of sustained below normal temperatures, indicating that this will not be a brief cold snap. Instead, forecast guidance suggests repeated intrusions of Arctic air reinforcing the cold pattern well into early February.

    Meteorologically, this setup is driven by a strong ridge of high pressure over the western United States and a deep trough anchored across the eastern U.S. This configuration allows cold air from Canada to repeatedly spill southward, keeping temperatures suppressed for an extended period. While the western U.S. remains warmer than average under the ridge, the eastern states remain locked in a colder regime.

    For residents across the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast, this pattern could bring multiple days of daytime highs running well below normal, along with colder overnight lows. The persistence of the cold also raises the potential for increased energy demand, frozen pipes, and heightened vulnerability for those without adequate heating. Any storm systems that develop during this period would also need to be closely monitored, as the presence of cold air could support winter weather threats.

    Forecast confidence is increasing that this cold stretch will be one of the more significant and long-lasting cold periods of the season for the eastern United States. Residents are encouraged to prepare for prolonged winter conditions and stay updated as forecasts are refined in the coming days.

  • Severe Geomagnetic Storm (G4) Could Bring Northern Lights to Delmarva Tonight

    Severe Geomagnetic Storm (G4) Could Bring Northern Lights to Delmarva Tonight

    A strong solar flare, classified as an X1.9 event, erupted from the Sun on January 18, 2026, peaking around 18:09 UTC, according to the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center. This flare originated from Active Region 3431, a magnetically complex sunspot group currently facing Earth.

    Space weather forecasters are tracking a G4 (Severe) geomagnetic storm affecting Earth’s magnetic environment tonight, raising the possibility of rare auroral displays visible across mid-Atlantic skies, including the Delmarva region.

    What Is a G4 Magnetic Storm?

    A geomagnetic storm occurs when charged particles from the Sun, often launched by a solar flare or coronal mass ejection (CME), slam into Earth’s magnetosphere and disturb its magnetic field. The intensity of these storms is measured on the NOAA Space Weather Scale from G1 (minor) to G5 (extreme). A G4 storm represents severe levels of geomagnetic activity, indicating strong magnetic fluctuations and a heightened potential for vivid auroras at unusually low latitudes.

    During a G4 event:

    • Particles from the Sun funnel into the upper atmosphere near the poles and excite atoms like oxygen and nitrogen, creating luminous curtains of light known as the aurora borealis.
    • The auroral zone expands, sometimes far south of its normal range, allowing observers in mid-latitude regions (including the Mid-Atlantic) to see lights typically confined to far northern skies.

    Geomagnetic storms at this level can also affect radio communications, GPS accuracy, and in rare cases electric power systems, though modern grids are usually resilient.

    Aurora Potential Tonight for Delmarva

    Forecasters monitoring the aurora forecast models say the current geomagnetic activity could push the auroral oval southward toward the mid-Atlantic. Under G4 conditions, auroras have in the past been reported as far south as the southeastern United States, with some displays reaching states like Florida and Alabama during strong storms.

    For observers in Delaware and the broader Delmarva region, this means:

    • Timing: The best chances for sightings are typically after local sunset through the late evening and into the early morning hours. Auroras are most visible when the sky is fully dark.
    • Colors & Forms: If visible, the lights may appear as greenish glows or shimmering curtains, occasionally with hints of red or pink at the edges, depending on atmospheric conditions and storm strength.
    • Visibility Factors: Clear skies and low light pollution will improve viewing prospects. Urban lighting and cloud cover can wash out faint auroral activity.

    This level of geomagnetic storming is rare for mid-latitude regions like the Mid-Atlantic, and any display would be an unusual and noteworthy event for skywatchers in the area.

  • Winter Weather Advisory In Effect For Sunday

    Winter Weather Advisory In Effect For Sunday

    ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM EST
    SUNDAY...
    
    * WHAT...Wet snow expected. Total snow accumulations up to two
      inches.
    
    * WHERE...Dorchester, Inland Worcester, the Maryland Beaches,
      Somerset, and Wicomico Counties.
    
    * WHEN...From 10 AM to 10 PM EST Sunday.
    
    * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions.
    
    * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The advisory may need to be expanded
      southward with future updates if the snow forecast continues to
      trend upward.
    
    PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
    
    Slow down and use caution while traveling. Call 511 for road
    information.

  • Dangerous Arctic Cold Targets Delmarva Early Next Week

    Dangerous Arctic Cold Targets Delmarva Early Next Week

    A prolonged stretch of below normal temperatures is expected to grip the Delmarva region beginning Sunday and lasting through the middle of next week, with the most dangerous cold arriving Monday night into Tuesday.

    A deep upper level trough will settle over the eastern United States, allowing an arctic air mass to surge southward into the Mid Atlantic. At the surface, strong high pressure will dominate the region, keeping conditions dry but doing little to prevent temperatures from falling sharply.

    Cold air will steadily build into the region starting Sunday, with daytime temperatures remaining well below average through at least Wednesday. The core of the arctic air mass is expected to be centered over Delmarva Monday night through Tuesday night, when the cold will be at its most intense.

    During this time, overnight wind chill values are expected to fall into the single digits and potentially below zero, especially during the overnight and early morning hours. Current indications suggest Monday night will be the coldest period, with slightly less extreme conditions expected Tuesday night.

    Daytime temperatures on Tuesday are also trending colder, with highs forecast to struggle into the upper teens to low 20s across much of Delmarva. These values are well below normal for mid January and could pose risks to anyone spending extended time outdoors.

    Given the severity of the cold, cold weather advisories or warnings may be issued for one or both nights. Residents are encouraged to prepare now by limiting outdoor exposure, protecting pets, and ensuring vulnerable pipes and plumbing are properly insulated.

    Temperatures are expected to gradually moderate later in the week as the upper level trough begins to lift, allowing readings to trend closer to seasonal averages by Thursday.

  • Unsettled Weekend Weather Ahead; Coastal Storm Threat Diminishing

    Unsettled Weekend Weather Ahead; Coastal Storm Threat Diminishing

    A developing storm system will bring a period of light snow early Saturday morning before transitioning to rain for many locations as the day goes on. The highest chances for accumulating snow will be found near and northwest of the Interstate 95 corridor, with the greatest totals expected farther north.

    An upper level trough will be positioned over the eastern United States this weekend, allowing several smaller disturbances to move through the region. The first of these systems is expected to arrive during the pre dawn hours on Saturday. As it moves in, increasing lift in the atmosphere and a gradual influx of milder air aloft will help precipitation develop.

    Forecast guidance now suggests the system will be slightly more organized than previously expected. As a result, rainfall totals have increased modestly. Areas near and northwest of I 95 are expected to receive between one tenth and two tenths of an inch of liquid precipitation through Saturday, while locations southeast of I 95 are likely to remain under one tenth of an inch.

    Precipitation is expected to begin mainly as snow early Saturday before gradually changing to rain from southeast to northwest. Little to no snow accumulation is expected southeast of the I 95 corridor before the transition occurs. Near and just northwest of I 95, snowfall amounts should range from a light dusting up to one inch.

    Farther north, including the Lehigh Valley, northwest New Jersey, and the southern Poconos, colder air will allow snow to persist longer. In these areas, snowfall totals are now forecast to reach one to two inches, with up to three inches possible at higher elevations in the southern Poconos where rain mixing may be limited.

    Watching a Coastal System for Sunday

    Attention then turns to a separate storm system expected to develop offshore late in the weekend. This coastal low is forecast to form near the Outer Banks and track northeastward on Sunday. At this time, the overall threat for a significant snowfall remains low.

    Most forecast models continue to favor a track well offshore, which would limit impacts across the region. Under the current forecast, light snow is possible along the coast and areas south and east of I 95 on Sunday, while locations farther inland may see little or no accumulation.

    There is still some uncertainty, as a small number of ensemble models suggest a closer track could occur. However, confidence in that scenario remains low. Probabilities for advisory level snowfall remain modest, generally around 20 to 25 percent at the immediate coast, decreasing farther inland.

    Current snowfall forecasts call for around one half inch to one and a half inches along the coast and southern Delaware, with a coating to one inch possible up to the I 95 corridor. North and west of I 95, only a few flurries or trace amounts are expected.

    Any precipitation associated with this system is expected to taper off Sunday night as the storm pulls farther offshore.

  • Mid-Atlantic Faces Worsening Winter Drought as Dry Conditions Spread

    Mid-Atlantic Faces Worsening Winter Drought as Dry Conditions Spread

    The Mid-Atlantic region continues to grapple with expanding dry conditions this winter, with drought intensifying across much of the area, according to the latest update from the United States Drought Monitor.

    The U.S. Drought Monitor map released this week shows that moderate to severe drought conditions have grown across key parts of the Mid-Atlantic, including central Maryland and large portions of central Virginia. While some northern areas of Pennsylvania experienced wetter conditions, southern and eastern portions of the region have remained dry, allowing drought to deepen.

    Abnormally dry conditions now extend through wide swaths of the Mid-Atlantic. The Monitor categorizes drought severity on a scale from D0 (abnormally dry) to D4 (exceptional drought), and recent assessments show that drought categories have climbed across the region as a result of ongoing precipitation deficits and above-normal temperatures.

    Officials say the dry pattern is tied largely to below-average rainfall and snowfall over recent months. Water resources, including streamflow and groundwater levels, have been slow to recover, particularly in areas that saw little relief from fall and early winter precipitation. Some parts of the region have already enacted water restrictions for residents and agriculture due to low reservoir and river levels.

    Forecasters with NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center warn that drought persistence is likely through the late winter and early spring, as the outlook shows no strong signal for widespread heavy precipitation in the Mid-Atlantic. Climatologists note that any recovery will be gradual, and areas with long-term moisture deficits may continue to see dry conditions linger well into the spring months.

    The drought’s effects are being felt across industries and ecosystems. Farmers report increasingly dry fields that have challenged winter cover crops and pasture lands. Municipal water managers are monitoring reservoir levels and preparing for the possibility of expanded water use restrictions as the season progresses. Ecologists also warn that prolonged dry conditions could strain forests, wetlands, and aquatic habitats already stressed by low streamflows.

  • Unsettled Weekend Weather Possible Across Delmarva As Coastal System Develops With Snow Threat

    Unsettled Weekend Weather Possible Across Delmarva As Coastal System Develops With Snow Threat

    Residents across the Delmarva region will want to stay weather aware this weekend as multiple rounds of precipitation are possible, including the potential for snow. Forecast confidence remains moderate to low, but the overall pattern supports unsettled conditions from Saturday through Sunday night.

    A broad area of low pressure aloft, known as a longwave trough, will settle over the eastern United States this weekend. Several smaller disturbances moving through this pattern will help generate periods of precipitation, beginning early Saturday and possibly continuing into Sunday night.

    The first system is expected to move through Saturday morning and appears to be relatively weak. Precipitation may begin near or shortly after daybreak, when temperatures are at their coldest. Some locations could see a brief mix or light snow at the onset, especially inland areas, before temperatures rise through the morning. As daytime heating and weak warm air move in, most of Delmarva should transition to light rain. Any snow accumulation during this first round is expected to be minimal, with little more than a trace for most areas. Overall precipitation amounts should remain under a tenth of an inch.

    Attention then turns to a second system that could develop offshore late Sunday into Sunday night. This system carries more uncertainty and higher potential impacts, depending largely on how close the surface low tracks to the coast. Recent forecast guidance has shown a slight shift toward a closer approach, which has increased the chance for precipitation across the region, especially near coastal areas.

    With a cold front moving through Saturday night, colder air will be in place on Sunday. If the offshore low tracks close enough, much of the precipitation could fall as snow, particularly during the latter half of Sunday and into Sunday night. At this time, the probability of seeing measurable snow across coastal Delmarva is around 35 to 50 percent (of greater than 1″), with lower chances farther inland. The likelihood of higher snowfall amounts remains low, but it cannot be ruled out if the storm trends closer to the coast.

    While confidence has increased slightly compared to earlier forecasts, there is still considerable uncertainty regarding the exact track and strength of this system. Residents across Delmarva should continue to monitor the forecast through the weekend, as small changes in storm position could significantly impact precipitation type and amounts.

    More updates will be provided as forecast confidence improves.

  • Will It Storm Or Will It Be Another Dud? The Talk About Sun-Mon Storm Signal

    Will It Storm Or Will It Be Another Dud? The Talk About Sun-Mon Storm Signal

    We are gearing up to be in a fairly hostile pattern with many pieces of energy to play with here over the next 2 weeks as a large long wave trough sits over the eastern US. The biggest issue right now is do they interact with each other or will they remain strung out wasting the potential for snow lovers out there.

    While the overall risk of impactful wintry weather remains low heading into early next week, colder temperatures mean even small changes in the forecast could introduce a chance for snow.

    A brief warm up to near seasonal levels is expected Saturday ahead of a passing cold front. Behind it, a colder pattern looks likely to settle back in and persist through at least the middle of next week, with temperatures running below normal. During this time, several weak disturbances are forecast to move through the region. While none of these systems appear particularly strong on their own, there is a possibility they could interact in a way that brings a wintry weather threat late Sunday into Monday.

    At this time, the most likely outcome would be flurries or light snow, with limited or no accumulation. However, if the shortwave has more of a interaction with the Jetstream, that can bring larger impacts. Forecast confidence remains low, with precipitation chances generally in the 20 to 30 percent range.

    Given the cold air in place, this period will need to be monitored closely for any changes that could increase the wintry weather threat. For now, the risk of a significant winter storm from Sunday into early next week remains low, but not zero.

  • Bitter Cold Wind Chills To Finish Out The Work Week

    Bitter Cold Wind Chills To Finish Out The Work Week

    A surge of colder air behind a cold front will bring sharply colder temperatures and strong winds to the region late Thursday into Friday, creating dangerously cold wind chills.

    After the cold front moves through Thursday morning, strong cold air will continue to pour into the area through Friday morning. Afternoon temperatures on Thursday are expected to remain stuck in the low to mid 30s, while west winds increase to 15 to 20 mph with gusts reaching 30 to 35 mph. These gusty winds will make it feel much colder, with wind chills struggling to climb out of the upper teens and lower 20s during the day.

    As temperatures fall Thursday night, most locations will drop into the mid teens to near 20 degrees by early Friday morning. Although winds will ease slightly overnight, steady west winds of 10 to 15 mph will persist. This combination of cold air and lingering wind will cause wind chills to fall into the single digits across much of the area by daybreak Friday, with below zero wind chills possible in the higher elevations of the southern Poconos.

    By Friday morning, the strongest push of cold air will begin to ease, allowing winds to turn more southwesterly and temperatures to slowly recover. Afternoon highs on Friday will range from the upper 20s to the mid 30s. However, continued breezy conditions will keep wind chills in the 20s for much of the day, making it feel colder than the actual temperatures suggest.

    Residents are encouraged to dress in layers, limit prolonged exposure to the cold, and take precautions to protect pets, pipes, and vulnerable populations during this stretch of cold and windy weather.

  • Flash Freeze Risk Thursday Morning as Arctic Front Sweeps Through

    Flash Freeze Risk Thursday Morning as Arctic Front Sweeps Through

    A rapidly moving arctic cold front will create dangerous flash freezing conditions early Thursday morning, posing a significant hazard for travel across the region.

    Temperatures are expected to fall sharply from the 50s into the 20s in just a few hours as the front passes. Rain will transition to snow during this time, but the most serious concern will be the sudden freeze of wet roadways, sidewalks, and bridges.

    As colder air rushes in behind the front, any standing water from earlier rainfall will freeze almost instantly. This can lead to a thin but extremely slippery layer of ice forming with little to no warning. Bridges, overpasses, untreated roads, and shaded areas will be especially vulnerable to rapid icing.

    The timing of the temperature drop may coincide with the Thursday morning commute, increasing the risk for accidents and hazardous travel conditions. Even areas that see minimal snowfall could experience dangerous conditions due to ice forming faster than road crews can treat surfaces.

    Gusty winds behind the front will reinforce the cold air and cause wind chills to drop quickly, making conditions feel even colder by daybreak. Any snow that does fall will be brief, but it may further reduce visibility during the transition.

    Residents are urged to use caution if traveling early Thursday morning. Slowing down, allowing extra stopping distance, and remaining alert for icy patches will be critical. If possible, delaying travel until conditions improve later in the morning is strongly advised.

    Conditions are expected to stabilize later Thursday as precipitation ends, but cold temperatures will persist through the day.

  • Wintry Mix Followed By Arctic Cold To Finish Work Week

    Wintry Mix Followed By Arctic Cold To Finish Work Week

    A developing storm system will bring a brief period of light rain to Delmarva late Wednesday, with the potential for a few snowflakes before the precipitation ends early Thursday. While impacts from precipitation look minimal, the bigger story will be the sharp drop in temperatures and strong winds that follow and last into Friday.

    On Wednesday, a cold front associated with a passing system to our north will move through the region. This front will help produce a shield of light precipitation across the area Wednesday afternoon and evening. With temperatures starting off mild, most locations on Delmarva will see rain initially. As colder air moves in overnight, rain could briefly mix with or change to snow before ending early Thursday morning. Any snow accumulation is expected to be very light, with little to no impact expected across Delmarva.

    A secondary storm system is expected to develop offshore along the Carolina coast late Wednesday night into Thursday. Current forecast guidance keeps this system well offshore, meaning it should have little to no effect on our region. Because of this, confidence remains high that Thursday will be largely dry, aside from a small chance of lingering light precipitation early in the morning.

    Temperatures will be relatively mild ahead of the front on Wednesday, with highs ranging from the mid 40s to near 50 degrees across Delmarva. Conditions will change quickly Wednesday night as colder air pours into the region. By Thursday morning, temperatures will drop into the mid 20s to near 30 degrees. Strong west to northwest winds will develop, creating wind chills in the teens and lower 20s through much of the day.

    Thursday will feel bitterly cold and blustery, with sustained winds of 15 to 25 mph and gusts occasionally reaching 30 to 35 mph. Afternoon temperatures will struggle to recover, only reaching the upper 20s to mid 30s despite some sunshine.

    The coldest air arrives Thursday night into early Friday. Overnight lows will fall into the teens and lower 20s across Delmarva, and persistent winds will push wind chills into the single digits by Friday morning. Friday remains cold, with highs once again in the upper 20s to mid 30s and wind chills staying in the lower to mid 20s.

    While this system will not bring significant precipitation, the combination of strong winds and sharply colder temperatures will make it feel more like mid winter across Delmarva heading into the end of the week.

  • Winter Uncertainty Towards The Late Week; Social Media Hype Is Crazy Right Now

    Winter Uncertainty Towards The Late Week; Social Media Hype Is Crazy Right Now

    Forecast guidance continues to signal the potential for a disruptive winter weather pattern later this week, mainly from Wednesday through Friday, as an upper level low strengthens over the Lower Great Lakes and moves toward the Northeast. This system is expected to bring an increase in wintry precipitation across parts of the Lower Great Lakes, the central Appalachians, and portions of the interior Northeast, with colder air also setting the stage for lake effect snow in typical snowbelt regions.

    However, confidence in the overall setup remains low. Key details such as the exact placement and strength of the upper level low are still uncertain, which will ultimately determine where the heaviest precipitation develops. There is also considerable question surrounding coastal low development, including whether it forms too late, remains weak, or tracks well offshore. Recent trends as of today favor a later developing system that stays farther out to sea, which would significantly limit impacts for much of the I-95 corridor.

    The primary question for Delmarva centers on whether a coastal low is able to develop in time and close enough to influence the region. Current guidance shows large spread in both timing and track, with recent trends favoring a system that forms too late and remains well offshore. If this trend holds, meaningful winter weather impacts across Delaware, eastern Maryland, and Virginia’s Eastern Shore would be limited or possibly avoided altogether.

    Because of these uncertainties, forecast impacts to travel and infrastructure remain unclear at this time. While some wintry weather is possible inland, especially across higher elevations and areas closer to the Great Lakes, any coastal impacts would depend on how quickly and how close a coastal low can organize. Forecast confidence should improve over the next few days as the system comes into better range of higher resolution models.

  • Colder Pattern Looks to Take Hold Across the Eastern U.S. Through Late January

    Colder Pattern Looks to Take Hold Across the Eastern U.S. Through Late January

    A noticeable shift toward colder than average temperatures is expected to develop across much of the eastern United States over the next few weeks, according to the latest temperature outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center. Multiple forecast periods show increasing confidence that below average temperatures will dominate the East, including the Mid Atlantic and Delmarva region.

    6 to 10 Day Outlook: Cold Begins to Push East

    During the 6 to 10 day period, colder air is forecast to expand across much of the eastern half of the country. Below average temperatures are favored from the Midwest through the Ohio Valley and into the Mid Atlantic and Southeast. The Delmarva Peninsula falls within this colder zone, signaling a transition away from recent mild conditions.

    While the strongest cold anomalies are centered farther west early on, the overall pattern supports repeated intrusions of cooler air into the region. Daytime highs are expected to trend several degrees below normal, with overnight lows becoming more seasonable to colder than average.

    8 to 14 Day Outlook: Below Average Temperatures Become More Established

    Confidence increases during the 8 to 14 day period as below average temperatures become more firmly established across the eastern United States. The cooler air mass expands and deepens, covering much of the Mid Atlantic, Northeast, and Southeast.

    For Delmarva, this period favors a sustained stretch of cooler conditions, especially during nighttime hours. Persistent northwest flow behind passing systems may keep temperatures suppressed for several days at a time.

    Weeks 3 to 4: Colder Pattern Persists

    Looking ahead into weeks 3 and 4, the temperature outlook continues to favor below average conditions across much of the eastern United States. While forecast confidence naturally decreases at longer ranges, the signal remains consistent for a cooler than normal pattern.

    Across Delmarva, this suggests limited warm ups and continued winterlike temperatures heading into late January. Brief periods of moderation may occur, but cooler air is expected to return frequently as the broader pattern remains favorable for below average temperatures.

    What This Means for Delmarva

    For residents across Delaware, Maryland’s Eastern Shore, and Virginia’s Eastern Shore, the next few weeks are expected to feature a noticeable chill compared to normal January conditions. While temperatures will fluctuate, the overall trend points toward a colder pattern settling in across the region.

    Overall, the outlook supports a sustained period of below average temperatures across the eastern United States, with Delmarva remaining solidly within the cooler regime through much of the remainder of January.

  • Rain Threat Increases Across the Mid Atlantic Through the Weekend

    Rain Threat Increases Across the Mid Atlantic Through the Weekend

    A prolonged period of unsettled weather is expected to impact much of the Mid Atlantic beginning later this evening and continuing through Sunday, bringing multiple rounds of rain and the potential for localized flooding concerns.

    Rain showers will begin moving into the region from west to east this evening as a mild and moisture rich weather pattern remains in place. While rainfall tonight is expected to be generally light to moderate, coverage will increase overnight and into Saturday as a stronger system approaches.

    More widespread rain is forecast for Saturday and Saturday night as deeper moisture moves into the Mid Atlantic. Periods of steady rain are likely, with occasional heavier downpours. Embedded isolated thunderstorms are also possible during this time, which could briefly enhance rainfall rates in some areas.

    By Sunday, additional rounds of showers are expected to continue, keeping soils saturated and rivers on the rise. While rainfall amounts will vary by location, several areas could see one to two inches of rain by the end of the weekend, with locally higher totals where heavier showers or thunderstorms occur.

    Delmarva Region Faces Elevated Rain And Water Concerns

    Across the Delmarva Peninsula, including Delaware, eastern Maryland, and the Eastern Shore of Virginia, the rain threat will become more pronounced overnight and persist through the weekend. Rainfall totals of one to two inches are likely across much of the region, with isolated higher amounts possible.

    The combination of steady rain, mild temperatures, and ongoing snow and ice melt farther north could lead to noticeable rises on rivers, streams, and creeks. Low lying and poor drainage areas may be especially susceptible to ponding of water, particularly during periods of heavier rain.

    While widespread flooding is not currently expected, localized minor flooding cannot be ruled out, especially if thunderstorms produce brief heavy downpours. Urban areas and locations near small waterways should remain alert for changing conditions.

  • NOAA Forecast: Pacific Ocean Weather Pattern Likely Shifting From La Niña to El Niño

    NOAA Forecast: Pacific Ocean Weather Pattern Likely Shifting From La Niña to El Niño

    The latest climate update from the Climate Prediction Center, part of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, shows that the ongoing La Nina pattern in the Pacific Ocean is weakening. Forecasters say a transition toward more neutral conditions is expected over the next few months.

    La Nina is a climate pattern marked by cooler than normal sea surface temperatures across the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean. These cooler waters have persisted into early 2026, based on recent ocean temperature observations. While La Nina remains in place, its influence is beginning to fade.

    According to NOAA, there is about a 75 percent chance that the Pacific will move into ENSO neutral conditions between January and March 2026. ENSO neutral means the Pacific is not in either a La Nina or El Nino phase. Forecast models suggest these neutral conditions could last through at least late spring.

    One of the main signals supporting this shift is warming water beneath the ocean surface. Warmer water that had been confined to the western Pacific is now spreading eastward, helping to weaken the remaining La Nina pattern. While some atmospheric features still resemble La Nina, key wind and temperature signals are gradually trending toward neutral.

    Forecasters caution that even after sea surface temperatures return to neutral, lingering impacts from La Nina could still influence weather patterns during early spring. Looking further ahead, there is increasing potential for El Nino to develop later in 2026, although confidence in that part of the forecast remains lower at this time.

    NOAA continues to monitor ocean and atmospheric conditions closely and will provide regular updates as the Pacific climate pattern evolves. These outlooks help forecasters, emergency planners, and the public prepare for seasonal weather changes influenced by shifts in the tropical Pacific.

  • January Thaw Ongoing For Now, Winter Making A Return Towards Next Week

    January Thaw Ongoing For Now, Winter Making A Return Towards Next Week

    With days as of this past week constantly being int he 50’s and even 60’s, many wonder where did winter go? Normally in the winter months across the lower 48 go through a longer duration warming trend as a recharge of the overall pattern and sign are pointing at a return to more winter weather moving back across the eastern half of the US.

    Weather models are all onboard for a bigger shift in the overall weather pattern across the Northern Hemisphere Mainly what’s going on across the Pacific Ocean which is the biggest driver to the Lower 48 weather pattern for supplying the cold air and the active storm track. One thing that is peaking my interests is a significant drop in the Eastern Pacific Oscillation during the time period of the 14th-20th.

    A very large negative Eastern Pacific Oscillation, or EPO, is a significant large scale weather pattern that can strongly influence temperature and storm tracks across the United States, especially during the fall and winter months.

    When the EPO is strongly negative, a powerful ridge of high pressure builds over the eastern Pacific, often near Alaska and the Gulf of Alaska. This ridge acts as a blocking feature, forcing the jet stream to buckle sharply northward into Alaska and then dive southward downstream into western and central North America. As a result, Arctic air is displaced south out of Canada and into the United States.

    For the western United States, a negative EPO often brings colder than normal temperatures, particularly to the Pacific Northwest and northern Rockies. The ridge offshore can suppress precipitation along parts of the West Coast, leading to drier conditions in California, while the colder air aloft supports snow in the higher elevations of the Northwest and Intermountain West when storms are able to undercut the ridge.

    Across the central and eastern United States, the downstream response to a negative EPO is often a broad trough, which allows cold air to spill southward. This can lead to below normal temperatures across the Plains, Midwest, and East Coast. When moisture is available, this pattern can be favorable for winter storms, as cold air at the surface can interact with southern stream systems or coastal lows.

    The strength of the negative EPO matters. A weak negative phase may only produce brief or modest cold shots, while a strongly negative EPO can support prolonged cold outbreaks, sometimes reaching deep into the southern United States. This setup can also increase the likelihood of sharp temperature swings if the blocking ridge eventually breaks down.

    Weather across the Eastern US might get very interesting going forward into the mid-month.

  • Periods of Rain Expected Across Delmarva Through the Weekend

    Periods of Rain Expected Across Delmarva Through the Weekend

    Residents across the Delmarva Peninsula should prepare for several rounds of rain as a series of weather systems move through the region from late Friday into early Sunday. While no significant flooding or severe weather is expected, the stretch will bring generally wet and mild conditions.

    The first system arrives late Friday as a weakening cold front moves into the Mid-Atlantic. This front is tied to an area of low pressure lifting north from the Great Lakes toward Quebec. Rain is expected to develop Friday afternoon and continue into Friday night. As the front weakens and gradually dissipates over the region, temperatures are not expected to drop noticeably, with little to no cold air pushing in behind it.

    A second, more impactful system follows on Saturday. A deepening upper-level trough moving south from Canada into the Great Lakes will help spawn a new surface low over the lower Mississippi River Valley. This low will track northeast, pushing a warm front northward across Delmarva on Saturday. As the warm front lifts through the region, rain coverage will increase and milder air will overspread the peninsula.

    Temperatures on Saturday may behave unusually, with some locations seeing their highest readings later in the day or even during the evening hours as warmer air moves in. Overnight temperatures may hold steady or even rise slightly in some areas. Overall, Saturday is expected to be a warm and wet day, with temperatures ranging from the upper 40s to the low 60s.

    Heavier rain is expected to move in later Saturday as an initial cold front crosses the region. While a brief rumble of thunder cannot be ruled out due to some elevated instability in the atmosphere, no severe weather is anticipated. Showers may linger Saturday night until a secondary cold front moves through on Sunday morning. Behind that front, winds will increase, but the chance of wind gusts reaching advisory levels remains low.

    There is higher confidence that Delmarva will see periods of rain from Friday afternoon through Sunday morning, though exact rainfall totals remain uncertain. Most guidance suggests at least a half inch of rain, with some models indicating localized totals between 1.5 and 2 inches. The probability of receiving one inch or more of rain is around 40 to 60 percent, while the chance of exceeding two inches is low.

    Rainfall is expected to fall over a 36 to 48 hour period with breaks between systems, reducing the risk of flooding. With mild temperatures in place leading into the weekend, any remaining ice in streams or rivers should have already melted, allowing water to drain efficiently. Confidence in rainfall totals and timing is expected to improve as the weekend approaches.

  • Multiple Rounds of Rain Expected Across Delmarva This Weekend

    Multiple Rounds of Rain Expected Across Delmarva This Weekend

    The Delmarva region is expected to see several rounds of rain as a series of weather systems move through the area from late Friday into Sunday morning. While the rain will be spread out over time, confidence is high that most locations will see wet conditions at some point during the weekend.

    The first round of rain arrives late Friday into Friday night as a weakening cold front crosses the region. This front is associated with an area of low pressure moving from the Great Lakes toward eastern Canada. Because the front is weakening as it approaches Delmarva, it is not expected to bring much of a temperature drop or colder air. Rain during this period should generally be light to moderate.

    A stronger system moves in on Saturday as a slow moving trough dives south from Canada into the Great Lakes. This will help develop a new area of low pressure over the Lower Mississippi Valley that tracks northeast toward the Mid Atlantic. A warm front is expected to lift through Delmarva Saturday morning, placing the region in a warmer and more humid air mass. Temperatures are forecast to rise into the 60s, which is mild for this time of year, though still a few degrees shy of daily records.

    Heavier rain is expected later Saturday into Saturday night as a cold front moves through the region. There may be enough instability in the atmosphere for a rumble of thunder, but severe weather is not expected. After the initial front moves offshore Saturday night, scattered showers may linger until a secondary cold front passes through on Sunday morning.

    Once the secondary front clears the area, winds will increase, but the chance of wind gusts reaching advisory levels remains low. Overall, rainfall will be spread out over a 36 to 48 hour period with breaks between rounds.

    Forecast confidence is high that rain will occur, but exact rainfall totals remain uncertain. Most guidance suggests at least a half inch of rain, with some models indicating localized totals between 1.5 and 2 inches. The probability of receiving one inch or more of rain sits around 30 to 50 percent, while the chance of exceeding two inches is low.

    Despite the potential for moderate rainfall, flooding concerns remain minimal. The rain will fall gradually rather than all at once, and recent mild temperatures should have eliminated any lingering ice in creeks or rivers, allowing water to drain efficiently.

    More confidence in rainfall totals is expected as the weekend approaches, but residents across Delmarva should be prepared for several periods of rain from Friday afternoon through Sunday morning.

  • 30 Years Later: Reflecting on the Blizzard of ’96 and the Impact on Delmarva

    30 Years Later: Reflecting on the Blizzard of ’96 and the Impact on Delmarva

    This winter marks 30 years since one of the most powerful and memorable winter storms in Mid-Atlantic history — the Blizzard of 1996. From January 6 through January 8, a classic nor’easter buried much of the Eastern United States under a historic blanket of snow, bringing life to a standstill from Virginia all the way to southern New England. Thirty years later, the effects of that storm remain part of the weather lore of communities across the Delmarva Peninsula.

    A Storm that Shut Down the Region

    The Blizzard of ’96 was not simply a big snowstorm, it was a paralyzing meteorological event. Fueled by abundant Gulf moisture lifting into frigid Arctic air, the storm produced heavy snowfall, fierce winds, and drifts as high as 5 to 8 feet in places, and it cut off normal travel and commerce for days. More than 20 inches of snow was common from the Smoky Mountains to the Northeast, with Baltimore alone recording more than 22 inches.

    Across the broader Mid-Atlantic, most major airports closed, highways like Interstate 95 became impassable, government and business operations shut down, and utility outages were widespread as heavy snow and strong winds downed trees and power lines.

    Delmarva’s Experience: Snow, School Closures, and Water Issues

    Although Delmarva lies on the more southern and coastal edge of the storm’s heaviest snow, many parts of the Eastern Shore still saw significant impacts. In Delaware and Maryland’s eastern counties, reports from regional accounts show that snowfall totals often reached into the teens across Delmarva, with southern and interior areas picking up even more as the storm slowly moved northward.

    Across the peninsula, schools and local governments closed for days, giving many children extended breaks and making the blizzard one of the most memorable weather events of a generation for families on the Eastern Shore. Many locals from surrounding Mid-Atlantic communities still reminisce about “the week the snow didn’t stop” and the long task of digging out afterward.

    After the Snow: Rapid Melt and Flooding

    What made the Blizzard of 1996 especially notable wasn’t just the snowfall — it was what happened after the snow stopped. Warm and humid air rapidly moved in shortly after the storm, bringing heavy rain and quick snowmelt across the Mid-Atlantic. This combination caused major flooding in rivers and streams throughout the region, including Chesapeake Bay tributaries that affect Delmarva’s watersheds.

    Tributaries that feed into the Bay saw record flows as hundreds of millions of gallons of water — along with nutrients and sediment from the melting snowpack — rushed downstream, raising water levels and flooding low-lying farmland around Delmarva rivers and streams.

    Long-Term Memories and Local Culture

    In the decades since, the Blizzard of ’96 has remained a touchpoint in local weather memory. Many families on Delmarva still tell stories of being snowed in for days, navigating icy roads, building massive drifts and snow forts, and enduring extended school closures that are still talked about at community gatherings.

    For long-time residents of the Mid-Atlantic and Delmarva, the storm also stands as a reminder of how quickly winter weather can transition from snow to serious flooding, the importance of emergency preparation for both snow and water events, and how a single storm system can reshape community life for weeks.

  • NOAA’s SWFO-L1 Space Weather Observatory Nears Final Orbital Position, Systems Reported Healthy

    NOAA’s SWFO-L1 Space Weather Observatory Nears Final Orbital Position, Systems Reported Healthy

    January 6, 2026 — NOAA’s Space Weather Follow On-L1 (SWFO-L1) spacecraft is nearing the final stages of its journey to Lagrange Point 1 (L1), with orbital insertion scheduled for January 20, 2026. According to a NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center update, the mission’s instrumentation is performing as expected, and engineers report that the spacecraft continues to meet operational milestones as it approaches its final orbit.

    SWFO-L1 was launched on September 24, 2025 aboard a SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket and is designed to provide continuous, real-time monitoring of the solar environment upstream of Earth. Upon reaching the gravitationally stable L1 point—approximately 1 million miles from Earth—it will be renamed SOLAR-1 (Space weather Observations at L1 to Advance Readiness-1).

    Mission engineers are preparing to open the compact coronagraph (CCOR-2) door on January 21, the day after insertion, which will allow NOAA to begin evaluating imagery performance from this key instrument. Early tests of other sensor suites have already shown promising results.

    SWFO-L1 carries several advanced instruments, including a magnetometer, solar wind plasma sensor (SWiPS), and a supra-thermal ion sensor (STIS). These instruments will provide vital measurements of solar wind speed, density, and magnetic field characteristics that drive space weather disturbances. Previous early data from these sensors have already contributed to improved monitoring of solar wind and geomagnetic conditions during space weather events.

    Once commissioned in spring 2026, SOLAR-1’s data is expected to significantly enhance NOAA’s ability to forecast and issue warnings for geomagnetic storms, solar flares, and interplanetary shocks that can impact critical infrastructure such as power grids, communications, navigation systems, and satellites.

    With more accurate and timely space weather data, NOAA officials say the mission will help protect both space-based and ground-based technological systems that are increasingly vulnerable to solar activity—ensuring better preparedness for potentially disruptive solar events.

  • High Winds And Cooler Temps Follow Behind Cold Front This Weekend

    High Winds And Cooler Temps Follow Behind Cold Front This Weekend

    A strong cold front moving through the Northeast is expected to bring a period of gusty winds through Sunday night, with the highest wind gusts occurring in the wake of the front. Widespread gusts of 40 to 55 mph are likely across much of the Mid-Atlantic and interior Northeast, including Pennsylvania, New Jersey, New York, and New England. Stronger gusts in the 55 to 65 mph range are possible across parts of upstate New York and areas downwind of the Great Lakes, where the pressure gradient will be strongest. Along the coast, especially across New Jersey, Long Island, and southern New England, gusts may exceed 50 mph, increasing the risk for downed trees, power outages, and travel disruptions.

    Here is a break down per state in the region…

    Delaware:
    Strong winds are expected behind the cold front, with peak gusts generally ranging from 45 to 55 mph statewide. The highest gusts are most likely along the coast and across the Delmarva Peninsula, where marine influence and a tighter pressure gradient could push isolated gusts slightly higher. These winds may lead to scattered power outages and difficult travel, especially on bridges and causeways.

    Maryland:
    Widespread gusts of 45 to 55 mph are forecast across much of Maryland, including the I-95 corridor from Baltimore to Washington. Western Maryland could see locally stronger gusts approaching 55 to 60 mph, particularly in higher elevations and along exposed ridgelines. The combination of saturated soils and strong winds may increase the risk for downed trees and power lines.

    Virginia:
    Much of northern and central Virginia can expect wind gusts between 40 and 50 mph, with higher gusts of 50 to 55 mph possible across eastern Virginia and along the Chesapeake Bay. Coastal and tidal areas may experience the strongest winds as colder air surges in behind the front. Impacts may include isolated power outages, difficult travel for high-profile vehicles, and minor coastal concerns.

  • Much Needed Rainfall Later In The Week

    Much Needed Rainfall Later In The Week

    As the temperatures begin to warm up, so does the rain chances as we approach the weekend ahead. Rain will begin to move into the Delmarva region during the morning hours on Friday as a warm front lifts towards New England. Rain chances continue all the way through early Sunday morning when the cold front swings through. But will this bring any relief to the drought situation here in the Mid-Atlantic?

    Much of the Mid-Atlantic remains under ongoing drought conditions as of early January. Abnormally dry conditions continue across large portions of Maryland, Delaware, southern Pennsylvania, and northern Virginia, with moderate drought expanding across central and western Maryland into parts of northern Virginia. The most pronounced dryness is focused west of the Chesapeake Bay, including areas near Washington, Frederick, and Hagerstown, where prolonged precipitation deficits persist. While coastal sections of the Delmarva Peninsula remain primarily abnormally dry, limited improvement has occurred, and soil moisture remains below normal. These conditions continue to stress agriculture, water resources, and increase the risk of winter wildfire activity if dry weather persists.

    Heavier rainfall potential this weekend is focused farther north and west, with higher totals indicated across parts of western and central Pennsylvania and into the higher terrain of western Maryland. Lighter precipitation amounts are expected south and east, including much of central and southern Virginia and portions of the Delmarva Peninsula, where totals look more modest. This setup suggests the best chance for more meaningful rainfall will be away from the coastal plain, while areas closer to the Chesapeake Bay and southward may see limited rainfall and little improvement to ongoing dry conditions.

  • Winter Takes a Break Across The Country But For How Long?

    Winter Takes a Break Across The Country But For How Long?

    The month of December brought well below average temperatures across much of the Mid-Atlantic region. Averaging as much as 4 to 6 degrees below normal. Putting impacts on energy costs already this early into the season but we are looking to see some relief on those heating bills over the next week. starting Tuesday, we flip the switch from being the freezer to being able to thaw out in a big way.

    Throughout the rest of this week, we are about to go from January weather to what i would say be ;ate October weather as we start cranking up to the 50s. Eventually towards the weekend we are even crossing the 60s threshold. Which is going to feel quite nice after being stuck every day in the 30s. But the real question lies, how long will this warm up will last?

    It appears this will be a week long warm up with the warmest time frame appearing closer to the weekend with highs approaching the mid 60s. But also bring the onset of rain chances as a storm system will be lifting up towards the Great Lakes area. But towards the mid-month, signs are pointing to a return of the west coast ridge allowing for troughs to extend east towards the Mid-Atlantic to bring back more seasonable temperatures. Cold air intrusion would be possible after the 15th when this occurs so that’s when any snow chances would return as of now.

    Enjoy the warmth and thaw while it last as we still have a whole lot of winter to get through!

  • Widespread Warmth Expected Across Eastern U.S. in Mid-January Outlook

    Widespread Warmth Expected Across Eastern U.S. in Mid-January Outlook

    A strong signal for above-normal temperatures is shaping up across much of the eastern United States as we head into the January 8–12, 2026 timeframe, according to the latest 6–10 day temperature outlook issued by NOAA on January 2.

    The outlook shows a broad and confident area of above-average temperatures extending from the Mississippi Valley eastward to the Atlantic Coast. This includes the Midwest, Ohio Valley, Southeast, and much of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. In these areas, probabilities favoring above-normal temperatures range from 60% to as high as 90%, indicating a strong likelihood that temperatures will trend warmer than what is typical for early January.

    For the Mid-Atlantic region, including Delmarva, Maryland, and Pennsylvania, the signal is particularly robust. Persistent ridging in the upper atmosphere is expected to keep Arctic air bottled up well to the north, allowing milder air to dominate. This pattern would favor daytime highs running several degrees above normal, with fewer opportunities for sustained cold or wintry weather during this period.

    In contrast, below-normal temperatures are favored across portions of the western United States, especially parts of California, the Great Basin, and the Southwest. These regions show a 33–60% probability of cooler-than-average conditions, suggesting a more active Pacific pattern delivering cooler air and potentially unsettled weather.

    Areas of the northern Rockies and portions of the interior West are expected to remain near seasonal averages, lying along the transition zone between the cooler West and warmer East.

    Alaska shows a split pattern, with below-normal temperatures favored across much of the mainland, while parts of the southern coast lean above normal. Hawaii is expected to see above-average temperatures statewide.

    Overall, the pattern supports a continuation of a relatively mild January for large portions of the eastern U.S., potentially limiting snow and ice opportunities while increasing the risk of rapid snowmelt in areas that currently have snowpack.

  • Snow Squalls Could Create Hazardous New Year’s Eve Travel Across Delmarva, Maryland, and Pennsylvania

    Snow Squalls Could Create Hazardous New Year’s Eve Travel Across Delmarva, Maryland, and Pennsylvania

    Drivers across Delmarva, Maryland, and much of Pennsylvania are being urged to use caution this New Year’s Eve as a strong Arctic cold front moves through the region, bringing the potential for sudden snow squalls and dangerous travel conditions. While snowfall amounts are expected to be brief and localized, the intensity of these squalls could quickly reduce visibility to near zero and lead to slick, snow-covered roadways in a matter of minutes.

    Forecasters say the greatest risk for snow squalls will develop this evening across western and central Pennsylvania before shifting east overnight into eastern Pennsylvania, northern Maryland, and parts of Delmarva. The squalls may be accompanied by gusty winds, creating whiteout conditions along major travel routes including Interstates 76, 81, 83, 95, and portions of U.S. Route 13 across the Delmarva Peninsula.

    Timing is a major concern, as the snow squalls could impact travel during peak New Year’s Eve festivities and late-night returns home. In Maryland, areas north of the Baltimore Washington corridor stand the best chance of seeing brief but intense snow bursts overnight, while Delmarva may see fast-moving squalls or snow showers capable of briefly coating roadways, particularly in northern and interior sections in the early morning hours.

    Even though total snowfall amounts will be limited, the rapid drop in temperatures behind the front could allow any moisture on roadways to freeze quickly, increasing the risk of icy conditions. Motorists may encounter rapidly changing visibility and road conditions with little advance warning.

    Looking ahead, much colder air settling in behind the front will fuel lake-effect snow across western and north-central Pennsylvania through Friday. While this will not directly impact Delmarva or most of Maryland, it could lead to continued travel disruptions for those heading north or west after the holiday.

    Officials urge drivers to slow down, increase following distance, and avoid unnecessary travel during squalls. Snow squalls are often short-lived but can be just as dangerous as longer-duration winter storms, especially during busy holiday travel periods.

  • A Lot Of Talk About Wintry Weather Jan 6-8th…

    A Lot Of Talk About Wintry Weather Jan 6-8th…

    There has been a ton of speculation over social media about “Major Winter Storm Signal Jan 6-8th” and different variations for click bait and cash grabs for views. For many who know me over the last 15 years, I tell it like it is. And many of these social media pages need to keep their anticipation in check. I will go through the good and the bad for snow lovers with all this hype being shared around the internet about this timeframe.

    So the big take aways is what’s going on with the North America weather pattern changing a bit from this past week to a more colder one. But the biggest issues that people see on these maps is anytime they see a trough in the east immediately go “MAJOR WINTER SIGNAL, MAJOR STORM AHEAD” but there is so much more that goes into play. Yes we are looking at a trough across the eastern US, that’s only the first step. There is some blocking showing up in the arctic with the ECMWF but much weaker with the GFS. Blocking near Greenland helps slow down the overall weather pattern or for all the technical readers out there a -NAO block. So we have two pieces of the puzzle but there is something way more important in my opinion and its what’s going on the west coast.

    And that’s where my excitement starts going down the tubes as a snow lover. We need ridging in the west coast to get the trifecta ingredients. And this is where things start falling short for my liking. Not only that we have polar opposites in guidance between the two major long range models for this range and the placement is not ideal. Ridging along the west coast not only brings the cold air supply with cross polar flow and helps amplify the trough to its east. With this sitting over the Rockies, not the most ideal to get something off our coastlines. I prefer to have it back right at the coast instead but we also have a trough not too far away to the west side. ECMWF is your friend and the GFS is you enemy with the PNA across the west coast. Hard to say which will be correct until one switches as we get closer in time. This is why I have been thinking it’s so dumb to be stating about a storm is happening in this time frame because of the PNA in itself.

    One thing is for sure, we are looking to see some colder weather over in our neck of the woods going into the New Year. As temp anomalies over the next 1-2 week showing increasing confidence of “Below Average Temperatures” in the Mid-Atlantic & New England. Moral of the story, hold your excitement for now and be wary of pages that post this kind of hype and 384 hour snowfall maps claiming this is what’s ahead. It’s just not good and its a spreading terrible false information. It’s a cash grab for getting views and traffic for all the wrong reason. Trust your reliable sources friends.

  • Icy Post Christmas Storm Across The Northern Mid-Atlantic States

    Icy Post Christmas Storm Across The Northern Mid-Atlantic States

    A significant post-Christmas winter storm is expected to create hazardous conditions from the Great Lakes through the Mid-Atlantic and into the Northeast through Saturday morning, bringing a complex mix of snow, sleet, and freezing rain that will heavily impact travel and infrastructure across the region.

    According to the Weather Prediction Center, this is a multi-hazard winter storm, with the most dangerous impacts tied to ice accumulation and heavy snowfall. A swath of heavy snow is forecast from central New York into southern New England, including portions of northeastern Pennsylvania and the New York City metro area. Many of these locations could see six inches or more of snow, with snowfall rates exceeding one inch per hour at times, leading to rapidly deteriorating road conditions.

    Farther south, the primary concern shifts from snow to ice. Freezing rain and sleet are expected to dominate across portions of Pennsylvania, western and central Maryland, and parts of the Mid-Atlantic, creating a dangerous glaze on untreated surfaces. Ice accumulations over a quarter inch are possible in some areas, increasing the risk for tree damage and scattered power outages.

    Northern Maryland Impacts

    Northern Maryland, including areas near and north of the Baltimore metro, is expected to be near the transition zone between snow and freezing rain. This setup raises the risk for significant sleet accumulation followed by freezing rain, which can be particularly hazardous for travel. Roads may quickly become icy, even where surface temperatures hover near freezing. Elevated surfaces such as bridges and overpasses will be especially prone to icing. Any ice buildup on trees and power lines could result in localized outages and downed limbs.

    Northern Delmarva Concerns

    Across northern Delmarva, including Cecil County, Kent County, and areas near the upper Chesapeake Bay, a wintry mix of sleet and freezing rain is expected to develop, particularly late Friday into Friday night. While snowfall totals are likely limited, even light ice accretion could significantly impact travel along major corridors such as I-95, U.S. Route 13, and local secondary roads. Gusty winds combined with ice may further stress trees and utility lines, increasing the risk of isolated power disruptions.

    Travel and Safety Impacts

    The timing of this storm is particularly concerning, as it coincides with post-Christmas travel. Treacherous road conditions are expected to persist into Saturday morning, especially in areas affected by freezing rain and sleet. Visibility reductions, slick surfaces, and rapidly changing precipitation types will make driving dangerous, even for experienced winter drivers.

    Residents across northern Maryland and northern Delmarva are urged to closely monitor forecast updates, avoid unnecessary travel during periods of freezing rain, and prepare for the possibility of power outages. This storm serves as a reminder that ice, even more than snow, can quickly escalate impacts and disrupt daily life across the Mid-Atlantic.

  • An Icy Boxing Day On The Way For The Mid-Atlantic States

    An Icy Boxing Day On The Way For The Mid-Atlantic States

    Its shaping up to be a fairly icy day after Christmas for many across the Mid-Atlantic states Friday into Saturday. A classic “Overrunning Event” to unfold as a warm front moves into arctic air that’s trapped across New England forced by northeast winds ahead of the precip.

    An overrunning event in winter meteorology occurs when warm, moist air is lifted up and over a shallow layer of cold air at the surface. This setup is common ahead of winter storms and often develops north of a warm front. Because cold air is denser, it remains trapped near the ground while warmer air flows over it along sloping isentropic surfaces.

    As the rising warm air cools, clouds and precipitation develop well in advance of the main storm system. In winter, this frequently leads to widespread, long-duration precipitation, often falling as snow, sleet, or freezing rain, depending on the temperature profile of the atmosphere. Overrunning events are typically associated with stratiform precipitation, lower visibility, and steady rather than convective rainfall or snowfall.

    These events can produce significant winter weather impacts, including heavy snow accumulations, ice accretion, and hazardous travel conditions, especially when cold air is reinforced at the surface by high pressure to the north. Overrunning precipitation often marks the initial phase of a winter storm before stronger dynamics and surface low pressure move in.

    With the latest guidance at this time, areas closer towards the Mason-Dixon have the greatest threat for looking at snow and ice accumulations as the cold air will be locked up better in those regions. totals wise at this time is not for certain the amount of snow/ice is expected with this system as we get a bit closer in time. Areas across Central Delmarva will start off with that wintry mix but eventually change over to plain rain as the winds turn a bit more easterly which will bring in that warmer Atlantic air across the region.

  • SNEAKY ICING EVENT ON BOXING DAY DEC 26-27TH?

    SNEAKY ICING EVENT ON BOXING DAY DEC 26-27TH?

    December 26-27th event has been a model guidance nightmare these past few days so that’s why i haven’t really talked much about it. Because at one moment its a 63 degree day with rain and then next minute its a day with accumulating snow and ice. This is very typical back and forth nonsense that happens in the 84-120hr timeframe so i don’t put a whole lot of weight to it. But we are starting to get into the sub 84 timeframe where they begin to get their act together. So here is the setup.

    We will already have a push of arctic air in place out ahead of a weak disturbance with a warm front nosing into the cold air. This is a classic representation of what we call a “Overrunning Event”

    An overrunning event in winter meteorology occurs when warm, moist air is lifted up and over a shallow layer of cold air at the surface. This setup is common ahead of winter storms and often develops north of a warm front. Because cold air is denser, it remains trapped near the ground while warmer air flows over it along sloping isentropic surfaces.

    As the rising warm air cools, clouds and precipitation develop well in advance of the main storm system. In winter, this frequently leads to widespread, long-duration precipitation, often falling as snow, sleet, or freezing rain, depending on the temperature profile of the atmosphere. Overrunning events are typically associated with stratiform precipitation, lower visibility, and steady rather than convective rainfall or snowfall.

    These events can produce significant winter weather impacts, including heavy snow accumulations, ice accretion, and hazardous travel conditions, especially when cold air is reinforced at the surface by high pressure to the north. Overrunning precipitation often marks the initial phase of a winter storm before stronger dynamics and surface low pressure move in.

    With the latest mid day mid range guidance rolling in they are starting to come into light of a icing scenario beginning to unfold across areas of central and northern Delmarva, northern Maryland, and portions of South Jersey. A lot of factors remain in place like will the cold air remain more locked in and keep the warm nose at bay, will the warm nose make it a widespread icing event, or will the warm nose overwhelm the environment and keep it more of a rain threat in the region. Those are the details we need to iron out going later into the week.

  • Drought Conditions Continue to Worsen Across Delmarva

    Drought Conditions Continue to Worsen Across Delmarva

    Dry weather has continued to dominate the Delmarva Peninsula, with the latest drought data showing little improvement and increasing stress across the region. While occasional light rainfall has been observed, precipitation totals remain well below normal, providing minimal benefit to soil moisture, groundwater, or streamflows.

    Across Delaware, Maryland’s Eastern Shore, and Virginia’s Eastern Shore, ongoing precipitation deficits have allowed abnormally dry to drought conditions to persist and expand. Soils continue to dry, particularly in agricultural areas, and streamflows remain below seasonal averages; clear indicators that the region remains in a developing drought pattern.

    In Delaware, short-term dryness is increasingly transitioning into longer-term impacts, with limited recharge of groundwater and growing concerns for water resources if the dry trend continues. On the Maryland Eastern Shore, reduced soil moisture is beginning to affect winter crop establishment and could pose challenges heading into the early spring growing season if meaningful rainfall does not return. Portions of the Virginia Eastern Shore are experiencing similar conditions, with continued low streamflows and dry soils reinforcing drought development.

    Looking ahead, forecasters stress that several widespread, soaking rain events will be necessary to slow or reverse drought conditions across Delmarva. Until a wetter pattern develops, drought impacts are expected to persist through the remainder of the year, with close monitoring in place for further degradation.

  • Nationwide Warm-Up Expected Through Christmas

    Nationwide Warm-Up Expected Through Christmas

    New outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center indicate a pronounced and persistent warm pattern developing across much of the United States over the next one to two weeks, including through the Christmas holiday. Both the 6–10 day and 8–14 day temperature outlooks show above-normal temperatures dominating the central and eastern portions of the country, signaling a sustained break from typical late-December cold.

    A large area of strongly above-average temperatures is forecast to build across the Plains, Midwest, and South, with the warmest anomalies centered from the central Plains into the Lower Mississippi Valley. This warm ridge is expected to expand eastward as we head closer to Christmas.

    Mid-Atlantic Focus

    For the Mid-Atlantic region, including Delmarva, confidence is increasing in a milder-than-normal stretch of weather heading into and through the holiday period. Temperatures are favored to run above seasonal averages, with daytime highs frequently reaching the 50s and potentially near 60 degrees at times, depending on cloud cover and frontal timing. Overnight lows are also expected to remain milder, reducing the risk of prolonged cold snaps.

    While brief cool-downs remain possible as weak fronts pass through, no sustained Arctic air intrusions are currently indicated in the extended outlook. This pattern significantly lowers the chances for a widespread white Christmas across the Mid-Atlantic, with precipitation events more likely falling as rain rather than snow.

    Looking Ahead

    Overall, the pattern supports a quiet and relatively mild end to December for much of the eastern U.S. If this outlook holds, the Mid-Atlantic can expect a holiday season that feels more like late fall than mid-winter, with continued monitoring needed in case pattern shifts develop closer to Christmas.

  • Heavy Rains, Thunder, And High Winds On The Way Tonight Through Friday

    Heavy Rains, Thunder, And High Winds On The Way Tonight Through Friday

    A strong cold front is expected to move through the region later this evening, bringing periods of moderate to heavy rainfall, with the potential for a few embedded thunderstorms. Ahead of the front, a surge of unseasonably warm air continues to advance up the East Coast, allowing afternoon temperatures to rise into the upper 50s to near 60 degrees.

    ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM FRIDAY TO 1 AM EST
    SATURDAY...
    
    * WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph
      expected Thursday night through Friday morning. Winds turn to the
      northwest behind a strong cold front Friday afternoon. There may
      be a lull in the strongest wind gusts around midday Friday before
      the cold front passes through the region. Wind gusts in the wake
      of the front up to 50 MPH are possible.
    
    * WHERE...In Delaware, Delaware Beaches County. In New Jersey,
      Eastern Monmouth, Western Monmouth, Atlantic, Atlantic Coastal
      Cape May, Cape May, Coastal Atlantic, Coastal Ocean, Ocean, and
      Southeastern Burlington Counties.
    
    * WHEN...From 1 AM Friday to 1 AM EST Saturday.
    
    * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree
      limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
    
    PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
    
    Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high
    profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

    As the frontal boundary approaches, winds will strengthen significantly, with gusts of 40 to 50 mph possible across portions of New England and the Mid-Atlantic. A Wind Advisory is in effect for several areas. Rainfall totals are currently forecast to range between 0.50 and 1.50 inches, which will be beneficial in helping to alleviate ongoing drought conditions across much of the eastern United States.

    The sharp temperature gradient associated with the frontal passage may provide enough atmospheric instability to support a narrow line of embedded thunderstorms. Within this line, a strong low-level jet could allow isolated stronger wind gusts to mix down to the surface. While widespread severe weather is not anticipated, localized areas may experience brief heavy rainfall and gusty winds.

    Behind the front, gusty conditions will persist through Friday, with winds continuing to gust between 40 and 50 mph at times. Skies will gradually clear as cooler air filters into the region, bringing a return to sunshine and more seasonable temperatures.

  • UPDATED: Accumulating Snowfall Expected Late Tonight; Bitter Arctic Air To Follow

    UPDATED: Accumulating Snowfall Expected Late Tonight; Bitter Arctic Air To Follow

    Another round of accumulating snowfall is on tap for this weekend during the early morning hours Sunday through the late morning hours. Overall snowfall amounts have increased across Central and Northern Delmarva for tonight. A Clipper system approaching from the Mid-west will begin to redevelop a coastal low will bring a band of light to moderate snowfall to the region on Sunday as an arctic frontal boundary moves through bring severely cold temperatures throughout the Eastern US.

    Looks like right now areas across Northern Maryland, Northern Delmarva, and South Jersey will be in the hot seat for seeing the most accumulating snow when the coastal low begins to take over. A widespread swaft of 3-6 inches of snow is likely with areas further south will have lighter precipitation to deal with overall. Making for Sunday morning travel a bit slick with temperatures in the upper 20s to lower 30s and the winds begin to pick up later in the day for some blowing and drifting.

    An Arctic air mass is moving southward, bringing dangerously low temperatures and life-threatening wind chills across a broad swath of the central US, from the Northern Plains towards the Mid-Atlantic

    Temperatures are forecasted to plunge 20 to 30 degrees below normal, with wind chills dropping below -30°F in some areas. This extreme cold poses serious risks to human health, pets, and infrastructure, including the potential for frozen pipes.

    Residents in the affected regions are urged to prepare immediately by taking steps to protect themselves, their animals, and their homes. The agencies emphasize the importance of readiness to mitigate the harsh impacts of this severe weather event.

  • Accumulating Snow On The Way For Sunday; Followed By Arctic Blast

    Accumulating Snow On The Way For Sunday; Followed By Arctic Blast

    Another round of accumulating snowfall is on tap for this weekend during the early morning hours Sunday through the late morning hours. A Clipper system approaching from the Mid-west will begin to redevelop a coastal low will bring a band of light to moderate snowfall to the region on Sunday as a arctic frontal boundary moves through bring severely cold temperatures throughout the Eastern US.

    Looks like right now areas across Northern Maryland, Northern Delmarva, and South Jersey will be in the hot seat for seeing the most accumulating snow when the coastal low begins to take over. A widespread swaft of 2-4 inches of snow seems probable with areas further south will have lighter precipitation to deal with overall. Making for Sunday morning travel a bit slick with temperatures in the upper 20s and the winds begin to pick up later in the day for some blowing and drifting.

    An Arctic air mass is moving southward, bringing dangerously low temperatures and life-threatening wind chills across a broad swath of the central US, from the Northern Plains towards the Mid-Atlantic

    Temperatures are forecasted to plunge 20 to 30 degrees below normal, with wind chills dropping below -30°F in some areas. This extreme cold poses serious risks to human health, pets, and infrastructure, including the potential for frozen pipes.

    Residents in the affected regions are urged to prepare immediately by taking steps to protect themselves, their animals, and their homes. The agencies emphasize the importance of readiness to mitigate the harsh impacts of this severe weather event.

  • Delmarva’s First Measurable Snow Of The Season On Friday

    Delmarva’s First Measurable Snow Of The Season On Friday

    Well folks, it looks like we have our first snowfall of season upon us for Friday. Its not a major event or anything but enough to make things a bit slippery for your Friday morning commute. Only because usually the first snow is the one that gives motorists headaches and no being used to dealing with it on the roadways. Here is the break down.

    A weak flat wave system will be riding along an arctic boundary as precipitation enters the colder airmass. An area of high pressure out ahead providing the fresh arctic airmass will be enough to support a few hours of wet snow across the Mid-Atlantic starting around 2-3am on Friday and become more steady when day breaks. Snow will remain steady through 10am before beginning to taper off and or mixing with rain towards noon across the Maryland Eastern Shore and the VA counties.

    The latest forecast is calling for a spread of a heavy coating to on the high end 2 inches across Southern Maryland and Central Delmarva. This is where the majority of the heavier snow bands will likely end up as temperatures will range from 28-32 during the whole duration. Area further south across Ocean City along the coast will be dealing with some mixing problems at times with the warmer ocean waters nearby. Areas further north across Northern Maryland, Northern Delmarva, and South Jersey will only see a dusting up to a inch with light snow overall based on the latest track.

    As mentioned before, impacts from this winter storm will be very light with only light accumulations expected. Motorists should still use caution on area roadways as they may become icy and slushy at times during the Friday morning commute.

  • CME Alert: Strong Solar Storm May Bring Widespread Aurora to Delmarva Tonight Or Tomorrow Night

    CME Alert: Strong Solar Storm May Bring Widespread Aurora to Delmarva Tonight Or Tomorrow Night

    Space weather forecasters are keeping a close eye on a powerful solar eruption that may bring a dazzling show to the night sky across Delmarva, along with the potential for minor disruptions to technology here on Earth.

    Earlier today, the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) confirmed a fast-moving coronal mass ejection (CME) associated with an intense X5.1-class solar flare that blasted off the Sun from active Region 4274. This marks the strongest flare yet from that sunspot group, and one of the most energetic solar events of the year.

    Preliminary analysis shows the CME is racing toward Earth at extraordinary speeds, with shockwave estimates near 4.4 million miles per hour. Forecasters believe the leading edge could impact Earth as early as late tonight, November 11th, continuing into the early morning hours of November 12th.


    What This Means for Delmarva

    While current projections indicate the CME may not be perfectly directed toward Earth, there still appears to be enough of a direct component to trigger strong geomagnetic storm conditions. SWPC experts are evaluating whether a G4 Watch (a category representing severe impacts) will be needed.

    Under these conditions, residents across Delmarva may have the chance to witness the Northern Lights, an opportunity that’s becoming more frequent as the Sun approaches the peak of its 11-year solar cycle.

    Auroras could become visible tonight after dark, especially if skies remain clear and the geomagnetic field responds strongly.

    Viewing will be best:

    • Away from city lights
    • With a clear north-facing view
    • During peak storming windows expected from 11 PM to 3 AM

    Even smartphone cameras may capture the aurora better than the naked eye thanks to long-exposure capabilities.


    Potential Impacts

    Geomagnetic storms of this magnitude can cause:

    • GPS inaccuracies
    • High-frequency radio disruptions
    • Voltage fluctuations on power grids
    • Impacts to satellites and spacecraft operations

    Airline routing over polar regions may also be adjusted during peak activity to maintain communications reliability.

    The SWPC emphasizes that this situation remains fluid, and forecasters will continue refining projections as new data arrives.


    Stay Alert for Updates

    Residents are encouraged to monitor official forecasts tonight, especially if you’re hoping to catch a rare aurora show right here in the Mid-Atlantic.

    We will provide updates as conditions evolve and viewing opportunities come into better focus.

  • G3 Geomagnetic Storm Watch: Northern Lights Possible Over Delmarva Thursday Night

    G3 Geomagnetic Storm Watch: Northern Lights Possible Over Delmarva Thursday Night

    The northern lights may make a rare appearance over Delmarva Thursday night into early Friday, thanks to a strong solar storm heading toward Earth.

    NOAA’s Space Weather Prediction Center has issued a G3 (Strong) Geomagnetic Storm Watch for November 6–7 UTC days, which covers Thursday evening into Friday morning here on the East Coast. This watch was issued because a coronal mass ejection (CME) a large burst of solar material and magnetic energy is currently racing toward Earth.

    When could we see it?

    Forecasters say the CME may arrive as early as Thursday evening or as late as Friday morning. If it hits with the right strength and magnetic alignment, the northern lights could become visible much farther south than usual, including here on the Delmarva Peninsula.

    What determines visibility?

    Even with a strong watch issued, scientists won’t know the full impact until the CME reaches a spacecraft positioned between the Sun and Earth at Lagrange Point 1, about 1 million miles away. Once that happens, experts will get real-time details on:

    • The CME’s actual speed
    • The strength of its magnetic field
    • The direction that magnetic field is pointing

    If the magnetic field is oriented opposite Earth’s, auroras can dramatically intensify.

    What we might see

    If geomagnetic conditions strengthen after the initial arrival:

    • Faint auroras may appear low on the northern horizon
    • Colors could include greens, pinks, or purples
    • Views improve in dark locations away from city lights

    Cloud cover and bright moonlight can limit visibility, so clear skies will be key.

    Any risks?

    NOAA notes only minor impacts are expected to technology and infrastructure, things like temporary radio or GPS disruptions. For the general public, this is mainly an exciting sky-watching opportunity.


    How to watch

    • Look north toward the horizon
    • Find a dark, open area away from streetlights
    • Check NOAA’s aurora forecasts for real-time updates

    We’ll continue to follow this solar storm closely and update you if aurora visibility increases for our region. Stay tuned, we could be in for a beautiful show from the Sun!

  • Delmarva Skywatchers: Comet Lemmon to Illuminate The Skies Northwest After Sunset

    Delmarva Skywatchers: Comet Lemmon to Illuminate The Skies Northwest After Sunset

    If you’re looking for a celestial treat in the coming nights, keep your eyes on the northwest sky just after sunset — Comet C/2025 A6 (Lemmon) is making its way into evening visibility, and Delmarva is in a prime spot to catch it.

    Discovered in January 2025 by the Mount Lemmon Survey, Comet Lemmon has become one of the most talked-about comets of the year. Originally expected to remain faint, the comet has surprised astronomers by brightening faster than forecast.

    Lemmon will make its closest approach to Earth on October 21, 2025, at about 0.596 AU (roughly 89 million km) away. It reaches perihelion (its closest point to the Sun) on November 8, 2025.

    Currently, the comet is estimated to be around magnitude 5 to 6, making it not quite prominent to the naked eye in most skies — but definitely within reach of binoculars or small telescopes in a dark location. Some predictions are more optimistic, suggesting it might brighten to magnitude ~4 around late October, which would make it more noticeable even to unaided eyes under favorable conditions.

    One of the exciting features now is that Lemmon will be about 42° away from the Sun during its closest approach — meaning it should be visible low in the western sky about an hour after sunset. The star Arcturus (in the constellation Boötes) and the double star Izar are being cited as useful reference points to help find it.

    By mid-to-late October, it should shift from being a dawn object into the evening sky, which greatly improves viewing opportunities for observers who aren’t night-owls.

    Photo: Chuck Ayoub

    What Delmarva Observers Need to Know

    When & Where to Look

    • The comet will be best seen just after nautical twilight, once the sky is fairly dark but before it sinks too close to the horizon.
    • Start scanning the northwest to west-northwest horizon — the comet will be relatively low.
    • Use a low horizon (free from trees or buildings) to maximize your view.
    • For timing, expect prime viewing windows roughly 30 to 90 minutes after sunset, though this will shift slightly each evening as the comet’s position changes.

    Sky Conditions

    • Fortunately, forecasts suggest clear skies are likely — ideal conditions for comet watching.
    • Minimize light pollution: try to get to a darker spot (away from street lights or heavy urban glow) to boost your chances of spotting Lemmon.
    • Use apps like Stellarium, SkySafari, or TheSkyLive to track its nightly position against the background stars.

    Tips for Viewing & Photographing Comet Lemmon

    For Visual Observers (Binoculars / Telescopes)

    • Start with 10×50 or 10×60 binoculars — these will likely pick up the comet before your eyes can.
    • Use a low-power eyepiece in a telescope (e.g. 40–60×) to get a wider field of view and more context.
    • Try averted vision (looking slightly to the side of the comet) — your peripheral vision is better at detecting faint objects.
    • Take time to let your eyes acclimate to the dark (about 20–30 minutes).

    For Astrophotographers

    • Use a wide-field lens (e.g. 24–50 mm) on a full-frame or APS-C camera, or a modest focal length if using a telescope.
    • Aim for exposures of 30–120 seconds, depending on your tracking capability and sky conditions.
    • Use a star-track mount or equatorial tracker if possible, so you can lengthen exposure without the stars trailing.
    • Stack multiple frames in post-processing to improve signal-to-noise and bring out tail structure.
    • Consider taking sequences over several nights — the comet’s movement will allow you to show motion or tail changes.
    • Use dark, flat, and bias calibration frames to clean up the images.

    Caution / Tips

    • Because the comet is low, atmospheric extinction and scattering may dim it. Give yourself some margin.
    • Watch for fog, haze, or humidity near the horizon, which could obscure faint details.
    • Be patient — the comet’s brightness can vary, and fainter comets often require persistence and ideal conditions.

    Why This Is a Special Opportunity

    Comet Lemmon is not a frequently returning visitor — its inbound orbital period is estimated at about 1,350 years, and after its perihelion passage that period may shorten to around 1,150 years. It last visited Earth’s vicinity more than a millennium ago, and this may be our best chance to glimpse it in our lifetime.

    If conditions hold, Lemmon could become the brightest comet of 2025 — a rare and beautiful sight in the autumn sky.

    So, clear your evening calendar (or at least a half hour), pack your binoculars or camera gear, and look northwest after sunset over Delmarva. With luck and clear skies, you may witness a stunning visitor from the outer reaches of the solar system.

  • DEMA Mobilizes Delaware National Guard in Preparation for Coastal Storm Effects

    DEMA Mobilizes Delaware National Guard in Preparation for Coastal Storm Effects

    (SMYRNA, DE) — The Delaware Emergency Management Agency (DEMA) has announced the activation of the Delaware National Guard to support preparations and response efforts as the state faces threats from coastal flooding and strong winds expected to persist through tomorrow.

    Having coordinated with state and local officials since Friday, DEMA said it is strategically deploying Guard resources to where they will be needed most. Reception centers are already open across Kent and Sussex counties, with sheltering plans in place should demand increase. Agencies including the Delaware Department of Health and Social Services, DelDOT, and the American Red Cross are working closely with local authorities to facilitate access to these resources.

    In Bowers Beach, the mayor has issued a voluntary evacuation order for residents east of Whitwells Delight Road. Individuals needing shelter are guided to the Magnolia Fire Company or to contact the Kent County Emergency Operations Center at 302-735-3465 for further guidance.

    Reception Center Locations

    • Kent County: Magnolia Fire Hall, 2 North Main Street, Magnolia, DE
    • Sussex County: Millsboro Fire Hall, 109 E State St, Millsboro, DE

    DelDOT continues to monitor road conditions and post closures through its website and mobile app. Meanwhile, DNREC has closed beaches, surf crossings, and campgrounds at Delaware Seashore State Park and Cape Henlopen State Park until further notice.

    DEMA Director A.J. Schall commented, “We’re monitoring the situation and proactively positioning additional resources to support counties and municipalities in safeguarding residents. DEMA will continue to issue Watches, Warnings, and other directives as needed.”

    Officials warn that moderate-to-major coastal flooding, damaging wind gusts, tree damage, power outages, and roadway flooding remain possible. Additional local evacuations may be ordered if conditions worsen.


    Safety Guidelines for Residents

    1. Enroll in DENS – Sign up for the Delaware Emergency Notification System to receive alerts via phone or email.
    2. Know your zone – Use the Know Your Zone tool to determine whether your address falls within an evacuation zone. Stay alert even if you are outside a designated zone.
    3. Plan your evacuation – Outline a route, inform family members, and carry hard copies of important documents.
    4. Assemble an emergency kit – Include essentials such as medications, food, water, batteries, flashlights, and supplies for pets for 3–7 days.
    5. Stay informed – Monitor trusted media, state agencies’ social accounts, and radio stations for updates.
    6. Turn Around, Don’t Drown – Never drive through floodwaters.

    Emergency Alert Radio Stations: WDEL-AM 1150, WDEL-FM 101.7, WCHK-FM 101.3, WWTX-AM 1290, WRDX-FM 92.9, WJWL-AM 900, WDOV-AM 1410, WSTW-FM 93.7, WDDE-FM 91.1, WILM-AM 1450, WDSD-FM 94.7. Boaters should monitor Marine Channel 16

  • Strong Coastal Low Could Bring Major Impacts to Delmarva This Weekend

    Strong Coastal Low Could Bring Major Impacts to Delmarva This Weekend

    A powerful coastal low is forecast to develop off the Carolina coast late this week before strengthening and tracking northward this weekend. The system is expected to bring gusty winds, heavy rain, and coastal flooding to much of the East Coast — including the Delmarva Peninsula.

    The combination of strong onshore winds, high surf, and high astronomical tides could lead to significant coastal flooding across parts of Delaware, Maryland, and Virginia. The most widespread impacts are expected from Friday night through Sunday, with the highest risk during periods of high tide.

    Persistent onshore winds will also generate dangerous rip currents and high surf, likely leading to beach erosion along the Atlantic coastline and the lower Delaware and Chesapeake Bays. Coastal residents should closely monitor updates and follow any advisories issued by local emergency management or the National Weather Service.

    In addition to flooding, the storm could bring wind gusts over 45 mph, especially along coastal areas, which may result in scattered power outages and tree damage. Heavy rainfall could also lead to localized flooding inland, particularly in poor drainage areas.

    The Weather Prediction Center highlights the Delmarva coast as an area of elevated concern for strong wind gusts and coastal flooding potential this weekend.

    Residents are urged to stay alert as the system approaches and to secure outdoor items ahead of the storm.

  • Very Rare “Fujiwhara Effect” Of Tropical Cyclones Potentially Threaten The Eastern Seaboard

    Very Rare “Fujiwhara Effect” Of Tropical Cyclones Potentially Threaten The Eastern Seaboard

    Ladies and gentlemen, we may get to witness an extremely unique weather phenomena coming into early next week. There has been a lot of talk about something called the “Fujiwhara Effect” and this is becoming more of a real scenario which makes forecasting very difficult. We already have Humberto which formed yesterday in areas north and east of the Lesser Antilles which is expected to become a major hurricane towards the weekend. Another tropical wave near Hispaniola is expected to develop into Imelda and will become in close enough proximity to Humberto to do a bit of a waltz we can say.

    First off what is the Fujiwhara Effect? The Fujiwhara effect describes the rotational interaction of two vortices, such as tropical cyclones, where they orbit a common center and can either merge into one larger storm, cause one to be absorbed, or break apart and move away from each other. The effect, named after Japanese meteorologist Sakuhei Fujiwhara, is more common in the Pacific Ocean, where tropical cyclones are more numerous.

    This is exactly what we have going on here with potentially two tropical cyclones is close enough proximity to start doing some very strange movements as they share a similar fulcrum point between each other. Humberto should stay off our coast but Imelda is the one to watch as this becomes a threat towards the Southeast US coastal toward the Mid-Atlantic coasts. To throw a bigger wrench into things, we have a strong surface high moving in across the Great Lakes and New England with a retrograding upper level low in the Midwest. So many steering currents to bring what would be Imelda towards the US Coastlines. And could stall Imelda in place with a tremendous rainfall threat.

    We really need to see if Imelda can form a center of circulation to get a better handle on where it would go and the impacts with the Fujiwhara. This is going to be a fairly impactful and intriguing setup overall. The meteorology behind this is truly astonishing. Regardless, residents along the Eastern Seaboard need to relate alert as we head into the weekend.

  • Tonight: NASA’s TOMEX+ Mission Could Light Up Delmarva Skies

    Tonight: NASA’s TOMEX+ Mission Could Light Up Delmarva Skies

    Launch Window: Between 10 p.m. tonight and 3 a.m. tomorrow
    Mission: TOMEX+ (Turbulent Oxygen Mixing Experiment Plus)

    What to Expect

    NASA is launching a series of three sounding rockets from Wallops Island tonight as part of the TOMEX+ mission. Its goal? To explore the mesopause, one of the most turbulent atmospheric zones located around 56 miles above Earth, where a layer of atomic sodium resides—created by tiny meteors burning up in the sky

    • First Two Rockets: They’ll release vibrant vapor tracers—colorful clouds that you can photograph from the ground. These tracers help scientists visualize and map wind patterns in the upper atmosphere.
    • Third Rocket (Launching ~5 Minutes Later): Equipped with a lidar instrument, it will emit short pulses of light to precisely measure atmospheric density and movement over time

    Together, this trio offers scientists a uniquely detailed 3D view of turbulence at the edge of space, shedding light on high-altitude cloud formation, satellite drag, and even atmospheric behavior on other planets

    Viewing Tips for Region Residents

    If the skies are clear, residents of Northern Virginia and nearby metro areas like Washington, D.C., Baltimore, and Philadelphia may catch the spectacle:

    • Within 10 seconds of launch: expect visibility closest to Wallops Island.
    • In Northern Virginia and similar zones, visibility may occur 10–30 seconds after liftoff.
    • Western Virginia and parts of Pennsylvania may see it 30–40 seconds post-launch

    A livestream and live mission updates will begin approximately five minutes before each rocket’s launch on NASA’s social media channels


  • Ignoring Warnings Of Hurricane Erin Puts Lives at Risk: Experts Urge Public to Follow Safety Alerts

    Ignoring Warnings Of Hurricane Erin Puts Lives at Risk: Experts Urge Public to Follow Safety Alerts

    — Hurricane Erin is currently off the coast of the Delmarva Pennisula. Beaches along the Eastern Seaboard have raised red flags, warning the public about dangerous surf and rip currents. Public officials, meteorologists, and emergency responders have all strongly advised against entering the water or engaging in beach recreation during this time. Despite this, too many people ignore these warnings. They dismiss the threat by comparing the storm to past hurricanes or by calling official alerts “fake news.” This attitude is not just reckless; it endangers lives. Public weather alerts are issued for one fundamental reason: to save lives and protect communities. These warnings are based on complex meteorological data, satellite tracking, and sophisticated computer forecasting models that take into account storms’ wind speeds, rainfall potential, storm surge, and other hazards. They reflect expert analysis designed to help residents prepare for events that could cause flooding, property damage, injury, or loss of life. The forecasts are never perfect, but they are the single best guide available for decision-making during severe weather. The Delmarva Peninsula is especially vulnerable to the effects of hurricanes and tropical storms. Its low-lying geography makes it prone to flooding and storm surge.

    History confirms the risks. In 2003, Hurricane Isabel caused major flooding on Maryland’s Eastern Shore. Many residents underestimated the danger, leading to costly damages and some fatalities. These events are reminders that storms can rapidly shift in intensity and impact, and no storm can be judged solely by the name or category it carries. Rip currents provide another deadly danger lurking near coastal waters. Even when skies seem clear, distant hurricanes create powerful currents that sweep swimmers away. Each year, lifeguards on Delmarva rescue dozens of people caught in rip currents, and fatalities occur when warnings are ignored. These dangers are not theoretical. Emergency responders put their lives at risk when they respond to people who disregard official advice. Ignoring safety warnings during high surf does not just risk one person’s life; it endangers entire communities and stretches local emergency resources. Social media complicates matters further. While it enables rapid sharing of information, it can also spread false or misleading messages.

    Photo: James Spann

    Posts claiming that storms are “no big deal” or that warnings are exaggerated encourage complacency. This undermines trust in professional meteorologists and emergency officials who spend countless hours ensuring their forecasts are as accurate as possible. Public confidence is essential in emergency management, and misinformation erodes that trust. People often compare new storms to past events, assuming they can “handle it better” or that it “won’t be as bad.” This oversimplifies the complex nature of severe weather. No two storms are exactly alike. Factors like storm speed, rainfall distribution, and coastal geography combine in unique ways each time, making every event different. Dismissing warnings by relying on past experience is dangerous. Sometimes, storms do weaken or shift course, leading some to say the forecasts were wrong. That perception fails to acknowledge the purpose of advance warnings: to give people time to take precautions against worst-case scenarios. It is better to prepare and have a storm pass with minor impacts than to ignore warnings and face disaster unprepared. In summary, public weather alerts exist to protect every member of the community.

    They are developed through rigorous science and decades of storm data. When officials issue beach closures, evacuation orders, or high surf warnings, they do so with public safety as their priority. Ignoring these alerts is not a harmless act of skepticism; it endangers lives, burdens first responders, and threatens entire communities. The best way to protect yourself and those around you is to listen to professional forecasts, respect warnings, and prepare accordingly. Share accurate information and encourage others to do the same. Storms do not negotiate with opinions or social media posts. They follow the rules of nature. Our safety depends on understanding that truth and acting on it.

  • NWS Confirms EF-0 Tornado In Omar, DE On Monday

    NWS Confirms EF-0 Tornado In Omar, DE On Monday

    Public Information Statement
    National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
    1224 PM EDT Wed Jul 2 2025
    
    ...NWS Damage Survey for Sussex County DE Tornado Update #1...
    
    .Update...EF-0 Tornado Confirmed in Frankford, DE on June 30th
    
    .Frankford Tornado...
    
    Rating:                 EF-0
    Estimated Peak Wind:    65 mph
    Path Length /statute/:  0.5 miles
    Path Width /maximum/:   100 yards
    Fatalities:             0
    Injuries:               0
    
    Start Date:             June 30, 2025
    Start Time:             1:16 PM EDT
    Start Location:         Frankford, DE
    Start Lat/Lon:          38.5266, -75.2111
    
    End Date:               June 30, 2025
    End Time:               1:16 PM EDT
    End Location:           Frankford, DE
    End Lat/Lon:            38.5243, -75.2016
    
    Damage assessment determined that an EF0 tornado with a maximum
    wind speed of 65 mph briefly touched down along Omar Rd in
    Frankford, DE and moved ESE over a heavily forested area towards
    Shockley Town Rd. Several brief video clips shared by broadcast
    media and social media showed various angles of a tornado in
    progress in the heavily forested area between Omar Rd and
    Shockley Town Rd. Several large branches were twisted and snapped
    along Omar Rd. Additional damage is possible in the heavily
    forested area, but the survey team was unable to access the area.
    
    Special thanks to local media and the Sussex County Emergency
    Management for their assistance in this storm survey.
    
    &&
    
    EF Scale: The Enhanced Fujita Scale classifies tornadoes into the
    following categories:
    
    EF0.....65 to 85 mph
    EF1.....86 to 110 mph
    EF2.....111 to 135 mph
    EF3.....136 to 165 mph
    EF4.....166 to 200 mph
    EF5.....>200 mph
    
    NOTE:
    The information in this statement is preliminary and subject to
    change pending final review of the event and publication in NWS
    Storm Data.
  • Rare G4 Geomagnetic Storm May Bring Northern Lights to Delmarva Sunday Night

    Rare G4 Geomagnetic Storm May Bring Northern Lights to Delmarva Sunday Night

    Delmarva Peninsula — A rare and powerful G4 (Severe) Geomagnetic Storm Watch has been issued by the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) for Sunday, June 1st, bringing the potential for Northern Lights (aurora borealis) to be visible as far south as parts of the Delmarva Peninsula, pending favorable sky conditions.

    The alert, issued Saturday, cites a series of strong solar eruptions from the Sun’s surface that are sending coronal mass ejections (CMEs) toward Earth. These charged solar particles are forecast to arrive late Sunday (UTC time), with impacts possible through early Monday.

    NOAA’s G-scale for geomagnetic storms ranges from G1 (Minor) to G5 (Extreme). A G4 storm is a rare event, with only a few occurring each solar cycle, and can trigger vibrant auroras that stretch well south of their typical range near the Arctic Circle.

    If skies remain clear Sunday night, residents across Maryland’s Eastern Shore, Delaware, and even coastal Virginia could have a chance to spot the shimmering auroras towards the northern skies—especially from darker rural areas away from city lights.

    In addition to auroras, G4-level geomagnetic storms can cause intermittent issues with GPS accuracy, radio communications, and satellite operations, though infrastructure is generally equipped to handle such events.

    The storm is associated with recent activity from sunspot region 4100 launching a long duration M8 solar flare. SWPC forecasters say the exact timing and intensity of auroral displays will depend on how directly the CME hits Earth’s magnetic field and how the Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) aligns.

    For the best chance at viewing the aurora:

    • Look north after dark Sunday night.
    • Get away from light pollution.
    • Bring a camera—auroras are often more easily detected in long-exposure photos than by eye at lower latitudes.

    This could be one of the most significant aurora viewing opportunities for the Mid-Atlantic region in for 2025 thus far. Stay tuned to local forecasts for cloud cover updates and check the NOAA SWPC or aurora tracking sites for real-time alerts.

  • NOAA Forecasts Above-Normal 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season

    NOAA Forecasts Above-Normal 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season

    The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has issued its outlook for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, predicting above-normal activity. The season, which runs from June 1 through November 30, is expected to produce 13 to 19 named storms, with six to ten becoming hurricanes, and three to five reaching major hurricane status (Category 3 or higher).

    NOAA attributes the heightened activity to several factors, including warmer-than-average sea surface temperatures in the Atlantic Ocean and Caribbean Sea, and a neutral phase of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), which can influence hurricane development.

    “With the combination of warm ocean temperatures and neutral ENSO conditions, the atmosphere is primed for an active hurricane season,” said NOAA Administrator Rick Spinrad.

    This forecast aligns with projections from other institutions, such as Colorado State University and the UK Met Office, which also anticipate above-average hurricane activity for the 2025 season.

    NOAA emphasizes the importance of preparedness, urging residents in hurricane-prone areas to review their emergency plans and stay informed through official channels. The agency’s full fleet of satellites and advanced modeling systems will continue to monitor tropical activity throughout the season.

    For more information and updates, visit NOAA’s National Hurricane Center at www.nhc.noaa.gov.

  • High End EF-1 Tornado Confirmed From Dorchester To Sussex County

    High End EF-1 Tornado Confirmed From Dorchester To Sussex County

    …NWS Damage Survey for 05/16/25 Tornado Event Update #2…

    Update…Added information for Rhodesdale-Bethel Tornado

    Overview…Multiple rounds of storms produced damage across the
    region including a tornado in southern New Jersey and another that
    began in eastern Maryland before crossing into southern Delaware.

    .Rhodesdale-Bethel Tornado…

    Rating: EF-1
    Estimated Peak Wind: 100-110 mph
    Path Length /statute/: 11.4 miles
    Path Width /maximum/: 600 yards (discontinuous circulations)
    Fatalities: 0
    Injuries: 0

    Start Date: May 16, 2025
    Start Time: 6:52 PM EDT
    Start Location: 2 SSE Rhodesdale / Dorchester County / DE
    Start Lat/Lon: 38.5538 / -75.8291

    End Date: May 16, 2025
    End Time: 7:06 PM EDT
    End Location: 1 S Bethel / Sussex County / DE
    End Lat/Lon: 38.5625 / -75.6209

    On Friday May 16th, an EF-1 tornado occurred beginning in
    Dorchester County, Maryland before crossing into Sussex County,
    Delaware.

    The tornado began south-southeast of Rhodesdale, along
    Rhodesdale-Vienna Road. Significant tree damage occurred to a line
    of trees to the east of the road, with many trees snapped along
    their trunks and several more uprooted. The tree damage appeared
    to be convergent with trees bent towards the center of the damaged
    area. The tornado may have lifted briefly as it continued to the
    east-northeast as little damage was noted along Indiantown Road.
    By the time the tornado reached Eldorado-Sharptown Road, damage to
    trees resumed with several more snapped and uprooted. As the
    tornado approached Galestown, damage occurred to an elongated farm
    building, with the entire structure lifted off its foundation and
    pushed several yards to the east-northeast. The most concentrated
    damage was found in Galestown, near where the tornado reached its
    peak width. Radar observations indicate that multiple
    circulations may have been present at this time, resulting in the
    increased width. Many more trees were twisted, snapped, and/or
    uprooted with some causing damage to homes as a result.

    The tornado then moved into Sussex County, Delaware and crossed
    the Nanticoke River. More tree damage was observed in Phillips
    Landing Park where a tree was snapped and twisted near the base of
    its trunk with additional tree damage in the Cherry Walk Woods
    neighborhood and along Phillips Landing Road. Additional trees
    were damaged along Shell Bridge Road with a tree snapped near the
    intersection with Phillips Landing Road. Several large limbs were
    also downed near Broad Creek, south-southwest of Bethel. The
    tornado dissipated in this area though additional damage was noted
    continuing eastward towards Laurel. This was the result of
    straight-line winds associated with the rear-flank downdraft which
    also caused the loss of part and all of the roofs to two
    commercial structures in Laurel as well as additional tree damage
    south of Chipman Pond.

    The National Weather Service would like to thank the Eldorado-
    Brookview Volunteer Fire Company, Laurel Fire Department, and
    Sussex County Emergency Management and Communications for their
    valuable assistance with this survey.

  • NWS Mount Holly to Undergo Scheduled System Upgrade; Temporary Service Adjustments Expected

    NWS Mount Holly to Undergo Scheduled System Upgrade; Temporary Service Adjustments Expected

    The National Weather Service Forecast Office in Mount Holly, NJ will be conducting a required, scheduled update to their Advanced Weather Interactive Processing System (AWIPS) system from 8 AM EDT Tuesday, May 13, 2025 through approximately 5 PM EDT Thursday, May 15, 2025. The NWS uses the AWIPS computer system to display and integrate weather and water information, and to send life-saving information, such as weather and water warnings, to the public.

    During the time of the update, forecast operations will be conducted by the National Weather Service Forecast Office in New York, NY (Upton, NY) to minimize any potential interruption to services. No impacts to our core services of forecast products and weather watches, warnings and advisories are expected during this period. However, limited impacts will occur to the following services: 

    • All NOAA Weather Radio Transmitters maintained by NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly will be off the air through the time of the install. This includes the following transmitters: Hibernia Park, PA; Philadelphia, PA; Allentown, PA; Sudlersville, MD; Lewes, DE; Southhard/Howell Township, NJ; Hardyston, NJ; and Atlantic City, NJ
    • Tidal water level forecast services will be updated less frequently through this period. Forecasts will remain available at water.noaa.gov/wfo/phi and www.weather.gov/erh/coastalflood?wfo=phi 
    • Local graphical forecast maps that are hosted in various places on www.weather.gov/phi will not be updated. This includes all maps on the Graphical Hazardous Weather Outlook page ( https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi).

    The forecast office in Mount Holly, NJ will remain open and staffed throughout this period for public and partner phone calls and additional functions that can be completed without AWIPS.


    If you have any questions, please contact Sarah Johnson, Warning Coordination Meteorologist, by email at [email protected] or by phone at (609) 261-6602 extension 223.  

  • Long Duration Rain Event Possible This Weekend Through Next Week In The Mid-Atlantic

    Long Duration Rain Event Possible This Weekend Through Next Week In The Mid-Atlantic

    A prolonged and potentially significant rain event is increasingly likely to take shape across the Eastern United States beginning this weekend and persisting through much of next week. A classic late-spring pattern is emerging, characterized by a cut-off low-pressure system becoming trapped beneath a blocking ridge to the north—a scenario often associated with extended periods of unsettled weather.

    Forecast data from the ECMWF (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts) highlights a deep 500mb trough settling over the Ohio Valley, with a steady stream of Atlantic moisture being funneled into the region. This setup closely mirrors the persistent pattern observed in May of last year, which brought nearly two weeks of damp, chilly, and gray conditions to much of the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic.

    Both the ECMWF and Canadian (CMC) models are signaling a so-called “firehose” of moisture—originating from the Gulf Stream—pushing into the Mid-Atlantic and New England from Saturday through at least Thursday. The persistent onshore flow raises additional concerns beyond the rainfall itself, including the potential for coastal erosion and localized coastal flooding, particularly in vulnerable shoreline communities.

    Projected rainfall totals are significant. Both the ECMWF and CMC models suggest widespread accumulations of 2 to 6 inches from the D.C.-Maryland-Virginia (DMV) region northward into northern New Jersey. Should these forecasts verify, the event could mark a dramatic reversal of ongoing drought conditions across parts of the Northeast, effectively acting as a “drought buster.”

    While the forecast remains subject to change in the coming days, confidence is growing in a wet and unsettled period ahead—bringing both relief for parched soils and challenges for outdoor activities, agriculture, and coastal infrastructure.

  • Lyrid Meteor Shower 2025: When, Where, and How to See This Spring’s Fiery Display

    Lyrid Meteor Shower 2025: When, Where, and How to See This Spring’s Fiery Display

    Get ready for a springtime sky show! The Lyrid meteor shower is set to peak this week, offering skywatchers across the Northern Hemisphere a chance to witness one of the oldest and most reliable annual meteor showers.

    The 2025 Lyrids will reach their peak overnight Tuesday, April 22 into the early morning hours of Wednesday, April 23. Under dark, clear skies, observers can expect to see 15 to 20 meteors per hour, with some leaving glowing, persistent trails that hang in the sky for seconds at a time.

    When and Where to Watch

    The best time to look for Lyrids is after midnight local time, when the radiant point—located near the bright star Vega in the constellation Lyra—climbs higher into the sky. The higher Vega rises, the better your chances of spotting meteors streaking across the heavens.

    For the best view, head to a dark-sky location away from city lights. Lie back, give your eyes 20 to 30 minutes to adjust, and look up—you don’t need a telescope or binoculars.

    Will the Moon Interfere?

    The first quarter Moon sets before the peak viewing window opens, which means conditions will be much darker in the early morning hours of April 23—perfect for spotting fainter meteors that might otherwise be washed out by moonlight.

    A Shower with Deep Roots

    The Lyrids are caused by debris from Comet C/1861 G1 Thatcher, which last passed through the inner solar system over 160 years ago. First recorded by Chinese astronomers in 687 BCE, the Lyrids have been lighting up Earth’s skies for over 2,700 years, earning a reputation for occasional bursts of intense activity.

    While this year’s shower isn’t expected to produce an outburst, unexpected surges can’t be ruled out—making every meteor you catch feel just a little more magical.

    Weather Outlook

    As always, the weather plays a key role in visibility. Clear skies will offer the best opportunity to catch the show, so check your local forecast in advance. For those under clouds, several astronomy organizations will host livestreams of the event.

    Tips for the Best Experience

    • Go dark: Find a spot away from artificial light for the best contrast.
    • Get comfy: A reclining chair or blanket will help you look straight up without neck strain.
    • Dress warmly: Even in April, nighttime temperatures can dip, especially in open areas.
    • Be patient: It can take time for your eyes to adjust and for the meteors to start putting on a show.

    The Lyrid meteor shower may not be the year’s flashiest, but its long history and crisp spring timing make it a fan favorite. Make a wish—or a dozen—and enjoy one of nature’s best nighttime displays.

  • March 2025 Goes Down as the Windiest on Record for Parts of the U.S.

    March 2025 Goes Down as the Windiest on Record for Parts of the U.S.

    Image From WeatherMatrx

    If you thought March felt windier than usual — you were absolutely right.

    This past March wasn’t just breezy — it was officially the windiest on record for several cities across the Central and Eastern U.S., according to data from the National Weather Service.

    Why Was It So Windy?

    Spring is typically known for being a bit blustery as seasons change. But this year, things were taken to a whole new level.

    Meteorologists say an unusually active jet stream combined with frequent storm systems created a perfect recipe for non-stop wind throughout the month. The strong contrast between areas of high and low pressure kept the air constantly moving — and moving fast.

    Cities That Smashed Records

    Some of the hardest-hit areas for wind records included:

    • Chicago, IL
    • Omaha, NE
    • Kansas City, MO
    • Des Moines, IA

    These cities didn’t just have a few windy days — their average wind speeds for the entire month were 2 to 4 mph higher than normal. That may not sound like much, but for monthly records, that’s a big deal.

    What Were the Impacts?

    The gusty conditions led to plenty of problems:

    • Trees and power lines were knocked down
    • Dust storms reduced visibility across the Plains
    • Wildfire danger spiked in dry areas
    • Air travel was affected with delays and rough landings

    It was a challenging month for truck drivers, travelers, and anyone trying to enjoy the outdoors.

    Will Windy Marches Become More Common?

    It’s too early to say if this is the start of a long-term trend or just a particularly stormy spring. But meteorologists will definitely be keeping an eye on future wind patterns as the climate continues to change.

    Either way, March 2025 will go down in the books as one of the windiest we’ve ever seen — and one that residents across the Midwest and Plains won’t forget anytime soon.

  • GOES-19 Goes Operational Across The US

    GOES-19 Goes Operational Across The US

    A very exciting day in the weather world. Welcome to GOES-19, the brand new updated satellite covering the United States is now in operation!

    GOES-19, formerly known as GOES-U, introduces significant enhancements over its predecessor, GOES-16, particularly in space weather monitoring. A notable addition is the Compact Coronagraph-1 (CCOR-1), the nation’s first operational coronagraph, designed to observe the solar corona and detect coronal mass ejections (CMEs). This instrument provides imagery within 30 minutes of acquisition, a substantial improvement over the previous system’s eight-hour delay, thereby enhancing space weather forecasting capabilities.

    GOES-19 continues the high-temporal resolution imaging capabilities introduced with the GOES-R series but maintains and enhances rapid updates for weather monitoring.

    • Full-Disk Updates Every 5 Minutes: GOES-19 can scan the entire Earth every five minutes, providing near-real-time global coverage to track weather systems, storms, and environmental changes. This allows meteorologists to monitor rapidly developing weather patterns with high-frequency updates.
    • Mesoscale Region Updates Every 30 Seconds: In high-impact weather events, GOES-19 can focus on two mesoscale sectors simultaneously, delivering images every 30 seconds per region. This is crucial for tracking severe thunderstorms, hurricanes, wildfires, and other rapidly evolving atmospheric phenomena, offering nearly real-time updates for forecasters.

    These rapid update capabilities, combined with its advanced instruments like the Advanced Baseline Imager (ABI) and Geostationary Lightning Mapper (GLM), allow GOES-19 to provide even more detailed and timely data, improving short-term forecasting, severe weather warnings, and disaster response efforts.

    ​GOES-19, previously known as GOES-U, introduces several advanced features over its predecessor, GOES-16, enhancing both Earth and space weather monitoring capabilities.​

    Enhanced Magnetometer (GMAG): GOES-19 is equipped with an upgraded magnetometer that offers improved measurements of Earth’s magnetic field compared to earlier GOES-R series satellites.

    These advancements position GOES-19 as a critical asset in NOAA’s mission to provide timely and accurate environmental data, ensuring improved forecasting and preparedness for both terrestrial and space weather phenomena.

  • Severe Weather On Tap For Monday Evening Across Delmarva

    Severe Weather On Tap For Monday Evening Across Delmarva

    Strong to severe thunderstorms remain on tap as we venture into the afternoon and evening hours today as a strong cold front advances from the west. A “Slight Risk” of severe weather from the Storm Prediction Center laid across all of the Mid-Atlantic today.

    Looking at satellite this morning over towards our west a nice blanket of sunshine moving into the region to help destabilize the atmosphere with surface heating as temperatures are expected to be well into the 70s as dew points surge into the 60s to have plenty of moisture in place. Well suited for thunderstorm develop later today.

    The first round of storms will begin to develop across the Maryland Western shore around the mid-afternoon hours (4-5PM) which will have the highest chances of larger hail or even an isolated tornado being discrete in nature. Later in the evening hours as the cold front arrives, a squall line likely to develop with the primary threat of damaging straight line winds. Although a quick spin up in the line is always a possibility but those probabilities remain on the low side of things.

    As mentioned before, the primary threat for the storms this afternoon will be indeed damaging straight line winds from the main squall line that moves through towards the evening hours from 7-10PM. Winds gusting as high as 70 mph are possible with the strongest portions of the line. Heavy rainfall from the squall line of 1-3″/hr could lead to some localized flooding in spots. During the mid afternoon hours when a few discrete cells form will have the best shot of large hail to 1″ or locally larger. Tornado threat remains low but not impossible for the first cells to develop in the afternoon hours and then again in the line itself.

  • ECMWF Weather Model to Adopt Fully Open Data Policy in 2025

    ECMWF Weather Model to Adopt Fully Open Data Policy in 2025

    The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) has announced it will transition to a fully open data model in 2025, granting public access to its extensive troves of weather prediction data.

    The move marks a significant shift for ECMWF, which has traditionally maintained a subscription-based system for much of its data. Under the new policy, all forecast data, historical records, and related meteorological datasets will be freely accessible. The change aligns ECMWF with the principles of open data and follows a growing trend among global meteorological institutions to enhance transparency and accessibility.

    “This is a transformative moment for meteorology and climate science,” said ECMWF Director-General Florence Rabier. “By making our data fully open, we empower researchers, businesses, and the public with vital information that can improve weather forecasting, climate resilience, and decision-making across multiple sectors.”

    ECMWF is renowned for producing some of the world’s most accurate weather forecasts, supporting disaster response efforts, aviation, agriculture, and climate research. The organization’s data is widely utilized by meteorologists and policymakers globally.

    The open data initiative is expected to benefit innovation in artificial intelligence and machine learning, as researchers will have unrestricted access to one of the most comprehensive meteorological datasets available. The change will also aid governments and humanitarian organizations in making timely, data-driven decisions during extreme weather events.

    ECMWF will implement the new policy in phases throughout 2025, ensuring a seamless transition for current users. More details on the rollout plan and specific datasets to be released will be provided in the coming months.

    The announcement underscores a broader movement toward open science, reinforcing ECMWF’s role as a leader in global weather and climate forecasting.

    For more information, visit www.ecmwf.int.

  • Severe Weather Awareness Week Day 4: Lightning Safety

    Severe Weather Awareness Week Day 4: Lightning Safety

    There is no safe place outside when thunderstorms are in the area. If you hear thunder, you are likely within striking distance of the storm. Just remember, When Thunder Roars, Go Indoors. Too many people wait far too long to get to a safe place when thunderstorms approach. Unfortunately, these delayed actions lead to many of the lightning deaths and injuries in the United States.

    Lightning is a giant spark of electricity in the atmosphere or between the atmosphere and the ground. In the initial stages of development, air acts as an insulator between the positive and negative charges in the cloud and between the cloud and the ground; however, when the differences in charges becomes too great, this insulating capacity of the air breaks down and there is a rapid discharge of electricity that we know as lightning. There’s so much to learn about lightning.

    Lightning kills about 20 people each year in the United States and hundreds more are injured. Some survivors suffer lifelong neurological damage. Here’s more information on the victims and the survivors.

  • Severe Weather Awareness Week: Day 3 “Severe Thunderstorms & Hail”

    Severe Weather Awareness Week: Day 3 “Severe Thunderstorms & Hail”

    Severe thunderstorms are officially defined as storms that are capable of producing hail that is an inch or larger or wind gusts over 58 mph. Hail this size can damage property such as plants, roofs and vehicles. Wind this strong is able to break off large branches, knock over trees or cause structural damage to trees. Some severe thunderstorms can produce hail larger than softballs or winds over 100 mph, so please pay attention to the weather so you know when severe storms are possible. Thunderstorms also produce tornadoes and dangerous lightning; heavy rain can cause flash flooding.

    Do you know the difference between a National Weather Service Severe Thunderstorm Watch and a Severe Thunderstorm Warning? Check your knowledge below.

    Severe Thunderstorm Watch: Be Prepared! Severe thunderstorms are possible in and near the watch area. Stay informed and be ready to act if a severe thunderstorm warning is issued. The watch area is typically large, covering numerous counties or even states.

    Severe Thunderstorm Warning: Take Action! Severe weather has been reported by spotters or indicated by radar. Warnings indicate imminent danger to life and property. Take shelter in a substantial building. Get out of mobile homes that can blow over in high winds. Warnings typically encompass a much smaller area (around the size of a city or small county) that may be impacted by a large hail or damaging wind identified by an NWS forecaster on radar or by a trained spotter/law enforcement who is watching the storm.

    Find out what you can do before severe weather strikes. Preparation is key to staying safe and minimizing impacts.

    • Be Weather-Ready: Check the forecast regularly to see if you’re at risk for severe weather. Listen to local news or a NOAA Weather Radio to stay informed about severe thunderstorm watches and warnings. Check the Weather-Ready Nation for tips.
    • Sign Up for Notifications: Know how your community sends warning. Some communities have outdoor sirens. Others depend on media and smart phones to alert residents to severe storms.
    • Create a Communications Plan: Have a family plan that includes an emergency meeting place and related information. Pick a safe room in your home such as a basement, storm cellar or an interior room on the lowest floor with no windows. Get more ideas for a plan at: https://www.ready.gov/make-a-plan
    • Practice Your Plan: Conduct a family severe thunderstorm drill regularly so everyone knows what to do if a damaging wind or large hail is approaching. Make sure all members of your family know to go there when severe thunderstorm warnings are issued. Don’t forget pets if time allows.
    • Prepare Your Home : Keep trees and branches trimmed near your house. If you have time before severe weather hits, secure loose objects, close windows and doors, and move any valuable objects inside or under a sturdy structure.
    • Help Your Neighbor: Encourage your loved ones to prepare for severe thunderstorms. Take CPR training so you can help if someone is hurt during severe weather.

    Find out what you can do when severe weather strikes. Acting quickly is key to staying safe and minimizing impacts.

    • Stay Weather Ready: Continue to listen to local news or a NOAA Weather Radio to stay updated about severe thunderstorm watches and warnings.
    • At Your House: Go to your secure location if you hear a severe thunderstorm warning. Damaging wind or large hail may be approaching. Take your pets with you if time allows.
    • At Your Workplace or School: Stay away from windows if you are in a severe thunderstorm warning and damaging wind or large hail is approaching. Do not go to large open rooms such as cafeterias, gymnasiums or auditoriums.
    • Outside: Go inside a sturdy building immediately if severe thunderstorms are approaching. Sheds and storage facilities are not safe. Taking shelter under a tree can be deadly. The tree may fall on you. Standing under a tree also put you at a greater risk of getting struck by lightning.
    • In a Vehicle: Being in a vehicle during severe thunderstorms is safer than being outside; however, drive to closest secure shelter if there is sufficient time.

    What should you do when the lightning and thunder stops and it looks likes the severe thunderstorm is over?

    • Stay Informed: Continue listening to local news or a NOAA Weather Radio to stay updated about severe thunderstorm watches and warnings. More severe thunderstorms could be headed your way.
    • Contact Your Family and Loved Ones: Let your family and close friends know that you’re okay so they can help spread the word. Text messages or social media are more reliable forms of communication than phone calls.
    • Assess the Damage: After you are sure the severe weather threat has ended, check your property for damages. When walking through storm damage, wear long pants, a long-sleeved shirt and sturdy shoes. Contact local authorities if you see power lines down. Stay out of damaged buildings. Be aware of insurance scammers if your property has been damaged.
    • Help Your Neighbor: If you come across people that are injured and you are properly trained, if needed, provide first aid to victims until emergency response team members arrive.
  • Delaware Severe Weather Awareness Week: Day 2 “Tornado Safety”

    Delaware Severe Weather Awareness Week: Day 2 “Tornado Safety”

    Delaware Severe Weather Awareness Week is a reminder that Delaware has been hit with many major weather events within the past five years. This year marks five years since Tropical Storm Isaias spawned the longest tornado ever recorded in Delaware, which wreaked a path of destruction as it traveled from Dover in Kent County to Glasgow in New Castle County. In April of 2023, a tragic tornado fatality occurred in Sussex County. It was the first tornado-related death since two people were killed near a mobile home community near Hartly on July 21, 1983. Record rainfall from the remnants of Hurricane Ida in 2021 caused historic flooding in parts of downtown Wilmington,

    What is a Tornado?

    A tornado is a violently rotating column of air extending from the base of a thunderstorm down to the ground. Tornadoes are capable of completely destroying well-made structures, uprooting trees, and hurling objects through the air like deadly missiles. Tornadoes can occur at any time of day or night and at any time of the year. Although tornadoes are most common in the Central Plains and the southeastern United States, they have been reported in all 50 states.

    What Are The Differences Between A Tornado Watch & Tornado Warnings

    What is the difference between a Tornado Watch, a Tornado Warning and a Tornado Emergency?  The National Weather Service has three key alerts to watch out for.

    • Tornado Watch: Be Prepared!  Tornadoes are possible in and near the watch area. Review and discuss your emergency plans, take inventory of your supplies and check your safe room. Be ready to act quickly if a warning is issued or you suspect a tornado is approaching. Acting early helps to save lives! Watches are issued by the Storm Prediction Center for counties where tornadoes may occur. The watch area is typically large, covering numerous counties or even states.
    • Tornado Warning: Take Action! A tornado has been sighted or indicated by weather radar. There is imminent danger to life and property. Move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If in a mobile home, a vehicle, or outdoors, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Warnings are issued by your local forecast office. Warnings typically encompass a much smaller area (around the size of a city or small county) that may be impacted by a tornado identified by a forecaster on radar or by a trained spotter/law enforcement who is watching the storm.
    • Tornado Emergency: Seek Shelter Immediately! A tornado emergency is the National Weather Service’s highest alert level. It is issued when a violent tornado has touched down in the watch area. There is a severe threat to human life and property, with catastrophic damage confirmed. Immediately seek refuge in the safest location possible. Call friends and family who are within the watch area to ensure they are aware of the situation. If you see a tornado approaching, do not attempt to outrun it in a vehicle; shelter in place. Once safe, be sure to monitor your local forecast for the latest updates.

    How To Prepare For A Tornado

    • Be Weather-Ready: Check the forecast regularly to see if you’re at risk for tornadoes. Listen to local news or a NOAA Weather Radio to stay informed about tornado watches and warnings. Check the Weather-Ready Nation for tips.
    • Sign Up for Notifications: Know how your community sends warnings. Some communities have outdoor sirens. Others depend on media and smart phones to alert residents of severe storms capable of producing tornadoes.
    • Create a Communications Plan: Have a family plan that includes an emergency meeting place and related information. If you live in a mobile home or home without a basement, identify a nearby safe building you can get too quickly, such as a church or family member.
    • Pick a safe room in your home, such as a basement, storm cellar, or an interior room on the lowest floor with no windows. Check more ideas for your family plan at: https://www.ready.gov/make-a-plan
    • Practice Your Plan: Conduct a family severe thunderstorm drill regularly so everyone knows what to do if a tornado is approaching. Make sure all members of your family know to go there when tornado warnings are issued. Don’t forget pets if time allows.
    • Prepare Your Home: Consider having your safe room reinforced. You can find plans for reinforcing an interior room to provide better protection on the Federal Emergency Management Agency website.
    • Help Your Neighbor: Encourage your loved ones to prepare for the possibility of tornadoes. Take CPR training so you can help if someone is hurt.

    What To Do During A Tornado

    Find out what you can do when a tornado strikes. Acting quickly is key to staying safe and minimizing impacts.

    • Stay Weather-Ready: Continue to listen to local news or a NOAA Weather Radio to stay updated about tornado watches and warnings.
    • At Your House: If you are in a tornado warning, go to your basement, safe room, or an interior room away from windows. Don’t forget pets if time allows.
    • At Your Workplace or School: Follow your tornado drill and proceed to your tornado shelter location quickly and calmly. Stay away from windows and do not go to large open rooms such as cafeterias, gymnasiums, or auditoriums.
    • Outside: Seek shelter inside a sturdy building immediately if a tornado is approaching. Sheds and storage facilities are not safe. Neither is a mobile home or tent.  If you have time, get to a safe building.
    • In a vehicle: Being in a vehicle during a tornado is not safe. The best course of action is to drive to the closest shelter. If you are unable to make it to a safe shelter, either get down in your car and cover your head, or abandon your car and seek shelter in a low lying area such as a ditch or ravine.

    What To Do After A Tornado Strikes

    • Stay Informed: Continue to listen to local news or a NOAA Weather Radio to stay updated about tornado watches and warnings. Multiple rounds of thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes are possible during severe weather outbreaks.
    • Contact Your Family and Loved Ones: Let your family and close friends know that you’re okay so they can help spread the word. Text messages or social media are more reliable forms of communication than phone calls.
    • Assess the Damage: After the threat for tornadoes has ended, check to see if your property has been damaged. When walking through storm damage, wear long pants, a long-sleeved shirt, and sturdy shoes. Contact local authorities if you see power lines down. Stay out of damaged buildings. Be aware of insurance scammers if your property has been damaged.
    • Help Your Neighbor: If you come across people that are injured and you are properly trained, provide first aid to victims if needed until emergency response teams arrive.
  • Severe Weather And High Winds Possible Again This Weekend On Delmarva

    Severe Weather And High Winds Possible Again This Weekend On Delmarva

    Once again another powerful storm system is expected to develop across the central lower 48 later this week posing a widespread multi-day severe weather outbreak with damaging winds, large hail, tornadoes, and another high wind event impacting millions across the country. The Storm Prediction Center has highlighted a “Slight Risk” of severe weather across the Mid-Atlantic region on Sunday for thunderstorms capable of producing damaging winds along a powerful cold front to swipe through the area.

    Although areas across Delmarva and the surrounding areas will escape the extreme brunt of the severe weather, gusty thunderstorms are possible during the afternoon hours on Saturday where we have surface temperatures well above average into the lower 70s, sufficient moisture with dew points in the 60s, and not to mention the amount of wind shear available. Although the details remain unclear on the severity of the damaging winds or a tornado threat at this time, we will continue to monitor the threat as time gets closer.

    With or without the presence of thunderstorms, strong non-thunderstorm winds will become a problem yet again with wind gusts 40-60 MPH are very possible when this front arrives. Enough to cause more issues with down tree limbs and sporadic power outages. Thunderstorms will only enhance the wind threat more similar to what we seen from last weeks event.

    With a strong low level Jetstream reaching 50-70mph at 5000ft, some of those stronger winds could reach down to the surface at times with the gusty showers and embedded thunderstorms. We will continue to monitor the latest forecast trends as we approach closer towards the weekend.

  • Active Weather Pattern to Impact U.S. Late Next Week into the Weekend

    Active Weather Pattern to Impact U.S. Late Next Week into the Weekend

    An active weather pattern is set to affect much of the United States late next week and into the weekend, with strong weather systems expected to bring heavy precipitation, high winds, and potential drought conditions to various regions.

    The National Weather Service forecasts a strong surface low moving across the country, particularly impacting the central and eastern U.S. This will likely bring periods of heavy rainfall and high winds, while the Southern Plains may experience below-average precipitation and rapid onset drought conditions.

    Heavy Precipitation and High Winds Expected

    From late next week through the weekend, the East Coast will face a high risk (over 60% chance) of heavy precipitation. A broader moderate risk (40-60% chance) extends across much of the eastern U.S., with areas experiencing saturated soils potentially at risk for flooding. In the Northern and Central Plains, Upper Mississippi Valley, and Western Great Lakes, moderate snow accumulation is anticipated, along with high winds in many central U.S. states.

    The combination of snow and wind could cause disruptions to transportation networks, power outages, and tree damage. Meanwhile, regions across eastern New Mexico, western Texas, and southwestern Oklahoma are facing the threat of rapid drought development.

    Dry Conditions in the Southern Plains

    While much of the U.S. is set to see above-normal precipitation, parts of Texas and southwestern Oklahoma are forecast to experience below-average rainfall, which could intensify drought conditions. The persistent dry conditions and strong winds could increase the risk of significant wildfires in the area.

    Potential Impacts and Hazards

    The forecasted heavy precipitation could lead to flooding in areas still recovering from the aftermath of Hurricane Helene, particularly along the East Coast. As the storm system moves across the country, high winds may bring additional challenges, from power disruptions to transportation delays. The ongoing dry conditions in the Southern Plains also raise concerns about rapidly worsening drought and wildfire risks.

    As this active weather pattern unfolds, residents are encouraged to stay informed and prepare for potential disruptions.

  • DOGE Looks To Terminate Critical NOAA Leases To NCEP And WPC

    DOGE Looks To Terminate Critical NOAA Leases To NCEP And WPC

    The Trump administration has notified the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) of impending lease cancellations for two critical weather forecasting centers, including the NOAA Center for Weather and Climate Prediction in College Park, Maryland.

    Facilities Affected

    The NOAA Center for Weather and Climate Prediction houses the National Weather Service’s National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP), which includes the Environmental Modeling Center. This facility is integral to the development and operation of computer models essential for daily weather forecasting nationwide. The lease cancellation date remains undetermined.

    Government Efficiency Measures

    This action is part of broader efforts by the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), led by Elon Musk, to reduce government office space leases. The initiative aims to streamline federal operations by terminating leases deemed non-essential.

    Criticism and Concerns

    Former NOAA officials and meteorologists have expressed alarm over the potential impacts on weather forecasting and public safety. Andrew Rosenberg, a former NOAA official, criticized the measure, likening it to using a “chainsaw” for government cuts.

    Al Roker, a prominent meteorologist, also condemned the decision, highlighting the risks posed by reducing the workforce responsible for tracking severe weather events.

    Legislative Response

    Senator Chris Van Hollen (D-Md.) is investigating the lease cancellations and has requested explanations from Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick. This follows recent layoffs at NOAA, with reports indicating that approximately 600 employees, or 5% of the NOAA workforce, have been terminated.

    Potential Impact on Americans

    The lease cancellations and workforce reductions at NOAA could significantly impair the agency’s ability to provide accurate and timely weather forecasts. This degradation in forecasting capabilities may affect various sectors, including agriculture, aviation, and emergency management, potentially compromising public safety during extreme weather events.

    The situation underscores the critical role of NOAA in safeguarding lives and property through reliable weather prediction and highlights concerns about the consequences of diminishing federal support for essential scientific services.

  • Severe Weather & High Wind Threat Wednesday

    Severe Weather & High Wind Threat Wednesday

    As a powerful storm system begins to develop across the Central Plains, rounds of severe weather are expected from the deep south towards the Mid-Atlantic. As the month turns a new, we are now in Meteorological Spring and the severe weather threats begin showing up across the country.

    As a strong area of low pressure lifts up towards the Great Lakes, a tight pressure gradient will create tons of wind energy all over the eastern portions of the United States. On the warm side of the system as a powerful cold front advances eastward, instability and moisture coming from the Gulf will create a line of strong to severe thunderstorms to move through the Mid-Atlantic Wednesday afternoon.

    A Slight Risk Of Severe Weather is in place across the Delmarva region down towards areas of the Carolinas. Primary threats will include strong damaging winds and the chance of a isolated tornado can not be ruled out. Storm Prediction Center meteorologist Jeremy Kerr had this to say about the overall threat.

       "Models indicate that surface dew points may increase into the 60s F
    in a corridor across the Carolinas through Virginia during the day.
    Latest NAM forecast soundings suggest that this might occur across
    parts of the Carolina Piedmont into coastal plain prior to the
    arrival of a remnant convective band emerging from the eastern Gulf
    States. Although lower/mid-tropospheric lapse rates are forecast to
    be rather weak, weak near-surface destabilization might become
    sufficient to support a risk for tornadoes and/or damaging straight
    line wind gusts, given forecast very large, clockwise curved
    low-level hodographs.

    In the wake of this initial band of convection, beneath a developing
    dry slot, northward moisture advection and insolation to the lee of
    the Blue Ridge may contribute to modest destabilization by late
    Wednesday afternoon. It appears that this will be aided by the
    leading edge of stronger mid-level cooling spreading to the east of
    the Appalachians, and accompanied by increasing thunderstorm
    development in the presence of strong deep-layer shear. Although
    forecast soundings suggest that low-level hodographs may become more
    modest by this time as the stronger low-level jet core spreads
    offshore, the environment may still become conducive to supercells
    with potential to produce severe wind, hail and perhaps a tornado."

    Including the threat for severe weather, high non-thunderstorm wind damage is possible with a strengthening low level jet stream across the region. Model guidance has been showing very strong low level Jetstream winds of 60-80kts at 5000 feet which can be brought down to the surface from heavy rain or thunderstorms.

    As of this time, strong winds of 45 upwards to 60 mph are possible as this powerful cold front arrives during the afternoon hours on Wednesday. Winds of this magnitude can bring down trees and powerlines to create sporadic areas of power outages. Winds will continue to be strong after the cold front passes through as the pressure gradient remaining strong through Thursday.

  • Fire Weather Watch Issued for Delaware and Eastern Shore of Maryland: Critical Fire Danger Possible

    Fire Weather Watch Issued for Delaware and Eastern Shore of Maryland: Critical Fire Danger Possible

    MOUNT HOLLY, N.J. — The National Weather Service has issued a Fire Weather Watch for Delaware and the Upper Eastern Shore of Maryland, in effect from Saturday morning through Saturday evening.

    The watch covers New Castle, Kent, Inland Sussex, and the Delaware Beaches, as well as Kent, Queen Anne’s, Talbot, and Caroline counties in Maryland.

    Forecasters warn of an increased risk of wildfires due to a combination of strong winds and low relative humidity. Northwest winds are expected to range between 15 to 25 mph, with gusts up to 35 mph. Humidity levels could drop as low as 25%, creating conditions that could cause any fires to ignite and spread quickly.

    Officials strongly discourage outdoor burning during this period.

    A Fire Weather Watch indicates that critical fire weather conditions may develop. Residents should stay updated on the latest forecasts and be prepared for potential Red Flag Warnings.

    For information on wildfire safety, burn restrictions, and prevention, visit your state’s forestry or environmental protection website.

  • Major Storm System Across The Country Next Week: High Winds & Severe Weather

    Major Storm System Across The Country Next Week: High Winds & Severe Weather

    A major storm system is on the way across the Central Plains towards the East Coast bringing a plethora of heavy rain, severe weather and high winds. A severe weather risk from Tuesday-Wednesday where approximately 60 million people are in the threat regions for damaging winds, large hail, and the threat for tornadoes

    The Storm Prediction Center center highlighting a 30% severe weather risk across Northern Lousiana towards Western Kentucky with a large 15% risk from Illinois towards the Gulf Coast Tuesday. Extending into the Mid-Atlantic and the Southeast US on Wednesday. SPC Meteorologist Jeremy Kerr had this to say about the storm threat next week.

    ” Spread typical at this extended time frame (day 5) lingers among the
    various model output concerning the sub-synoptic, and even synoptic,
    details across the southeastern Great Plains through Ohio Valley and
    Southeast, which may considerably impact the severe weather risk
    area and potential. However, the medium-range guidance depicts an
    environment at least conditionally supportive of an organized severe
    weather event, including potential for a few strong tornadoes and
    damaging straight line winds.

    It is possible, but perhaps a bit more uncertain, that this could
    continue across parts of the southern and middle Atlantic Seaboard
    on Wednesday.”

    While the threat for severe weather isn’t enough, this system will be quite the wind maker as well. A powerful Jetstream combined with a strong low level Jetstream of 60-80kts. Providing a lot of wind energy down towards the surface. And with the presence of thunderstorms, that wind threat may increase even more going forward.

    As of now winds gusting 45-60 MPH are not out of the question come Wednesday which may lead to more episodes of down trees, and sporadic power outages. In the event of thunderstorms are in the mix, winds could become locally stronger bringing some of those powerful winds down to the surface.

  • Snowfall Forecast Across Delmarva Weds-Thurs Feb 19-20th

    Snowfall Forecast Across Delmarva Weds-Thurs Feb 19-20th

    A very difficult forecast remains in place as small portions of Delmarva are under the gun for a significant winter storm. A massive shift in the overall storm track the last 24-48 hours taking what would have been a widespread severe winter storm to more of a nuisance across northern and central Delmarva. And quite honestly one of the biggest failures of all numerical models I have seen thus far in my 15 years of doing this. From having a universal 100% trend for days and days with all the medium range guidance to a 200-300 mile shift south over the weekend is mind boggling.

    NBM blends continue to drop across areas of Central Delmarva where there will be a sharp cut off from the northern axis of precipitation. Light accumulations are expected through these areas while further south in Accomack and Northampton counties are still in great shape of significant accumulations of 6 inches or more.

    Of course there has to be one that wants to throw a wrench into the mix and that is the NAM model which wants to shift back north again bringing the pain of widespread significant snowfall. Although the NAM is on this ship alone which at this point in the game is the major outlier. Especially for the fact of bringing 17 inches snow across Salisbury, MD which was the original outputs before the weekend timeframe with all the guidance. Just not feasible anymore at this late in the game. Unless the NAM is seeing something that we don’t. Which i doubt is the case.

    NOAA’s WSSI Index highlighting moderate to major impacts from this winter storm across Accomack and Northampton counties.

    In the National Weather Service’s Winter Storm Severity Index (WSSI), the “Major Impacts” category indicates potentially life-threatening conditions and significant disruptions to daily life and infrastructure.

    Key Characteristics of “Major Impacts”:

    • Travel may become dangerous or impossible due to heavy snow, ice accumulation, or blizzard conditions.
    • Widespread power outages are likely, especially with ice storms or strong winds.
    • Infrastructure and emergency response may be severely strained, with delayed or limited emergency services.
    • Potential closures of roads, schools, and businesses due to hazardous conditions.
    • Risk to life and property, particularly for those caught in extreme conditions without proper preparation.

    This level is just below the most severe category, “Extreme Impacts,” but still signifies a high-impact winter storm that requires preparation and caution.

  • High Wind Warning Issued For All Of The Mid-Atlantic: What You Need to Know

    High Wind Warning Issued For All Of The Mid-Atlantic: What You Need to Know

    A High Wind Warning is in effect from 10 AM Sunday to 6 PM Monday for all of Delaware, Maryland And Virginia. Strong west winds of 20 to 30 mph with gusts reaching up to 60 mph are expected throughout the region.

    Hazards of High Winds

    Winds of this magnitude can create significant hazards, including:

    • Falling Trees and Power Lines: The combination of strong gusts and saturated ground can easily topple trees, leading to widespread power outages and blocked roadways.
    • Structural Damage: High winds can cause damage to roofs, siding, fences, and outdoor furniture. Unsecured objects can become dangerous projectiles.
    • Difficult Travel Conditions: High-profile vehicles such as trucks, RVs, and buses will be especially vulnerable to strong crosswinds. Bridges and open roads will be hazardous.
    • Flying Debris: Loose objects such as garbage bins, decorations, and construction materials can be lifted and thrown, posing risks to people and property.

    How to Prepare for High Winds

    Taking proactive measures can help reduce damage and improve safety during this event:

    Before the Windstorm

    • Secure Outdoor Objects: Bring in or anchor loose items such as patio furniture, trash cans, and decorations.
    • Trim Trees and Branches: Remove weak limbs that could break and cause damage.
    • Charge Electronics: Power outages are likely, so ensure phones, flashlights, and backup batteries are fully charged.
    • Reinforce Windows and Doors: Close and lock all windows and doors. Consider storm shutters or plywood for additional protection.
    • Prepare an Emergency Kit: Include essentials such as flashlights, extra batteries, bottled water, non-perishable food, first-aid supplies, and necessary medications.

    During the Windstorm

    • Stay Indoors: Remain in the lower levels of your home, away from windows and exterior walls.
    • Avoid Unnecessary Travel: If you must drive, be extra cautious, especially on bridges and open roads.
    • Watch for Falling Debris: Avoid walking under trees, power lines, or unstable structures.

    After the Windstorm

    • Check for Damage: Assess your property for broken windows, roof damage, and fallen trees.
    • Report Power Outages: Contact your local utility provider to report outages or downed power lines. Stay at least 30 feet away from fallen wires.
    • Clear Debris Safely: Use caution when removing branches or other debris from your property.

    Stay Informed

    Monitor updates for real-time alerts and emergency instructions. Keeping informed can help you respond effectively to changing conditions.

    With proper preparation and caution, you can minimize the risks associated with this significant wind event. Stay safe and take necessary precautions to protect yourself, your family, and your property.

  • Historic Arctic Outbreak and Potential Severe Winter Storm Poised to Impact Central and Eastern U.S. Next Week

    Historic Arctic Outbreak and Potential Severe Winter Storm Poised to Impact Central and Eastern U.S. Next Week

    A robust Arctic air mass is forecast to plunge into the Central U.S. next week, bringing widespread record-breaking low temperatures and dangerously low wind chills. Meteorologists indicate high confidence in this event, with numerous daily minimum temperature records expected to be set from the central Plains to the south-central U.S. between Tuesday and Friday. Some locations may approach or exceed their lowest recorded temperatures for this late in the winter season, with the freeze line potentially reaching as far south as the Gulf Coast.

    Hazardous Wind Chill Conditions Expected

    Accompanying the frigid temperatures, dangerously low wind chills ranging from -30°F to -60°F are expected across the northern Plains, persisting for several days. These conditions significantly increase the risk of frostbite and hypothermia with even brief exposure. Sub-zero wind chills are forecast to extend southward into Texas, Arkansas, and portions of western Tennessee and Kentucky, posing a widespread risk to public safety and infrastructure.

    Increased Potential for Winter Storm and Heavy Snowfall

    In addition to the Arctic outbreak, there is an increasing probability of a significant severe winter storm forming along the periphery of the cold air mass. While the specific track and intensity remain uncertain, current model guidance suggests that areas from the central Plains and the Ozarks to Kentucky through potentially the Northeast U.S. corridor could experience a highly impactful snowfall. Given the dynamic nature of winter storm development, continued monitoring of forecasts is essential as the system evolves.

    Model guidance continues to grow higher confidence of a severe winter storm with snowfall amounts exceeding 10 inches is becoming more of a reality. NBM probability outputs show very highly probabilities of >60% for 6 inches or more of snowfall with going as far as >30% chance of 12 inches or more of snowfall.

  • Washout Of A Weekend On The Way For The Delmarva Region

    Washout Of A Weekend On The Way For The Delmarva Region

    If you were hoping to have a nice weekend ahead with good weather, this is not the weekend for it. Although the rain is welcomed and very beneficial for the ongoing extreme drought we are in, makes for plans to be remaining indoors. Rain will begin to move into the region during the afternoon hours on Saturday as a warm front lifts through. Rain will be heavy at times after dark through the morning hours.

    There will be a lull in the precipitation heading into the later morning hours on Sunday but we will see a noticeable increase in temperatures surging into the mid 60s. A cold front will be arriving later in the after hours bringing back the heavy rainfall and maybe even a few gusty thunderstorms are possible.

    The Storm Prediction center already highlighting a “Marginal” risk of severe weather for the afternoon hours on Sunday as a potential thing line of storms may form along the cold front. Although not expecting widespread thunderstorm development, a few rogue storms are not out of the question.

    Rainfall on the order of 1-2 inches is very plausible before tapering off Sunday night across the region. Might be some low lying area flooding with the recent rainfall events and the major snow melt from a few days ago.

  • Polar Vortex Split Bringing Arctic Outbreak Starting Next Week

    Polar Vortex Split Bringing Arctic Outbreak Starting Next Week

    A significant meteorological event is poised to impact the contiguous United States next week, as the stratospheric polar vortex undergoes a rare split, leading to an arctic outbreak with temperatures projected to plummet 20 to 40 degrees below normal between February 17th and 23rd.

    Understanding the Polar Vortex Split

    The polar vortex is a large area of low pressure and cold air surrounding both of Earth’s poles, residing in the stratosphere. Typically, this vortex remains stable, containing the cold air within the polar regions. However, certain atmospheric conditions can disrupt this stability, leading to a phenomenon known as a Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW). During an SSW, large-scale atmospheric waves, called Rossby waves, propagate into the stratosphere, weakening the polar vortex. If these waves are strong enough, they can cause the vortex to split into two or more smaller vortices. This split allows frigid polar air to descend into mid-latitude regions, including parts of the United States.

    Projected Temperature Anomalies

    Forecast models, including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and the Global Forecast System (GFS), indicate that one of the split vortex cores will migrate over North America. This movement is expected to usher in a significant cold air outbreak across the northern, central, and eastern United States. Temperature anomalies during this period are projected to range from 20 to 40 degrees below normal.

    Potential for Increased Winter Storm Activity

    The influx of arctic air sets the stage for enhanced winter storm development. As the cold air interacts with warmer, moisture-laden systems from the south, the likelihood of snow, ice, and mixed precipitation events increases. Regions across the central and eastern U.S. should prepare for potential winter storms during this period, with the possibility of significant snowfall and hazardous travel conditions.

    Preparing for the Arctic Outbreak

    Residents are advised to monitor local weather forecasts and heed warnings from meteorological authorities. Preparations should include:

    • Ensuring adequate heating supplies and checking the functionality of heating systems.
    • Stocking up on essential items in anticipation of potential disruptions.
    • Taking necessary precautions for vulnerable populations, including the elderly and those with health conditions.
    • Preparing vehicles for winter conditions, including checking antifreeze levels and ensuring tires are suitable for snow and ice.

    By staying informed and taking proactive measures, individuals and communities can mitigate the impacts of this impending arctic outbreak.

  • Significant Winter Storm Set to Impact the Delmarva Region Tuesday into Wednesday

    Significant Winter Storm Set to Impact the Delmarva Region Tuesday into Wednesday

    Another winter storm is set to impact the region as we move into Tuesday and Wednesday, bringing a mix of heavy snow, ice, and rain across the Delmarva Peninsula. Snow and wintry precipitation will begin Tuesday afternoon and continue through Wednesday morning, leading to widespread travel disruptions and hazardous conditions.

    This storm is developing as a new area of low pressure forms over the Deep South and tracks northeastward along a stalled frontal boundary. At the same time, a strong high-pressure system to the north will funnel cold air into the region, setting the stage for a classic overrunning event. In this setup, warm, moisture-laden air from the Gulf of Mexico moves over the dense, cold Arctic air advancing southward from Canada, creating widespread heavy snowfall from the Midwest into the Mid-Atlantic. This process, known in meteorology as isentropic ascent, drives the formation of clouds and precipitation as the warm air rises and cools.

    In a winter storm overrunning setup, isentropic ascent occurs when warm, moist air is forced to rise over a cold, dense air mass at the surface. This typically happens along a stationary front or warm front, where the warm air follows sloping isentropic surfaces (constant potential temperature). As the air rises, it cools adiabatically, leading to cloud formation and precipitation.

    Since winter storms involve subfreezing surface temperatures, this precipitation can fall as snow, sleet, or freezing rain, depending on the temperature profile. Stronger isentropic ascent enhances moisture transport and lift, leading to heavier and more widespread winter precipitation.

    Snowfall Potential and Accumulation Estimates

    The latest ensemble model guidance indicates a significant increase in snowfall probabilities across central and northern Delmarva. There is now a 60-90% chance of at least 3 inches of snow north of the Maryland-Delaware state line, with 40-60% probabilities for accumulations exceeding 6 inches from Delmar, DE to Smyrna, DE.

    The heaviest snowfall totals are expected between the MD/DE line and Smyrna, where an average of 4 to 8 inches is forecast. This extends westward toward Washington, D.C.. However, localized snow bands could produce isolated totals up to 10 inches, particularly across central Delmarva.

    Coastal and Southern Delmarva Impacts

    Further south, near the coastal areas including Berlin and Pocomoke City, the storm will begin as snow but may transition to a mix of snow, sleet, and rain as temperatures rise above freezing. This will reduce overall snowfall totals due to melting overnight Tuesday into early Wednesday.

    Meanwhile, areas further north will remain all snow, though the intensity may be slightly lower compared to central Delmarva. Regardless, this storm is shaping up to be a significant winter weather event across the region, bringing hazardous travel conditions and potential disruptions.

    Stay tuned for updates as forecast details continue to evolve.

  • Wintry Mix Threatens Central and Northern Delmarva Again with Ice Accretion and Slick Travel This Weekend

    Wintry Mix Threatens Central and Northern Delmarva Again with Ice Accretion and Slick Travel This Weekend

    A complex winter weather system is set to impact portions of central and northern Delmarva, bringing a mix of snow, sleet, and freezing rain as temperatures hover near the freezing mark towards early Saturday afternoon. This system will create hazardous travel conditions, especially in areas where freezing rain leads to ice accretion.

    Weather Setup and Model Guidance

    Latest guidance from the ICON, GFS, and ECMWF suggests that cold air at the surface will remain entrenched across northern Delmarva, allowing for a prolonged period of wintry precipitation before a gradual changeover to rain. Meanwhile, high-resolution CAMS guidance, including the HRW-WRF & NAM12KM, continues to highlight higher localized areas of ice accumulation, particularly in northern regions where cold air remains stubborn.

    As the system moves through, precipitation is expected to start as a wintry mix of snow, sleet, and freezing rain across northern and central Delmarva, with surface temperatures struggling to rise above 32°F. By early afternoon, warmer air aloft will cause much of central Delmarva to transition to plain rain, while northern Delmarva may see continued ice accretion before the system exits early Sunday.

    Potential Ice Accretion and Travel Hazards

    • Ice Accumulation: Up to 0.10” of ice is possible across northern & central Delmarva, with localized higher amounts in areas where freezing rain persists.
    • Travel Impacts: Slick roadways and hazardous conditions are expected, particularly on bridges and overpasses. Untreated surfaces may become icy and dangerous.
    • Timing: The wintry mix will continue through early afternoon, with a gradual transition to rain in central Delmarva through the evening hours. Northern areas may hold onto freezing rain longer before precipitation moves out early Sunday morning.

    Stay Weather Aware

    Residents across central and northern Delmarva should stay updated with the latest forecasts, as even small changes in temperature could impact precipitation type and ice accumulation. If traveling, exercise caution and allow extra time, especially in areas where freezing rain may linger.

  • Potential Winter Storm Threat Looming Early Next Week

    Potential Winter Storm Threat Looming Early Next Week

    Just when it seemed like winter might be winding down, another round of winter weather is on the horizon. After a brief break from bitter cold and snow, forecast models indicate that winter storm threats will return next week, affecting the Midwest, Mid-Atlantic, and Northeast. This won’t be just one isolated storm, but several waves of wintry weather are expected. This setup is similar to the major winter storm we experienced in early January, featuring a classic “overrunning” pattern, which often produces significant snowfall in our region. But what exactly is an overrunning winter storm?

    An overrunning winter storm occurs when warm, moisture-laden air moves over a colder, denser air mass at the surface, leading to prolonged periods of wintry precipitation. This happens when warm air from the south collides with cold air entrenched to the north. Unlike last time, however, this system is being driven by a strong Arctic high-pressure system, rather than a blocking low-pressure system to the north. Scientifically, this process is known as Isentropic Ascent—a term used to describe how air is lifted along a temperature gradient.

    Current mid-range model guidance (GFS, ECMWF, UKMET, CMC, ICON) consistently shows an overrunning event with multiple waves of low pressure traveling along a stalled frontal boundary. A strong high-pressure system (1038-1040mb) will provide ample cold air north of this boundary, while incoming warm, moist air will fuel heavy precipitation. The exact position of the frontal boundary will determine whether areas experience heavy snow, plain rain, or, in the worst-case scenario, significant icing. Overrunning setups are notorious for producing dangerous ice storms, as cold air remains locked at the surface while warm air aloft causes precipitation to fall as freezing rain or sleet—leading to hazardous road conditions.

    The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) has already issued impact probabilities for next week’s potential winter storm, indicating a 50-60% chance of Minor Winter Storm Impacts and a 40-60% chance of Moderate Winter Storm Impacts. This suggests that disruptions to travel and infrastructure closures could occur.

    We’ll continue to monitor the latest forecast developments and provide real-time updates as this potential winter storm approaches early next week. Stay tuned for the latest information.

  • Freezing Drizzle Threat Wednesday Night into Thursday Morning for Central and Northern Delmarva

    Freezing Drizzle Threat Wednesday Night into Thursday Morning for Central and Northern Delmarva

    A period of freezing drizzle is expected to develop across central and northern Delmarva Wednesday night, bringing the potential for hazardous travel conditions before precipitation transitions to plain rain by Thursday morning. The greatest threat for icy conditions will be across northern Delmarva, where temperatures will be more favorable for freezing precipitation.

    What is Freezing Drizzle?

    Freezing drizzle occurs when supercooled liquid droplets fall from the sky and freeze upon contact with surfaces such as roads, sidewalks, trees, and vehicles. Unlike freezing rain, which tends to form larger droplets, freezing drizzle consists of much smaller droplets that can create a thin but dangerous glaze of ice. Because it often accumulates subtly, freezing drizzle can be particularly hazardous as it may not appear as obvious as snow or sleet.

    Timing & Transition to Rain

    Freezing drizzle is expected to develop shortly after sundown Wednesday evening and will continue off and on through the night. Areas across northern Delmarva will experience the most significant threat of icy conditions due to colder surface temperatures sticking around a bit longer. As temperatures gradually rise early Thursday morning, all areas will transition to plain rain by mid-morning, reducing the risk of ice accumulation.

    Potential Impacts

    Even a light glaze of ice can lead to dangerous conditions, including:

    • Slippery Roads & Sidewalks – Even untreated surfaces may quickly become icy, increasing the risk of accidents and falls.
    • Icy Bridges & Overpasses – Elevated surfaces freeze faster than ground-level roads, making them particularly hazardous.
    • Thin Ice Accumulation on Vehicles – Ice may form on car windshields and other exposed surfaces, requiring extra time for de-icing before travel.

    If you must travel Wednesday night into early Thursday morning, use caution, reduce speed, and be prepared for slick spots, especially in northern Delmarva. Stay updated with the latest forecasts and advisories as conditions evolve.

  • Major Changes Ahead: Stratospheric Polar Vortex Split Could Bring An Active Winter Pattern Back to the U.S. Mid Month

    Major Changes Ahead: Stratospheric Polar Vortex Split Could Bring An Active Winter Pattern Back to the U.S. Mid Month

    As we head into mid-February, significant changes are brewing in the upper atmosphere that could have major implications for winter weather across the United States. The stratospheric polar vortex, a large-scale circulation of frigid air in the upper levels of the atmosphere, is undergoing a split, with one lobe shifting over North America and the other over Eastern Russia. This development could mean that winter is far from over for the Lower 48, with renewed bursts of Arctic air and even the potential for more snow.

    What is the Polar Vortex?

    The polar vortex is a vast region of cold, low-pressure air that resides in the stratosphere above the Arctic. It is typically strongest in winter and is contained by the polar jet stream, which acts as a barrier, keeping the frigid air locked in place. However, disturbances in the atmosphere, such as sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) events, can weaken or even split the polar vortex, allowing cold Arctic air to spill southward into mid-latitude regions, including the United States, Europe, and Asia.

    The Implications of a Polar Vortex Split

    When the polar vortex splits, the disrupted circulation can send lobes of cold air into different parts of the world. In this case, one portion of the vortex is expected to shift over North America, while the other moves over Eastern Russia. This could lead to:

    • Bitter Cold Spells: A more active intrusion of Arctic air into the U.S., potentially bringing below-average temperatures to much of the country, including regions that have recently experienced milder conditions.
    • Increased Snowfall: With cold air in place, any developing storm systems could tap into this frigid air mass and produce widespread snowfall across parts of the Midwest, Northeast, and even the South.
    • Disruptive Weather Patterns: A disrupted polar vortex can lead to more extreme weather events, including stronger storms, ice events, and even severe weather outbreaks as cold air clashes with milder air masses to the south.

    What to Expect Mid-Month

    As we approach mid-February, long-range models suggest a greater likelihood of colder air descending into the central and eastern U.S., potentially bringing another round of winter weather. The exact details remain uncertain, but if history is any guide, a significant polar vortex split often leads to prolonged cold outbreaks lasting several weeks.

    For those who thought winter was winding down, this development is a strong reminder that the season isn’t over just yet. Stay tuned for further updates as meteorologists track the evolving polar vortex split and its potential impacts on the weather in the coming weeks.

  • Delaware Lawmakers Demand Answers Over Surging Energy Bills From Delmarva Power

    Delaware Lawmakers Demand Answers Over Surging Energy Bills From Delmarva Power

    Dover, DE – A sharp rise in energy bills across Delaware has prompted state lawmakers to call for an investigation into the cause of the sudden spike. In a letter addressed to Acting Public Advocate Ruth Ann Price on January 30, members of the Delaware General Assembly expressed concern over the “dramatic increases” reported by their constituents in recent weeks.

    According to lawmakers, the surge in energy costs appears to go beyond what would be expected from the recent stretch of unseasonably cold weather. They also noted that residents served by energy providers other than Delmarva Power have not experienced similar increases, despite facing the same frigid temperatures.

    “Our constituents have already been hit hard by increased prices for groceries, housing, and transportation,” the letter states. “These increased energy bills are pushing some families into dire financial situations—forcing them to choose between putting food on the table or heating their homes.”

    Citing the role of the Delaware Public Advocate, which is mandated by state law to fight for “the lowest reasonable rates for consumers,” lawmakers are demanding an explanation for the spike in costs. They are also calling for a deeper investigation into potential causes and urging efforts to mitigate or halt the increase in energy prices for Delaware residents.

    The request comes at a time when many households are struggling with the broader impacts of inflation and rising living expenses. Lawmakers say they look forward to a response from Price and are committed to working toward solutions that protect Delaware families from further financial strain.

  • Some Beneficial Rain Arriving Tonight: Drought Conditions Continue To Worsen

    Some Beneficial Rain Arriving Tonight: Drought Conditions Continue To Worsen

    A much-needed round of rainfall is set to arrive across the Delmarva Peninsula late tonight, providing a temporary break from the dry conditions that have persisted for months. A warm front will lift through the region after midnight, bringing light to moderate rain that will continue through much of Friday. While occasional breaks in the precipitation are possible, Friday is expected to be a generally wet day before rain tapers off just before sunrise on Saturday morning.

    Rainfall totals will range between 0.5 to 1 inch on average, with localized areas potentially receiving slightly higher amounts. While this rain will help to wash away accumulated road salt and provide some short-term relief, it will do little to alleviate the severe to extreme drought conditions gripping the region. Rainfall deficits remain substantial, with much of Delmarva running nearly a foot below average for the past several months. This system, though beneficial, will barely make a dent in the long-term precipitation shortfall.

    Nonetheless, the rain will bring some temporary improvements to soil moisture levels and reduce the immediate fire danger that has accompanied the prolonged dry spell. However, with no significant additional rainfall in the extended forecast, drought conditions are likely to persist into February.

  • Windy Conditions Moving In For Wednesday: Powerful New England Storm System

    Windy Conditions Moving In For Wednesday: Powerful New England Storm System

    VALID: WEDNESDAY JAN 29TH @ 8AM

    Winds are beginning to intensify along the shoreline as a cold front steadily progresses through the region over the next several hours. Current observations indicate wind gusts already reaching up to 40 mph in some areas, with conditions expected to worsen as the front advances. By tomorrow, winds are forecast to strengthen further as the pressure gradient tightens, resulting in gusts up to 45 mph—nearing Wind Advisory thresholds.

    This increase in wind activity is tied to the influence of a strong low-pressure system currently diving southward from Canada. This system will bring widespread impacts, including areas of heavy snow squalls expected to develop across portions of upstate Pennsylvania and New York on Wednesday. Additionally, the intensification of the low-level jet stream, which is projected to reach speeds between 50 and 80 mph, will contribute to widespread gusty conditions across the mid-Atlantic and Northeast.

    Regions surrounding the Chesapeake Bay and Northern Maryland are expected to experience even stronger winds as the cold front and low-pressure system interact. In particular, wind acceleration along the eastern slopes of the Appalachian Mountains could produce gusts reaching as high as 50 mph. Higher-elevation areas, including parts of Western Maryland and Northern Virginia, where High Wind Warnings are in effect, are likely to encounter gusts exceeding 60 mph at times, presenting potential hazards to outdoor activities, infrastructure, and travel.

    Residents across the affected areas are encouraged to remain vigilant and secure loose objects outdoors, as these strong winds could lead to localized damage and power outages. Travelers should exercise caution, particularly in high-profile vehicles, due to the risk of crosswinds. Stay tuned to local forecasts for updates as this dynamic weather system unfolds.

    Wind Advisory In Effect From 11AM Weds – 6PM Weds

    …WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY…

    * WHAT…West winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected.

    * WHERE…Portions of DC, central, north central, northeast, and

    northern Maryland, and northern Virginia.

    * WHEN…From 11 AM to 6 PM EST Wednesday.

    * IMPACTS…Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree

    limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

    PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

    Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high

    profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

  • Rain Chances Increase Later In The Week: Drought Conditions Worsen Here On Delmarva

    Rain Chances Increase Later In The Week: Drought Conditions Worsen Here On Delmarva

    More rain is in the forecast as we approach the weekend, but unfortunately, it is unlikely to significantly alleviate the ongoing drought conditions. Although several snowfall events have occurred this winter—including the major storm on January 5-6—these have not contributed meaningfully to overall precipitation levels. The region remains in a notable deficit, and the upcoming weather system is expected to provide limited relief.

    Later this week, a storm system originating from the Deep South will begin impacting the area. A warm front will approach Friday morning, bringing intermittent light rain throughout the day. This pattern of precipitation will persist into early Sunday morning. Current projections estimate rainfall amounts between 0.50 and 1 inch; however, these figures are subject to change as the system develops. Unfortunately, even this level of precipitation will be insufficient to make a significant dent in the drought conditions.

    Current Precipitation Deficit

    We extend our gratitude to National Weather Service Meteorologist Michael Lee from Mount Holly for providing valuable data and graphical insights into the current precipitation shortfall.

    • Georgetown, DE: From January 28, 2024, to January 27, 2025, the normal precipitation should be 43.98 inches. However, the actual precipitation recorded so far is only 31.66 inches, resulting in a deficit of 12.32 inches.
    • Wilmington, DE: During the same period, normal precipitation is expected to be 45.43 inches, but only 38.37 inches have been recorded, creating a deficit of 7.06 inches.

    These figures highlight the severity of the situation, emphasizing the significant gap that remains to be addressed in the coming months.

    Impacts on Agriculture

    The continued drought is a major concern for local farmers, particularly with the spring growing season fast approaching. Persistent dry conditions are likely to place extreme stress on agricultural operations, potentially affecting crop yields and overall productivity. Addressing this deficit before spring is critical to reducing the strain on farmers who have already faced significant challenges due to drought conditions in recent years.

    While the upcoming rainfall is welcome, it is clear that much more precipitation will be needed to recover from this prolonged dry spell. The hope remains that weather patterns in the next few months will bring sustained rainfall to help close the gap and alleviate some of the burdens facing the region.

  • Warmer Temperatures This Week: Will It Last?

    Warmer Temperatures This Week: Will It Last?

    Many of us have been eagerly anticipating relief from the bitter cold, not only for our comfort but also for some respite from the high costs of heating our homes. Over the last 30 days, we’ve experienced one of the coldest stretches in recent years. In fact, this period ranks as the 6th coldest since 1981, with temperatures averaging a remarkable 9 degrees below normal. However, after enduring weeks of frigid conditions, we’re finally seeing the light at the end of the tunnel as January draws to a close and February begins.

    The dramatic shift in weather patterns can be attributed to a significant change in the overall Northern Hemisphere setup. The persistent lobe of the Polar Vortex, which has been entrenched over the eastern half of the United States, is finally breaking down. This change is ushering in a new phase, with a deep trough developing across the western United States. As a result, Pacific air is beginning to flow more consistently across the lower 48 states. Here in the East, ridging is starting to take hold, allowing for a warmer southerly flow to bring much-needed relief from the cold.

    Now, while we’re not expecting a dramatic swing to extreme warmth akin to the 30-40 degrees below normal temperatures we’ve endured, the return to near-average conditions will be a welcome change. For our region on the Eastern Shore, average temperatures in the mid-40s will feel almost balmy in comparison. In fact, some days may even reach the 50s, which, after this prolonged cold snap, might feel like a veritable heatwave.

    Looking ahead to the next 1-2 weeks, the outlook remains promising. Warmer conditions are expected to persist as February gets underway. Beyond that, the latest 3-4 week outlook from the Climate Prediction Center indicates above-average temperatures for much of the Mid-Atlantic and Southeastern United States. While this signals a reprieve from the deep freeze, the question remains: are we done with the cold and snow for the season? Only time will tell, but for now, we can enjoy a much-deserved break from the relentless chill.

  • Astronomers discover rapid radio bursts from distant ‘dead’ galaxy

    Astronomers discover rapid radio bursts from distant ‘dead’ galaxy

    Astronomers have detected fast-repeating radio bursts from a distant “dead” galaxy, challenging existing theories about such phenomena. The discovery was reported on January 24, 2025.

    Fast radio bursts (FRBs) are intense, millisecond-long pulses of radio waves originating from distant galaxies. While some FRBs have been traced to galaxies with active star formation, the recent detection from a quiescent, or “dead,” galaxy—where star formation has ceased—raises questions about the mechanisms producing these bursts.

    The identification of repeating FRBs from a galaxy previously thought incapable of generating such high-energy phenomena suggests that our understanding of the environments and conditions necessary for FRB production is incomplete. Further research is needed to determine the exact sources and processes responsible for these enigmatic signals.

    The latest bursts were traced to a massive elliptical galaxy located billions of light-years away. This galaxy is classified as “quiescent,” meaning it has not formed new stars for billions of years. Such galaxies are typically considered inhospitable to the high-energy processes thought to produce FRBs, making the discovery especially surprising.

    The Case for Magnetars
    Magnetars, formed from the collapse of massive stars, are leading candidates for the origin of repeating FRBs. Their intense magnetic fields can produce bursts of radio waves during periods of instability. In active galaxies, magnetars can arise from recent supernova explosions, but their presence in a quiescent galaxy indicates they might also be formed by less conventional means, such as mergers of old stellar remnants.

    This finding underscores the importance of continued observation and study of FRBs across diverse galactic environments to unravel the mysteries surrounding their origins.

  • One Of The Coldest January Thus Far In The Last 30-40 Years.

    One Of The Coldest January Thus Far In The Last 30-40 Years.

    *Graphic Provided By The National Weather Service Wakefield, VA*

    As we examine the climate data for January, we have observed some significant trends. So far this month, average temperatures in our region have consistently been 7 to 9 degrees colder than normal. While this cold weather is not unprecedented, all of our long-term climate monitoring stations are reporting the lowest average temperatures for the first 23 days of January in over 30 years, with certain areas such as Richmond, Salisbury, and Elizabeth City recording their coldest temperatures in over 40 years.

    Looking ahead, we anticipate temperatures will begin to stabilize, with averages returning closer to normal levels in the coming week as we near the end of the month. This indicates that while the current temperature deviations are notable, they may decrease somewhat. Nonetheless, we project that Salisbury and Elizabeth City are likely to secure spots on the top 10 coldest January lists by month’s end. Richmond may be on the cusp of making this list, but it is more probable it will fall just outside the top 10. In the meantime, Norfolk, which has a weather record extending over 150 years, is expected to rank between the 15th and 20th coldest January.

    Stay warm everyone, and please keep an eye on those temperature fluctuations! #WeatherUpdate #ColdWeather #JanuaryTemperatures #ClimateChange #StayWarm #TemperatureRecord #Meteorology

  • Largest Ice Build Up In Several Years For Delmarva Coastal Waters

    Largest Ice Build Up In Several Years For Delmarva Coastal Waters

    The U.S. Coast Guard has set Winter Port Condition One for the Chesapeake Bay and the Chesapeake & Delaware (C&D) Canal due to increasing ice formation in the region’s waterways. This status indicates that current weather conditions are conducive to further ice development.

    Recent observations revealed up to 40% ice coverage, with thicknesses reaching two inches, in areas including the C&D Canal, Welch Point to Nine Foot Knoll, and Turkey Point. Further south, from Quantico to Alexandria, Va., as well as the D.C. Harbor and Anacostia River, ice coverage stands at approximately 30%, with thicknesses around one inch. The Nanticoke and Wicomico rivers report 15% ice coverage at one inch thick.

    While no navigation restrictions are currently imposed, the Coast Guard advises mariners to exercise caution. Ice can displace buoys and damage navigational aids, potentially leading to hazards. If ice coverage approaches 100% and impacts port operations, the Coast Guard may initiate icebreaking efforts and implement vessel restrictions.

    The Maryland Department of Natural Resources (DNR) and the Coast Guard have icebreaking vessels on standby. Recent icebreaking activities have been reported in sheltered areas, including Selby Bay, South River, and Bay Bridge Marina, to assist vessels hindered by ice accumulation. Continued low temperatures could lead to widespread ice in creeks and along river and bay shorelines, potentially affecting routes such as the Smith Island to Crisfield ferry and oyster harvest operations.

    Emergency services are also preparing for icy conditions. The Hacks Point Fire Company conducted ice rescue training at Hack Point Marina on the Bohemia River over the weekend to ensure readiness for potential emergencies.

  • DHSS Providing Warming Stations Across The State During The Arctic Outbreak

    DHSS Providing Warming Stations Across The State During The Arctic Outbreak

    ❄️ As we brace ourselves for the frigid days ahead, the Department of Health and Social Services (DHSS) is here to support our beloved community during this harsh winter season. We understand how challenging it can be to face the biting cold, which is why we are taking proactive steps by opening warming stations. These stations are designed to provide warmth and comfort to everyone in need, ensuring that no one feels isolated or uncomfortable during this season.

    📅 We invite you to join us on Tuesday, January 21, from 9 a.m. to 3:30 p.m., and Wednesday through Friday, January 22-24, from 8 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. Our warming stations will be available at various designated locations throughout the county. These spaces have been created to ensure a secure, inviting environment where anyone can find refuge from the chilly conditions.

    ❗ Remember, no one should have to face this frigid weather alone. Together, let’s ensure that everyone in our community can stay safe, warm, and cared for during these cold days. Every bit of support makes a difference!

    🗺️ Be sure to check the accompanying graphic for the specific locations of the warming stations available in your county. This important information will help you or someone you know find shelter from the cold.

    ❤️ Let’s come together to spread the word and keep an eye out for one another. If you or someone you know could benefit from a warm place to go, please don’t hesitate to visit us. Your safety and comfort are our utmost priority this winter!

  • Light Snow Event Tonight For Areas Of Southern Delmarva: Dangerous Cold Remains

    Light Snow Event Tonight For Areas Of Southern Delmarva: Dangerous Cold Remains

    A minor to light snowfall event on the way tonight as a rare southern US snowstorm is underway. Areas of Delmarva will see the extreme northern extend of the precipitation shield bringing areas of snow showers tonight, in particular across the VA counties. With extremely cold temperatures in place, this will be a very light and fluffy snow as temperatures are expected to be in the teens by the time the snow arrives later this evening. Most of the snowfall accumulations will be occurring across Northampton and Accomack counties where a short duration 1 to 2 inches are possible. Even though the amount of precipitation is very little of a tenth of a inch or less, temperatures are playing a huge role for “high ratio snowfall”

    The snow-to-liquid ratio is a quantitative measurement of how fluffy or heavy new fallen snow is.  It’s reported as the number of inches of snow that comes from 1 inch of liquid precipitation.  Typical snow-to-liquid ratios vary by region and by the weather pattern producing the snowfall. Air temperature, humidity, and wind speed influence how dense new fallen snow is. The highest snow ratios (or lowest density snow) are usually formed by temperatures that are roughly between 0°F and 10°F, in what is called the “Dendritic Growth Zone.”  This is the regime for forming large dendrites that accumulate with abundant air space between crystals.   New snow grains that are smaller and pack together better form denser snow.  Snow that forms outside of the Dendritic Growth Zone regime will be denser, as will snow that falls through warmer layers or is subject to riming.  Stronger winds will batter snowflakes together as they fall, which breaks down snow crystals into smaller, denser grains.

    ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7
    AM EST WEDNESDAY...
    
    * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 2 inches.
    
    * WHERE...Portions of northeast North Carolina and eastern and
      southeast Virginia.
    
    * WHEN...From 5 PM this afternoon to 7 AM EST Wednesday.
    
    * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous
      conditions could impact the Tuesday evening and Wednesday morning
      commutes.
    
  • Cold Weather Advisory In Effect: What It Is & How To Prepare

    Cold Weather Advisory In Effect: What It Is & How To Prepare

    A few changes going into this winter season with the replacement of Wind Chill products. Introducing Extreme Cold Weather products with “Cold Weather Advisories” now in place for areas of the Delmarva region starting tonight through Wednesday morning.

    ...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
    NOON EST WEDNESDAY...
    
    * WHAT...Very cold wind chills as low as 7 below expected.
    
    * WHERE...Delaware, northeast Maryland, central to southern New
      Jersey, and southeast Pennsylvania.
    
    * WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to noon EST Wednesday.
    
    * IMPACTS...The cold wind chills could result in hypothermia if
      precautions are not taken. Frostbite and hypothermia will occur if
      unprotected skin is exposed to these temperatures.
    
    PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
    
    Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a
    hat, and gloves.
    
    Keep pets indoors as much as possible.
    
    Make frequent checks on older family, friends, and neighbors. Ensure
    portable heaters are used correctly. Do not use generators or grills
    inside.

    Extreme Cold Warning vs Watch and Cold Weather Advisory

    • Extreme Cold Warning: Take Action! An Extreme Cold Warning is issued when dangerously cold air temperatures or wind chill values are expected or occurring. If you are in an area with an Extreme Cold Warning, avoid going outside. If you have to go outside, dress in layers, cover exposed skin, and make sure at least one other person knows your whereabouts. Update them when you arrive safely at your destination.
    • Extreme Cold Watch: Be Prepared. An Extreme Cold Watch is issued when dangerously cold air temperatures or wind chill values are possible. As with a Warning, adjust your plans to avoid being outside during the coldest parts of the day. Make sure your car has at least half a tank of gas, and update your winter survival kit.
    • Cold Weather Advisory: Be Aware. A Cold Weather Advisory is issued when seasonably cold air temperatures or wind chill values, but not extremely cold values, are expected or occurring. Be sure you and your loved ones dress appropriately and cover exposed skin when venturing outdoors.

    Dangerous wind chills dropping down below zero are expected for the next few nights here on Delmarva as winds will be gusting 20-30 mph. Temperatures dropping down to the single digits making it the coldest nights we have seen in the last several years.

    Extremely cold air comes every winter into at least part of the country and affects millions of people across the United States. The arctic air can be dangerous. Combined with brisk winds, dangerously cold wind chill values can result. People exposed to extreme cold are susceptible to frostbite and can succumb to hypothermia in a matter of minutes. Areas most prone to frostbite are uncovered skin and the extremities, such as hands and feet. Hypothermia occurs when the body loses heat faster than it can produce it.

    Prepare for Cold Weather

    The way to avoid frostbite and hypothermia is to plan for extreme cold before it arrives. Don’t get caught unprepared.

    • Check the Forecast at weather.gov or your favorite weather app, station, etc.: Make checking the forecast part of your regular routine so you’ll know when to expect cold weather.
    • Adjust Your Schedule: If possible, avoid being outside during the coldest part of the day, typically the early morning. Try to find a warm spot for your children while waiting for the school bus outside.
    • Protect Your Pets, Livestock and other Property: If you have pets or farm animals, make sure they are not overly exposed to extreme cold and have plenty of food and water that has not frozen.Take precautions to ensure your water pipes do not freeze. Know the temperature thresholds of your plants and crops.
    • Fill up the tank: Make sure your car or vehicle has at least a half a tank of gas during extreme cold so that you can stay warm if you become stranded.
    • Dress for the outdoors even if you don’t think you’ll be out much.
    • Update Your Winter Car Survival Kit: Make sure your car survival kit has the following:
      • Jumper cables: flares or reflective triangle are great extras
      • Flashlights: Replace the batteries before the winter season starts and pack extras
      • First Aid Kit: Carry essential medications with you in a purse or bag
      • Baby gear: Diapers and any special formula or food
      • Medical supplies: Materials for any special medical needs.
      • Food: Non-perishable food such as canned food and a can opener, dry cereal and protein rich foods like nuts and energy bars
      • Water: At least 1 gallon of water per person a day for at least 3 days
      • Basic toolkit: Pliers, wrench, screwdriver
      • Pet supplies: Food and water
      • Radio: Battery or hand cranked
      • Cat litter or sand: For better tire traction
      • Shovel: To dig out snow
      • Ice scraper: Have one in the car even if you usually park in a garage
      • Clothes: Dress for the weather in warm clothes, gloves, hat, sturdy boots, jacket and an extra change cold weather of clothes
      • Warmers: For body, hands and feet
      • Blankets or sleeping bags: If you get stranded you’ll be glad to have it.
      • Charged Cell Phone: And keep a spare charger in your car 

    Essential Tasks After it Warms Up

    • Check Your Pipes: Your pipes may be frozen. Water pipes on exterior walls and in places that are subject to cold, like in the basement, attic, and under kitchen cabinets, freeze most often. Water expands as it freezes, causing pipes to burst. If they are frozen, first turn on the faucet. Water will drip as you warm the pipes. Heat the pipes using a space heater, heating pad, electric hair dryer, or hot water on a cloth. Never use an open flame. Continue until water pressure returns to normal or call a plumber if you have more issues.
    • Salt Your Walkways: Once it warms up enough to go out, it’s important to shovel the snow from your sidewalks and driveway or sprinkle salt if there is ice. If there is a thick layer of snow on the ground that you cannot move, salt the area so that the snow melts. You should also put down salt if there is ice on the stairs leading into your house – less than a quarter inch of ice can be dangerous!
    • Call Your Neighbors: Check to see that your neighbors are okay, particularly seniors, disabled persons, or others living alone. Carbon monoxide poisoning is one of the leading causes of death after extreme cold, particularly if there are power outages. Cases of frostbite and hypothermia are also common for elderly people who were stuck in their homes.
    • Refill Your Supplies: This cold event may be over, but there might be another one soon. It is important to always be prepared.
  • Winter Storm On The Way For Delmarva Sunday Into Monday

    Winter Storm On The Way For Delmarva Sunday Into Monday

    🌨️ First Call Snowfall Forecast 🌨️

    Alright folks, as we approach the weekend, we want to inform you about an upcoming winter storm expected to impact our region, particularly from Sunday to Monday. This storm is anticipated to significantly affect the northern areas of Delmarva and northern Maryland, while southern regions may encounter a mix of winter weather, including rain, which will likely reduce snowfall totals.

    Current forecasts predict that a considerable snowfall of 2-4 inches could cover areas along the I-95 corridor, extending from Washington, DC to Wilmington, DE. Communities such as La Plata, Easton, Dover, and Vineland should also prepare for a dusting to 2 inches of snow. For residents south of this region, conditions will begin with rain but are expected to transition to ice and light snow accumulation of less than an inch.

    Snow and rain are projected to commence Sunday morning, intensifying throughout the afternoon. The precipitation is expected to taper off by early Monday morning; however, please brace for dangerously cold temperatures as we start the new week.

    Stay safe and continue to follow us for updates on this evolving weather scenario! ❄️

  • Increasing Threat of a Snow Event Sunday Night into Monday For Delmarva

    Increasing Threat of a Snow Event Sunday Night into Monday For Delmarva

    A potential snow event is taking shape for Sunday night into Monday as a dynamic weather pattern evolves. Heading into the weekend, an Arctic boundary is expected to push through the region, bringing temperatures into the upper 40s along with rain. However, a secondary piece of energy trailing behind the front will interact with the boundary, allowing a new low-pressure system to rapidly develop. This setup could result in light to moderate snow accumulations across parts of the area.

    Model Analysis and Comparisons

    ECMWF (European Model):
    Currently one of the most reliable models, the ECMWF suggests a light snow event affecting much of Delmarva and extending into the western shore of Maryland. Projected snowfall totals range between 1 and 4 inches, which aligns with current trends. However, areas along the southern shore may experience a mix of rain and snow due to the proximity of the low-pressure center and the Arctic front.

    UKMET, CMC, and RGEM Models:
    These models present a less favorable scenario for snowfall on the shore, with a more northern storm track that shifts the focus of snow accumulation to Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and extreme northwestern Maryland. The CMC and RGEM in particular show no significant snow accumulations for Delmarva. The UKMET, however, highlights a snow band producing 2 to 4 inches across northern Delmarva, aligning more closely with the ECMWF in terms of low-pressure positioning.

    GFS Model:

    The GFS takes a more expansive approach, forecasting widespread snowfall across the region. Accumulations of 2 to 5 inches are indicated from Easton to Dover and northward toward Wilmington. However, the GFS has shown considerable variability and currently holds the lowest verification rate among the models.

    Key Takeaways

    Confidence is increasing for another accumulating snow event across the region late Sunday into Monday. While there is still some uncertainty regarding the exact track of the low-pressure system and snow totals, current trends suggest a light to moderate event is possible, particularly for snow-prone areas on Delmarva. The National Blend of Models (NBM) also supports the potential for snowfall, giving some hope to snow enthusiasts before the arrival of extreme cold next week.

    Stay tuned for updates as this system develops.

  • Dangerous Cold Invades The Lower 48 Next Week: Coldest Outbreak In Several Years

    Dangerous Cold Invades The Lower 48 Next Week: Coldest Outbreak In Several Years

    🚨 Severe Cold Weather Alert: An Arctic air mass is forecasted to sweep across a significant portion of the United States this weekend! 📉 From the Rockies to the Great Plains, this frigid air will reach the Gulf Coast by Saturday night and move towards the Eastern Seaboard by Sunday evening.  

    ❄️ Extremely Low Wind Chills: The Rockies, northern Plains, and Upper Midwest are expected to experience dangerous wind chills as low as -30°F or even lower from Saturday through Tuesday. This extreme cold poses serious risks of hypothermia and frostbite for individuals exposed to these conditions. If you plan to travel, ensure you have a cold weather survival kit prepared for your safety.  

    🌬️ Furthermore, below-zero wind chills are anticipated to extend into the southern Plains and the Ohio Valley from Sunday night through Tuesday. The hazardous cold is likely to persist along the Gulf Coast and across the Southeast U.S. for much of the following week. Stay warm and take all necessary precautions during this severe cold snap! 🥶

  • A Rare Celestial Spectacle: The Lunar Occultation of Mars on January 13, 2025

    A Rare Celestial Spectacle: The Lunar Occultation of Mars on January 13, 2025

    Prepare your stargazing binoculars and telescopes for a truly remarkable event, as Mars will temporarily vanish behind the moon in an astronomical phenomenon known as a lunar occultation. This captivating event will occur on January 13, 2025, offering skywatchers across large portions of the world a rare opportunity to witness the Red Planet disappearing and re-emerging from behind Earth’s natural satellite.

    What is a Lunar Occultation?

    A lunar occultation happens when the moon passes directly between Earth and another celestial object, temporarily obscuring that object from view. In this case, Mars will be hidden behind the moon’s bright disk for several minutes, creating a unique and fleeting moment in the night sky. Lunar occultations of planets are relatively rare occurrences because they require precise alignment between Earth, the moon, and the planet in question. When they do happen, they offer an extraordinary sight for observers and an excellent opportunity for astrophotographers to capture a spectacular cosmic event.

    Coinciding with Mars’ Opposition

    The timing of this occultation makes it even more special. On January 13, Mars will be in opposition, meaning it will be directly opposite the sun from Earth’s perspective. During opposition, Mars appears at its largest and brightest in the night sky, as it reaches its closest approach to Earth. This combination of a lunar occultation and Mars being at opposition is a rare cosmic coincidence that amplifies the visual spectacle.

    Mars will shine brilliantly in a deep reddish hue, and its brightness will contrast sharply with the glowing, full moon. As a result, viewers will have the chance to observe Mars in its most stunning form just before it slips behind the lunar surface.

    Where and When to Watch

    This event will be visible across the contiguous United States, parts of Canada and Mexico, and portions of Western Africa. The exact timing of the occultation will vary slightly depending on your geographic location. Generally, Mars and the moon will rise together around 5 p.m. EST on January 13 and will remain close throughout the night until they set around 8 a.m. EST on January 14.

    In many regions, the occultation will begin in the early evening hours, shortly after sunset. Observers will first see Mars approach the bright limb of the moon before it disappears behind it. Depending on your location, the disappearance will last for several minutes to over an hour before Mars re-emerges on the opposite side of the moon.

    How to Maximize Your Viewing Experience

    For the best possible view of this celestial event, it’s crucial to find a location away from urban light pollution. A rural area or a dark-sky park will provide optimal conditions. Give your eyes at least 20 minutes to adjust to the darkness for enhanced visibility. While the lunar occultation will be visible to the naked eye, using a pair of binoculars or a small telescope will dramatically improve your experience, allowing you to see finer details of both Mars and the lunar surface.

    Astrophotographers should prepare in advance to capture this rare event. A telescope equipped with a camera or a DSLR attached to a high-quality telephoto lens will yield the best results. Since the moon will be full and bright, adjusting exposure settings to balance the moon’s brightness against Mars’ dimmer glow will be key to producing well-detailed images.

    Scientific and Cultural Significance

    Events like the lunar occultation of Mars have fascinated both amateur astronomers and professionals for centuries. Historically, occultations have been used to refine our understanding of the moon’s orbit and to measure the positions of stars and planets with great precision. In the modern era, they serve as a reminder of the dynamic nature of the night sky and offer an excellent opportunity to engage the public in the wonders of astronomy.

    Moreover, such events can inspire a sense of awe and curiosity about the universe. Whether you’re a seasoned stargazer or a casual observer, witnessing Mars disappear behind the moon can be a humbling experience, reminding us of our place in the vast cosmic dance.

    Final Thoughts

    The lunar occultation of Mars on January 13, 2025, is shaping up to be one of the most anticipated astronomical events of the year. With Mars at opposition, the full moon illuminating the sky, and clear winter nights typical for much of the viewing region, conditions are ideal for a memorable stargazing experience.

    Mark your calendar, gather your stargazing gear, and prepare to be dazzled by this celestial spectacle. Whether you watch with the naked eye, through binoculars, or a telescope, the sight of Mars vanishing and reappearing behind the moon is sure to be an unforgettable highlight of your stargazing adventures.

  • Light To Moderate Snowfall Returning To Delmarva This Weekend

    Light To Moderate Snowfall Returning To Delmarva This Weekend

    Here we go ahead folks with another round of snowfall across the shore heading into this weekend. Although not as a major storm like areas of Delmarva witnessed Sunday into Monday, but more of a headache for the already 8-12 inches that remain on the ground currently.

    A southern stream storm system will slide down through the Southeastern US with arctic air already in place blanketed the Deep South with snow & ice before heading off the Carolina coastlines. While this remains a weaker system overall, areas of light to potentially moderate snow is expected across Central and Southern portions of Delmarva. Heaviest impacts will be down in Accomack & Northampton counties in Virginia here on the shore.

    ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH
    SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

    * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow
    accumulations between 2 and 4 inches and ice accumulations up to
    one tenth of an inch possible.

    * WHERE...Portions of northeast North Carolina and eastern and
    southeast Virginia.

    * WHEN...From Friday evening through early Saturday afternoon.

    * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions.

    PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

    Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.

    Snow will begin to move in across the shore starting in the overnight hours Friday through the morning commute on Saturday. This will be a all snow event for the region as bitter cold arctic air remains locked in across much of the Eastern US.

    As it stands right now, Accomack & Northampton counties will likely see the most snowfall of 2-5″ before tapering off. Across the mid-shore, slightly less amounts of 2-4″ and 1-3″ expected from Pocomoke City towards Georgetown where the snow will be a bit lighter in intensity. Depending how far north the precipitation shield is, these totals could go up or down at this time. Areas across Northern Delmarva will only see about a dusting to a inch maybe if the precip shield is generous enough to keep that far north.

    More updates will follow going into tomorrow with any further changes down the line