The National Weather Service office in Mount Holly, New Jersey has issued a Winter Storm Warning for the Delmarva Peninsula, effective from Thursday, February 21st at 1:54 PM through Saturday, February 23rd at 6:00 PM.
Local residents should prepare for potentially hazardous winter weather conditions during this period. The warning indicates that significant snow, ice, or a combination of winter precipitation is expected across Delaware and the surrounding region.
Residents are advised to monitor weather conditions closely and make necessary preparations for travel disruptions and potential power outages. The National Weather Service will continue to provide updates as the storm system approaches the area.
Weather officials have declared a blizzard warning for the Delmarva region that began Thursday afternoon and will continue through Sunday evening.
The National Weather Service office in Mount Holly, New Jersey activated the warning at 1:54 PM on February 21st, with conditions expected to persist until 6:00 PM on February 23rd.
Residents across Delaware and the Eastern Shore should prepare for dangerous winter weather conditions over the next several days as this major storm system moves through the area.
Stay tuned to TV Delmarva for continued coverage and updates on this developing weather situation.
A powerful late-winter storm heading toward the East Coast on Sunday has prompted meteorologists to issue blizzard warnings for coastal Delaware communities, along with New York City, New Jersey, and southern Connecticut.
Weather forecasters have upgraded their predictions for what they initially expected to be a less severe storm just days ago. The National Weather Service now anticipates snowfall totals of 1 to 2 feet across much of the warning area, which encompasses New York City, Long Island, southern Connecticut, and coastal areas of New Jersey and Delaware. Forecasters also warn that flooding could occur in portions of New York and New Jersey.
“While we do get plenty of these nor’easters that produce heavy snow and strong impacts, it’s been several years since we saw one of this magnitude across this large of a region in this very populated part of the country,” said Cody Snell, a meteorologist at the service’s Weather Prediction Center.
According to Snell, the storm system will begin impacting the Washington, D.C. area Sunday morning before moving through Philadelphia and New York City, eventually reaching Boston by late Monday evening.
Meteorologists expect the storm to start as rain in some locations before conditions deteriorate. The most intense snowfall is forecast for Sunday night, with accumulation rates potentially reaching 2 inches per hour in certain areas before conditions improve by Monday afternoon.
The weather service cautioned that sustained winds between 25 and 35 mph accompanying the storm will “make travel dangerous, if not impossible. Scattered downed tree limbs and power outages possible due to snow load and strong winds.”
This storm system arrives as communities are still recovering from ice and snow left behind by another winter storm that hit the region several weeks ago.
Atlantic City, New Jersey officials issued warnings Saturday, advising residents and casino patrons to avoid traveling during the storm, particularly in flood-prone, low-elevation areas.
“I could go on and on probably with a good two dozen streets where we know we will get water and there will be snow on top of that,” said Scott Evans, the city’s fire chief and emergency management coordinator. “So you won’t be able to see it until it’s too late, so therefore please stay at home.”
Weather authorities issued blizzard alerts Saturday for New York City and surrounding areas in New Jersey and Connecticut as a powerful winter storm system approaches the Eastern Seaboard.
The National Weather Service has activated snow and storm alerts spanning from the Mid-Atlantic through the Northeast regions, with forecasters predicting intense snowfall and powerful winds beginning Sunday and continuing through Monday.
Officials expect the New York metropolitan area, including Long Island, to receive as much as 1.5 feet of snow accumulation. This marks the first time New York City has been placed under a blizzard warning since 2017.
The storm system will particularly impact areas from New Jersey extending northeast to southeastern New England, where the combination of heavy snow and fierce winds will create dangerous conditions.
Weather forecasters predict wind speeds between 25 and 35 mph throughout the event, with stronger gusts reaching 45 to 55 mph expected Sunday evening. Coastal regions will experience the most severe conditions from the storm system.
The National Weather Service warns that the powerful winds will likely cause electrical outages across the affected region. Additionally, coastal communities face the possibility of minor to extensive flooding.
Meanwhile, the Washington D.C. and Baltimore metropolitan areas remain under winter storm watch as the system continues its eastward trajectory.
A powerful late-February nor’easter is expected to significantly impact the Delmarva Peninsula from Sunday afternoon through Monday evening, bringing heavy snow, strong winds, and potentially dangerous travel conditions.
This storm will rapidly intensify off the Mid-Atlantic coast, creating a period of heavy snowfall and localized blizzard conditions across coastal Delaware and portions of inland Sussex County.
Heavy Snow and Strong Winds
Snow is expected to overspread Delmarva Sunday afternoon, becoming heavy at times Sunday night into early Monday. Snowfall rates could exceed one to two inches per hour during the height of the storm.
Total accumulations across parts of the peninsula could reach significant levels, especially closer to the Delaware beaches, where blowing and drifting snow may greatly reduce visibility.
In addition to heavy snowfall, strong northeast winds are expected to increase through Sunday night. Wind gusts between 40 and 60+ mph could create whiteout conditions, particularly along coastal areas. These winds will also lead to significant drifting, making roads impassable in some locations.
Travel Could Become Extremely Dangerous
The combination of heavy snow and strong winds may produce localized blizzard conditions across coastal Delmarva. Visibility could drop below a quarter mile at times, especially during peak snowfall rates.
Travel is expected to become very difficult Sunday night into Monday. Both the Monday morning and evening commutes could be heavily impacted if conditions worsen as expected.
Residents are urged to limit travel to emergencies only. If travel is unavoidable, motorists should carry a winter survival kit and be prepared for rapidly deteriorating conditions.
Power Outages Possible
Strong winds combined with heavy, wet snow could lead to scattered power outages across Sussex County and nearby coastal communities. Tree damage is possible, particularly where snowfall accumulates on limbs before peak wind gusts arrive.
Coastal Concerns
Moderate coastal flooding and beach erosion are also possible along the Delaware coastline, especially during times of high tide as strong onshore flow persists.
A significant winter weather event is heading toward Ocean City, Maryland, prompting meteorologists to issue a Winter Storm Watch effective from Sunday morning and continuing through Monday evening.
Weather forecasters from the National Weather Service office in Wakefield, Virginia have issued warnings for dangerous conditions expected to impact the popular coastal destination. The approaching storm system is forecast to deliver substantial snowfall totals ranging from 6 to 9 inches across the area.
In addition to the heavy snow accumulation, residents and visitors should prepare for potentially hazardous wind conditions, with gusts expected to reach speeds of up to 45 miles per hour during the storm’s peak intensity.
The National Weather Service office in Mount Holly, New Jersey has put Delaware’s coastal regions under a flood watch starting Thursday morning and continuing through Saturday’s early hours.
Weather forecasters activated the coastal flood watch at 4:36 AM on February 21st, with the advisory set to remain active until 5:00 AM on February 23rd.
The watch indicates that conditions may develop that could cause minor flooding along Delaware’s coastline during the specified timeframe.
Residents and visitors in coastal Delaware areas should monitor weather conditions and be prepared for potential flooding impacts during the watch period.
Delaware transportation authorities have implemented a temporary speed reduction on Interstate 495, lowering the limit to 55 miles per hour as dense fog creates dangerous driving conditions across the area.
The speed restriction has been put in place as a safety precaution while thick fog reduces visibility for motorists traveling on the busy highway corridor.
Drivers are urged to exercise extra caution and maintain safe following distances while the foggy weather persists. The temporary speed limit will remain in effect until visibility conditions improve and normal driving conditions return to the interstate.
Weather officials have updated their winter weather alert for the Delmarva region, with the National Weather Service Mount Holly issuing new information that supersedes the earlier Winter Storm Watch.
The change in weather advisories comes as meteorologists continue monitoring a developing winter weather system that could impact Delaware and surrounding areas.
Residents are encouraged to stay informed about the evolving weather situation by checking the latest forecasts and any additional advisories that may be issued as conditions develop.
The National Weather Service Mount Holly continues to track this weather system and will provide updates as new information becomes available.
The National Weather Service office in Mount Holly, New Jersey has updated its winter weather forecast for the region, issuing new guidance that replaces an earlier Winter Storm Watch.
Weather officials are monitoring a developing winter weather system that could impact the Delmarva Peninsula and surrounding areas. The updated forecast provides the most current information available as meteorologists continue to track the storm’s path and intensity.
Residents across Delaware and the Eastern Shore are encouraged to stay informed about changing weather conditions and make necessary preparations for potential winter weather impacts. The National Weather Service will continue providing updates as the situation develops.
Local authorities recommend checking current road conditions before traveling and ensuring emergency supplies are readily available during winter weather events.
The National Weather Service office in Mount Holly, New Jersey has issued a blizzard warning for the Delmarva Peninsula that took effect at 3:27 AM on Saturday, February 21st.
The warning will remain active until 6:00 PM on Monday, February 23rd, with dangerous winter weather conditions across Delaware and the Eastern Shore.
Residents throughout the region should prepare for severe winter weather that could include heavy snowfall, strong winds, and reduced visibility that characterizes blizzard conditions.
The extended duration of this weather alert suggests that hazardous travel and outdoor conditions are expected across the Delmarva Peninsula.
The National Weather Service Mount Holly office has issued a Winter Storm Warning for the Delmarva Peninsula, effective from Thursday morning at 3:27 AM through Friday evening at 6:00 PM.
The warning was put into effect on February 21st and remains active until February 23rd, alerting residents across Delaware and the Eastern Shore to prepare for potentially dangerous winter weather conditions.
Local residents should monitor weather conditions closely and take necessary precautions as the storm system moves through the region over the next two days.
TV Delmarva will continue to track this developing weather situation and provide updates as conditions change throughout the warning period.
Delaware’s coastal communities remain under a Coastal Flood Watch that will stay in effect until Friday morning at 5:00 AM, according to the National Weather Service office in Mount Holly, New Jersey.
The weather alert was initially issued on Tuesday, February 20th at 3:50 PM and continues to monitor conditions that could lead to flooding along Delaware’s shoreline areas.
Residents and businesses in coastal zones should stay informed about changing conditions and be prepared to take necessary precautions if flooding develops during the watch period.
The National Weather Service typically issues these watches when weather patterns suggest the possibility of coastal flooding, giving communities advance notice to prepare for potentially hazardous conditions.
Delaware Department of Transportation officials have implemented a temporary speed reduction on Interstate 495, dropping the limit to 55 miles per hour as thick fog blankets the roadway.
The speed restriction comes as dense fog conditions create reduced visibility for drivers, prompting safety concerns along the busy corridor. Transportation authorities are monitoring the situation and urge motorists to exercise extra caution while traveling through the affected area.
Drivers are advised to reduce their speed, increase following distances, and use headlights while navigating through the foggy conditions. The temporary speed limit will remain in effect until visibility improves and normal driving conditions return to the interstate.
Confidence is starting to grow that a winter storm will impact the region Sunday into Monday, bringing the potential for widespread accumulating snowfall. However, while the threat for some sort of snow is becoming clearer, major questions remain regarding just how significant this system will become.
Forecast guidance remains in general agreement that low pressure will develop off the Southeast or Mid-Atlantic coast late Saturday night or Sunday, then strengthen as it moves offshore into Monday. What remains highly uncertain is how close the storm tracks to the coast and how intense it ultimately becomes.
Model solutions continue to vary widely. Some guidance depicts a stronger storm tucked closer to the Mid-Atlantic coastline, which would support heavier snowfall, stronger winds, and a higher risk of coastal flooding. Other solutions keep the storm weaker and farther offshore, which would result in lighter snowfall totals and potentially even some rain mixing in at the onset.
There has been a subtle westward shift in some of the midday model runs, particularly with the ICON and UKMET, suggesting a slightly closer track. Meanwhile, the ECMWF has come into better agreement showing at least light snowfall accumulations across the entire area. Ensemble guidance, however, still shows significant spread, highlighting the continued uncertainty.
It is worth noting that while some mid-range American models such as the GFS and NAM have hinted at an extreme scenario featuring 2 to 3 feet of snow in parts of the region, that solution currently appears to be an extreme outlier. At this time, confidence in a historic blizzard scenario remains very low. The overall snow threat is real and it is increasing, but the most extreme projections do not appear to be the most likely outcome.
High-resolution guidance is also offering important insight. Some CAMs, including the MPAS, show a significant reduction of snowfall on the backside of the system due to weaker phasing of upper-level energy. The timing and interaction of shortwave energy from the Midwest and West Coast will ultimately determine how amplified the upper-level trough becomes and whether the system achieves a more neutral or negative tilt. A stronger, phased system would support heavier snow, while weaker phasing would favor a more modest event.
Another key factor will be boundary layer temperatures. The air mass ahead of the storm is not particularly cold, meaning surface temperatures will play a critical role in determining how efficiently snow accumulates. Even with a weaker solution, increasing northeasterly winds could develop Sunday into Monday, especially near the coast, raising at least some concern for minor coastal flooding.
The bottom line: confidence is high that precipitation will occur Sunday into Monday, with an 80 to 90 percent chance of measurable precipitation. Confidence is increasing that a chuck of that is snow. However, it is too early to lock in specific totals or buy into extreme scenarios. Expect forecast adjustments as newer data continues to refine the storm’s evolution.
State transportation officials are warning Delaware drivers about dangerous visibility conditions as dense fog settles across the region.
The Delaware Department of Transportation has activated a fog advisory covering the entire state as thick atmospheric conditions significantly reduce visibility on roadways.
Motorists are being urged to exercise extreme caution while traveling, as the heavy fog creates potentially hazardous driving situations throughout Delaware’s highway system and local roads.
The advisory remains active as weather conditions continue to impact safe travel across the First State.
WASHINGTON — North Americans welcomed 2026 with harsh, bone-chilling temperatures that many residents say they haven’t felt in decades.
Chris Ferro, a 58-year-old property owner from Brooklyn, New York, described the unusual severity of this winter’s cold snap. “Pipes that never froze on me for 15 years froze,” Ferro explained, referring to the exceptionally frigid conditions he faced during January and February. The owner of multiple rental properties in Albany said consecutive days of sub-freezing weather made it impossible to complete necessary property maintenance and improvements. Despite being grateful that no pipes actually burst, Ferro noted this winter reminded him of the harsh cold from his childhood — a stark difference from the milder winters he’s grown accustomed to in recent decades.
New polling data from The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research shows that approximately 60% of American adults report being directly impacted by harsh cold weather or major winter storms within the last five years. This represents a notable jump from a similar AP-NORC survey from February 2025, when roughly 50% of adults reported such impacts.
These results highlight the increasing frequency of cold weather experiences, or at least public awareness of them, following a major winter storm that delivered freezing conditions to the Eastern United States and triggered widespread electrical outages throughout Southern states.
Within our warming climate, individual responses to cold weather remain highly personal. Climate scientists note that the opening decades of this century have been remarkably warm compared to historical norms — primarily due to human activities affecting the climate — while severely cold winters have become less common across North America. Since these extreme cold events occur less regularly, researchers suggest Americans now feel their impact more acutely than in previous generations, with extended cold periods being unfamiliar territory for many people, particularly younger generations.
For comparison, an AP-NORC survey from summer 2024 revealed that roughly 70% of American adults had faced extremely hot weather or dangerous heat waves during the previous five years.
The latest polling data indicates that cold weather has disrupted American lives in numerous ways during just the past twelve months.
Approximately 70% of Americans report that their electricity or gas expenses have increased beyond normal levels due to winter storms or extreme cold during the past year. Around 40% have dealt with work or school closures caused by winter storms or extreme cold, roughly one-third have lost power, and about 30% have faced travel disruptions or delays.
Annie Braswell, a 66-year-old resident of Greenville, North Carolina, described January and February as feeling like “it hadn’t been that cold in 40 years,” with her utility costs doubling compared to typical months. She characterized this as a sharp contrast from last summer’s weather, when she endured numerous days reaching or exceeding 100°F (38°C). “I just take life one day at a time, and I realize these are things that I can’t change,” Braswell explained regarding her approach to dealing with temperature extremes.
Both heat waves and severe cold require additional heating and cooling to maintain comfortable indoor temperatures, resulting in elevated utility costs. Electricity rates continue climbing nationwide, and an AP-NORC survey from October 2025 showed that nearly 40% of American adults consider electricity costs a “major source” of financial stress. Climate activist Bill McKibben told The Associated Press in a recent interview that he expects increasing electricity prices to become a significant political issue.
Cold weather impacts have spread across broad regions of the nation. Roughly 60% of Midwest residents, approximately half of Southern residents, and about 40% of Northeastern residents report experiencing work or school cancellations due to winter storms or extreme cold, compared to just 15% of Western residents.
Among Americans who have encountered any type of severe weather event in recent years — including extreme heat, extreme cold, major droughts or water shortages, hurricanes or severe tropical storms, major flooding, wildfires, or tornadoes — approximately two-thirds believe climate change played a role.
“I think climate change is a natural thing that happens … to some extent it’s sped up by some things,” including pollutants from manufacturing facilities and shipping operations, said Joseph Bird, a 21-year-old college student from Provo, Utah, who considers himself politically independent. “I think it increases the frequency of extreme weather is how I’d see it,” Bird added.
Democrats and independents who have experienced severe weather events are significantly more likely than Republicans to attribute these events to climate change.
A particularly wide divide exists between conservative Republicans — with only about 30% of those who experienced extreme weather linking it to climate change — compared to liberal Democrats, where the vast majority connect such events to climate change.
Although increasing global temperatures result from climate change, scientists explain that extreme cold outbreaks throughout North America are actually a characteristic of our changing climate. The Arctic polar vortex, a rotating system of low pressure and frigid air normally contained above the North Pole year-round, can expand southward and affect regions much further from the Arctic. Scientific studies show these polar vortex disruptions are occurring more often due to rapidly rising Arctic temperatures and diminishing Arctic sea ice.
In total, 80% of American adults have encountered some form of severe weather event during the past five years, though they are more likely to report experiencing extremely hot weather, heat waves, and extreme cold than other major weather phenomena, including droughts, water shortages, hurricanes, tropical storms, flooding, wildfires, tornadoes, or additional severe weather disasters.
While Americans across party lines report similar rates of extreme weather experiences, about 80% of Democrats who faced these events attributed them to climate change, compared to only about 40% of Republicans.
The AP-NORC survey included 1,156 adults and was conducted February 5-8 using NORC’s probability-based AmeriSpeak Panel, designed to represent the U.S. population. The margin of sampling error for all adults is plus or minus 3.9 percentage points.
Delaware Department of Transportation officials have implemented a temporary speed reduction on Interstate 495, lowering the maximum allowable speed to 55 miles per hour due to current weather conditions affecting the roadway.
The speed restriction has been put into place as a safety precaution for drivers traveling along the interstate corridor. DelDOT monitoring systems indicate that weather conditions warrant the reduced speed limit to help prevent accidents and ensure safer travel.
Motorists are advised to exercise additional caution while driving on I-495 and to observe the temporary 55 mph speed limit currently in effect. The speed restriction will remain in place until weather conditions improve and normal speed limits can be safely restored.
As spring approaches, a state climatologist is closely tracking water levels in major river systems across the Midwest region. Justin Glisan, who serves as Iowa’s state climatologist, reports that northern states have received sufficient winter precipitation to potentially increase stream flows in the coming months.
“There is snowpack on the ground in parts of Minnesota and Wisconsin which will feed into the Mississippi Basin,” Glisan explained while discussing the current conditions affecting river systems.
The accumulated snow in these northern areas is expected to contribute to water levels as temperatures warm and melting begins, though moisture distribution has been inconsistent throughout the broader Midwest region this winter season.
Destructive blazes are ravaging communities throughout the Central Plains, with Kansas agricultural officials reporting they cannot yet determine the complete extent of the devastation. The state’s Agriculture Secretary, Mike Beam, indicated that the fire outbreak originated in Oklahoma on Tuesday, fueled by dangerous conditions including dry air and powerful wind gusts.
According to Beam, “Very few, if any, of these fires that have sprung up have been” contained, highlighting the ongoing threat these wildfires pose to both states. The Rover Road Fire has emerged as one of the most significant blazes causing major destruction across the affected regions.
Weather conditions continue to hamper firefighting efforts as crews work to battle multiple active fires throughout Kansas and Oklahoma. Officials are urging residents in affected areas to remain vigilant and follow evacuation orders as the situation develops.
A quick-moving storm system will bring multiple rounds of rain to the Delmarva region beginning Thursday evening and continuing into Friday morning.
Low pressure tracking into the western Great Lakes will push a surface warm front toward the Mid-Atlantic tonight. As this front approaches, moisture will increase across Delaware and Maryland’s Eastern Shore, leading to widespread precipitation.
Two Rounds of Rain
The first round of rain is expected to develop late Thursday afternoon into the evening, spreading across Delmarva and southern New Jersey. A second round will follow overnight into Friday morning, before gradually tapering off from south to north later in the day.
Rainfall totals across Delmarva are expected to range between 0.30 and 0.50 inches, with some locally higher amounts possible depending on how the heavier bands set up. While flooding is not anticipated, ponding on roadways may occur during periods of steadier rain.
Fog Possible Overnight
As milder, moisture-rich air rides up and over cooler surface air, areas of fog may develop late Thursday night into early Friday morning. Reduced visibility could impact the Friday morning commute, particularly in low-lying and rural areas.
Motorists should be prepared for wet roads and localized visibility reductions overnight and early Friday.
Temperature Gradient Friday
A noticeable temperature difference is expected across Delmarva on Friday due to the position of the warm front. Southern areas may turn milder sooner, while northern portions of the peninsula could remain cooler longer before temperatures gradually moderate.
Milder Conditions for Saturday
Behind the system, winds will shift and temperatures will rebound for Saturday. As cloud cover breaks at times, most of the Delmarva coastal plain should see highs climb into the upper 40s to lower 50s, offering a brief break from the recent chill.
A lingering boundary may remain just north of the region, but only a slight chance of light precipitation is expected near the northern fringe of the area. The majority of Delmarva should stay dry Saturday.
Dense fog conditions have developed across Delaware, creating hazardous driving conditions throughout the First State. The Delaware Department of Transportation is urging all drivers to exercise extreme caution while on the roads.
Visibility has been significantly reduced in multiple areas across Delaware, with fog intensity varying from location to location. The atmospheric conditions have created a safety concern for motorists traveling on state highways and local roads.
Transportation officials recommend that drivers reduce their speed, increase following distances, and use low-beam headlights when navigating through the foggy conditions. Motorists should also avoid using high-beam headlights, which can reflect off the fog and further reduce visibility.
The fog advisory remains in effect as weather conditions continue to impact travel safety throughout Delaware.
An extended period without snowfall in California’s Sierra Nevada mountains created the dangerous conditions that led to Tuesday’s fatal avalanche near Lake Tahoe, according to avalanche experts analyzing the tragedy.
Craig Clements, a meteorology professor at San Jose State University who studies avalanches, explained that several feet of fresh snow landed on top of a hardened layer from earlier in the season. The two layers failed to properly connect, creating hazardous and easily triggered conditions.
“The new snow did not have time to bond to the earlier layer before the avalanche,” Clements said. The disaster claimed the lives of at least eight backcountry skiers, while six others survived the ordeal. Search teams continued looking for one missing person on Wednesday.
The skiing party had embarked on a three-day wilderness expedition in the Sierra Nevada mountains when the avalanche struck Tuesday morning, coinciding with a powerful winter storm battering the West Coast.
According to Clements, avalanche risks typically peak during the initial 24 to 48 hours following significant snowfall, and officials had already posted avalanche advisories for the region.
The meteorology expert described how prolonged dry conditions, which had persisted in the Sierra Nevada since January, cause snow crystals to transform and develop angular or rounded shapes over time.
When substantial amounts of new snow accumulate on these altered crystals, the different layers frequently cannot form proper connections. This creates what avalanche specialists call a storm slab positioned above a weaker foundation layer.
“Because it’s on a mountain, it will slide,” Clements explained, noting that any shift in pressure from above or below can trigger the slide. While some avalanches occur naturally, human activity in the area can also set them off. Officials have not yet determined what caused Tuesday’s avalanche to begin.
Clements noted that more regular snowfall throughout the winter season would have allowed different snow layers to bond more effectively. However, even when dangerous storm slabs develop, the hazardous conditions typically last only a few days before the new snow becomes more stable.
While climate change can create weather extremes including both drought conditions and intense precipitation events, scientists say it remains challenging to determine how this might influence avalanche patterns or locations.
Clements characterized this week’s avalanche as typical for California’s Sierra Nevada region and does not believe it connects to climate change impacts.
He described avalanches as dependent on snowfall amounts and the stability of underlying layers, calling this incident “a meteorological phenomenon, not a climate phenomenon.”
Weather reports indicate that between 3 and 6 feet of snow accumulated since Sunday, when the group began their expedition. The region also experienced below-freezing temperatures and powerful winds. The Sierra Avalanche Center warned Wednesday that additional avalanche threats remained, leaving snow conditions unstable and unpredictable.
Recovery teams located eight bodies near California’s Lake Tahoe following Tuesday’s avalanche, which authorities describe as the nation’s most deadly in nearly 50 years. Six members of the guided tour were rescued six hours after the slide occurred.
Nevada County Sheriff Shannan Moon announced Wednesday that investigators will examine the decision to continue with the planned trip despite storm forecasts.
The skiers had traveled Sunday to isolated mountain huts located at 7,600 feet elevation in Tahoe National Forest, bringing their own food and equipment. At 6:49 that morning, the Sierra Avalanche Center had issued an avalanche watch for the area, warning that large slides were probable within the following 24 to 48 hours.
Farmers and travelers throughout the Midwest are dealing with dangerous winter conditions as heavy snow and strong winds batter agricultural regions from North Dakota and northeastern South Dakota through the upper Great Lakes area. The severe weather is creating hazardous driving conditions and putting additional strain on farm animals.
Northern sections of Lower Michigan are experiencing freezing rain, adding to the challenging conditions, while light rain showers are moving through eastern farming areas of the Corn Belt. The contrast is stark compared to much of the rest of the nation, which continues to see temperatures well above normal for this time of year.
Transportation officials are urging caution in affected areas as the combination of snow, wind, and icy conditions makes travel treacherous. Livestock producers are taking extra precautions to protect their animals from the harsh weather conditions.
An active weather pattern continues across the Mid-Atlantic, and are now monitoring the potential for a coastal storm to impact the Delmarva Peninsula during the second half of the weekend.
While details remain uncertain, confidence is increasing that a developing area of low pressure will track west to east across the region late Sunday before strengthening offshore along the northern Mid-Atlantic coast. But there is also key details I’m not very fond of trusting.
Storm Track Will Determine Impacts
Most computer models show a storm developing and passing near the region Sunday. However, the exact track and strength of the surface low will ultimately determine how impactful this system becomes for Delmarva.
Recent trends in both deterministic and ensemble guidance have nudged the system slightly farther south and east. That shift could reduce overall impacts totals locally if it continues. Still, there remains a signal for a widespread precipitation event across the peninsula.
If the storm tracks close enough to the coast, stronger dynamics could enhance precipitation rates. At this stage, it is too early to determine rain and even snowfall amounts or pinpoint exact impacts.
Cold Air Will Be Key
The amount of cold air in place ahead of and during the storm will play a major role in determining precipitation type and accumulation potential.
Forecast guidance suggests that sufficient cold air may be present for accumulating snow across Delmarva if the storm tracks favorably. However, small shifts in the storm’s path could significantly change the outcome.
Relying On a Norlun Trough & Dynamic Cooling Never Fair Well For Delmarva
A Norlun trough is a narrow, elongated area of low pressure that can develop between two larger weather systems, often in New England or the northern Mid-Atlantic.
These features often form in cold, unstable air behind a departing coastal storm or between competing pressure systems. They can be difficult to forecast because they are small-scale and highly sensitive to subtle atmospheric changes.
On Delmarva, Norlun troughs are less common than in New England, but similar narrow deformation bands can produce comparable localized snowfall.
Dynamic cooling refers to a process where strong upward motion in the atmosphere causes temperatures to cool rapidly, sometimes enough to change rain to snow.
If precipitation falls heavily enough, it can also contribute to cooling through melting and evaporation, reinforcing the transition to snow.
Much Colder Air Early Next Week
Behind the potential weekend storm, a notably colder air mass is expected to settle into the region early next week.
High temperatures Monday and Tuesday may struggle to climb out of the 30s across Delmarva, with overnight lows dropping into the teens in many locations. The colder conditions could lead to icy spots lingering if snowfall occurs over the weekend.
Multiple weather systems are making their way across the United States this week, with one potentially affecting the East Coast by the weekend.
Meteorologists report that a weather disturbance currently positioned over the upper Midwest is expected to lose strength and remain stationary in the coming days. Meanwhile, another system moving through the Intermountain West is forecast to advance toward the Great Lakes area by Friday.
A third storm system originating from the Pacific Ocean is projected to make landfall in California on Thursday. This weather pattern is then anticipated to move quickly eastward, potentially reaching either the mid-Atlantic or southern Atlantic coastal regions by Saturday.
A developing storm system will bring a steady round of rain to the Delmarva Peninsula late Thursday through Friday, delivering a beneficial soaking rainfall to a region that remains in drought.
Cool, Cloudy Start Thursday
Thursday will begin under mostly cloudy skies as a backdoor cold front settles south of the area. High pressure building over New England will promote a northeast wind, keeping temperatures cooler than recent days.
Highs are expected to run near or slightly below seasonal averages. The combination of low clouds, onshore flow, and increasing moisture may also lead to areas of fog Thursday morning, with pockets of dense fog possible.
Rain Moves In Thursday Evening
Rain is expected to overspread Delmarva Thursday evening as low pressure tracks through the region Thursday night into Friday. While northern Pennsylvania and far northern New Jersey may see some wintry precipitation, temperatures across Delmarva will remain warm enough to support an all-rain event.
The system appears fairly quick-moving but may produce periods of off-and-on rain from Thursday evening through Friday night. Overall, this looks to be a steady soaking rainfall rather than a high-impact storm.
Rainfall Totals and Drought Relief
Current projections suggest rainfall totals ranging from 0.50 to 0.75 inches across much of Delaware and Maryland’s Eastern Shore.
Given ongoing drought conditions across the region, this rain will be welcomed. While it won’t erase long-term deficits, it should help improve soil moisture and reduce short-term dryness.
Fog and Low Visibility Possible
As milder, moist air rides over cooler surface air, areas of fog may develop at times, especially late Thursday night into Friday morning. Motorists should be prepared for reduced visibility during periods of heavier rain and fog.
Weather officials issued a short-lived dense fog advisory for the Delmarva Peninsula early this morning as thick fog reduced visibility across the region.
The National Weather Service office in Mount Holly, New Jersey activated the advisory at 9:38 AM on February 18th, warning residents of hazardous driving conditions due to severely limited visibility.
The foggy conditions cleared quickly, with meteorologists canceling the advisory at 10:00 AM the same day after visibility improved throughout the area.
During dense fog events, the National Weather Service typically advises drivers to reduce speed, use low-beam headlights, and maintain extra distance between vehicles to ensure safe travel.
Morning commuters across the Delmarva Peninsula are dealing with significantly reduced visibility today as the National Weather Service has issued a dense fog advisory for the region.
The weather alert, which went into effect at 7:19 AM, is expected to remain in place until 10:00 AM this morning, according to forecasters at the National Weather Service Mount Holly office.
Motorists are being advised to exercise extra caution while traveling during the morning hours, as the thick fog conditions are creating hazardous driving conditions throughout Delaware and the surrounding areas.
The advisory affects visibility on major roadways and local streets, potentially impacting the Tuesday morning commute for thousands of residents across the region.
Delaware residents are dealing with significantly reduced visibility this morning as thick fog has settled across the region.
Weather officials from the National Weather Service Mount Holly office put a dense fog advisory into effect at 2:32 AM today, with the warning scheduled to remain active through 10:00 AM this morning.
The foggy conditions are creating hazardous driving situations throughout the First State, with visibility dropping to dangerously low levels in many areas.
Motorists are urged to exercise extreme caution while traveling and allow extra time to reach their destinations safely during the morning commute.
Emergency teams fought through harsh winter conditions in the mountains near Lake Tahoe to reach six backcountry skiers who survived an avalanche but became trapped in snow and ice. Nine members of their skiing party are still unaccounted for.
According to Ashley Quadros, a spokesperson for the Nevada County Sheriff’s Office, two of the rescued skiers required hospital care.
Officials corrected earlier reports Tuesday evening, confirming that 15 skiers were part of the expedition, not the previously reported 16.
Emergency responders were called to the Frog Lake area near Castle Peak, located northwest of Lake Tahoe, following a 911 report of an avalanche with people buried beneath the snow. A severe winter storm was battering California during the incident.
The harsh weather conditions in Northern California’s mountains hampered rescue operations. It required several hours for teams to reach the trapped skiers and transport them to safety, where Truckee Fire Department personnel provided medical evaluations.
Sheriff’s officials announced they will share additional information about the ongoing rescue operation during a Wednesday morning press briefing.
The group was completing the final day of a three-day wilderness skiing adventure, according to Steve Reynaud, an avalanche forecaster with the Sierra Avalanche Center at Tahoe National Forest, who maintained communication with personnel in the field. He explained the skiers had stayed two nights in mountain huts during an expedition requiring travel through “rugged mountainous terrain” for distances up to 4 miles while carrying all necessary food and equipment.
Nevada County Sheriff Captain Russell Greene reported that authorities learned of the avalanche through both the tour operator, Blackbird Mountain Guides, and emergency signals from devices carried by the skiers. Rescue teams approached the avalanche site with extreme caution due to the risk of additional slides.
Blackbird Mountain Guides posted a statement on their website confirming their cooperation with officials in the rescue mission.
A powerful winter storm is currently pummeling California, delivering dangerous thunderstorms, strong winds, and heavy mountain snowfall.
“Backcountry conditions are extremely hazardous right now because we’re experiencing the storm’s peak intensity,” stated Brandon Schwartz, the lead avalanche forecaster for Tahoe National Forest at the Sierra Avalanche Center in Truckee.
The center issued avalanche warnings for the Central Sierra Nevada region, including areas around Lake Tahoe, beginning Tuesday at 5 a.m., with expectations of major slides continuing through Wednesday.
Soda Springs, located close to the avalanche site, measured at least 30 inches of snowfall in a 24-hour span, according to data from Soda Springs Mountain Resort.
The hazardous situation resulted from rapidly building snow accumulation on unstable snowpack layers, combined with powerful winds.
The storm caused significant transportation problems from the Sierra Nevada to Sonoma County. Officials temporarily stopped traffic in both directions on Interstate 80 over and around Donner Summit because of vehicle spinouts and accidents.
Multiple Tahoe area ski resorts closed completely or partially due to weather conditions. Resort areas along highways maintain avalanche prevention programs and face lower risk compared to backcountry regions, where the center strongly advised against traveling in, near, or below avalanche-prone areas.
Castle Peak, standing 9,110 feet tall north of Donner Summit, attracts many backcountry skiing enthusiasts. The mountain bears the name of the notorious Donner Party, pioneers who turned to cannibalism after becoming stranded there during the winter of 1846-1847.
Earlier this year in January, an avalanche in the same region buried and killed a snowmobile rider, according to authorities. The National Avalanche Center reports that avalanches claim the lives of 25 to 30 people annually across the United States.
Experts strongly recommend avalanche assessment training, rescue instruction, and proper safety gear for backcountry skiing, also called off-piste skiing, which involves traveling deep into wilderness areas far beyond resort boundaries. Backcountry skis feature wider, heavier designs with specialized components for navigating ungroomed mountain terrain, unlike cross-country skis that are narrower and built for flatter, maintained trails.
Good morning, Delmarva! Happy Washington’s Birthday! We’re starting this holiday Monday with some patchy fog across the peninsula, but don’t worry – it should clear out by 9am as we transition to mostly cloudy skies.
Temperatures will climb to a comfortable 42 degrees this afternoon with a north wind picking up between 5 to 15 mph. There’s a slight chance of light rain, but any amounts will be minimal – less than a tenth of an inch if we see any at all.
Tonight, we’ll stay mostly cloudy with temperatures dipping down to a chilly 29 degrees, so you’ll definitely want that extra blanket!
Looking ahead to Tuesday, we’ve got some good news – partly sunny skies return with a pleasant high near 50 degrees. That’s a nice warming trend to start the week! Tuesday night will be mostly cloudy again with lows around 38.
Overall, it’s a fairly typical February pattern for our area. Bundle up this morning if you’re heading out early, and enjoy the holiday! I’m your TV Delmarva meteorologist, and I’ll see you tonight for your evening forecast update.
Delaware transportation authorities have issued a fog advisory covering the entire state as thick fog reduces visibility and creates hazardous driving conditions.
The advisory, posted by the Delaware Department of Transportation, warns motorists to exercise extreme caution while traveling on state roadways due to significantly impaired visibility caused by dense fog formations.
Drivers are urged to reduce speeds, use low-beam headlights, and maintain increased following distances while the foggy conditions persist. The reduced visibility poses particular risks during morning and evening commute hours when traffic volumes are highest.
Transportation officials recommend that motorists consider delaying non-essential travel until visibility improves. Those who must drive should allow extra time to reach their destinations safely.
The fog advisory remains active as weather conditions continue to produce the thick atmospheric conditions affecting travel throughout Delaware.
Weather forecasters from the National Weather Service office in Mount Holly, New Jersey have issued a dense fog advisory covering the Delmarva Peninsula beginning Sunday afternoon at 1:15 PM.
The advisory will remain active through Monday morning until 10:00 AM, warning residents of significantly reduced visibility conditions across the region.
Motorists are advised to exercise extreme caution during travel, as the thick fog conditions can create hazardous driving situations with visibility dropping to dangerously low levels.
The weather service typically issues these advisories when fog reduces visibility to one-quarter mile or less, creating potentially dangerous conditions for drivers and pedestrians alike.
Emergency responders launched an intensive search operation Tuesday for several backcountry skiers who disappeared following an avalanche in Northern California’s mountainous terrain, as a severe winter storm continues battering the region.
Nevada County Sheriff’s Office received an emergency call around 11:30 a.m. Tuesday reporting the avalanche with individuals trapped beneath the snow, according to department spokesperson Ashley Quadros.
Multiple agencies including the sheriff’s department, their Search & Rescue unit, and California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection teams mobilized to Castle Peak, located northwest of Lake Tahoe, Quadros reported.
“It has been reported that a group of back country skiers was involved in the incident, with several members of the party missing at this time,” the sheriff’s office wrote in a Facebook post.
A fierce winter storm has been pummeling California throughout the week, delivering dangerous thunderstorms, powerful winds, and substantial mountain snowfall.
The Sierra Avalanche Center in Truckee warned that the Central Sierra Nevada region, encompassing the greater Lake Tahoe area, faced elevated avalanche risks in backcountry areas, with major slides anticipated through Wednesday.
Multiple Lake Tahoe area ski facilities shut down completely or partially due to hazardous weather conditions.
The threatening situation resulted from quickly accumulating snow, deteriorating snowpack stability, and hurricane-force winds. Areas with established avalanche control programs, including managed ski slopes and highways, faced reduced risk levels, the center noted.
The 9,110-foot Castle Peak sits in the Donner Summit region of the Sierra Nevada and attracts many backcountry skiing enthusiasts. Nearby Soda Springs recorded at least 30 inches of fresh snowfall within the past day, according to Soda Springs Mountain Resort data.
Weather experts predict the Sierra Nevada’s western slopes in northern Shasta County, including sections of Interstate 5, plus portions of the Pacific Coast Range could accumulate up to 8 feet of snow before the storm system passes late Wednesday.
Transportation chaos spread across roadways from Sonoma County through the Sierra Nevada. California Department of Transportation temporarily stopped all Interstate 80 traffic near the Nevada border due to vehicle spinouts and collisions.
Authorities reported that an avalanche claimed a snowmobiler’s life in the same region this past January. The National Avalanche Center reports that avalanches typically kill 25 to 30 people annually across the United States.
Weather forecasters are predicting warmer-than-usual conditions for most of the United States in the coming week and a half, according to the latest national weather outlook.
The extended forecast covering the next 6 to 10 days indicates that temperatures and rainfall amounts are expected to meet or exceed seasonal averages across the majority of the nation. Active weather patterns are anticipated to persist for most regions during this timeframe.
However, some areas will experience different conditions. Temperatures below normal are forecast to remain limited to northern California, the Pacific Northwest region, and communities situated along the Canadian border extending eastward to North Dakota.
Regarding precipitation, below-average rainfall is expected to affect a specific corridor, though the complete details of this drier zone were not fully specified in the initial forecast data.
Delaware residents may have received a tsunami warning alert on February 17th, but there was no cause for alarm as it was only a test.
The National Weather Service’s Tsunami Warning Center conducted a routine emergency alert test that began at 12:30 PM Eastern Standard Time and concluded at 1:30 PM on the same day.
These types of testing exercises are conducted periodically to verify that emergency notification systems are working correctly and can effectively reach the public during actual emergencies.
The one-hour test helped ensure that warning protocols and communication channels remain functional for potential future coastal emergencies affecting the Delmarva Peninsula region.
An unsettled weather pattern is setting up across the Mid-Atlantic this week, bringing several opportunities for rain to the Delmarva Peninsula through the weekend. While areas to our north may deal with some wintry precipitation at times, the setup locally favors mainly rain events for Delaware and Maryland’s Eastern Shore.
Wednesday: Light Rain, Mainly North
The first system arrives Wednesday into Wednesday night as a warm front lifts northward ahead of low pressure tracking through the Midwest.
For Delmarva, this looks to be a primarily light rain event. Current trends show the steadiest rainfall staying north of our area, with southern Delaware potentially seeing little to no measurable rain. Most locations across Delmarva should see under a tenth of an inch, though a few spots could pick up slightly more if the rain shield trends farther south.
Overall, this is not expected to be a high-impact system. However, any rainfall will be beneficial as parts of the region continue to deal with ongoing drought conditions.
Thursday: Cooler With Spotty Showers Possible
Behind Wednesday’s warm front, a backdoor cold front may slide southward late Wednesday into Thursday. This front will usher in a cooler maritime air mass from the north or northeast.
If the boundary settles close enough to Delmarva, some areas could see patchy drizzle or light showers Thursday. Confidence in exact placement remains moderate, so coverage and amounts look limited at this time.
Friday Into Saturday: Another Round of Rain
Another low pressure system is expected to move in late Friday into Saturday. As of now, this system also appears to favor rain for Delmarva.
While slightly cooler air will be in place compared to midweek, temperatures across the peninsula are expected to remain warm enough to support mostly liquid precipitation. At this time, wintry precipitation concerns remain confined well to our north and do not appear to be a factor locally.
Rainfall amounts will depend on the eventual track and timing of the system, but there is at least some potential for moderate rainfall if the storm strengthens or slows.
Late Weekend: Watching a Potentially Stronger Storm
Attention then turns to another possible system toward the end of the weekend. Of all the upcoming disturbances, this one carries the greatest uncertainty and the widest range of possible outcomes.
Forecast guidance shows everything from a storm tracking well offshore with minimal impact, to a more organized system bringing steadier precipitation to the region. It is still too early to determine specifics, including rainfall amounts or any other impacts.
At this point, the late weekend system remains in the monitoring phase, and forecast details will likely evolve over the coming days. But with the way weather models have been handling the last several storm systems, it’s hard to put faith in one single solution.
Delaware motorists are encountering hazardous driving conditions today as thick fog has settled across the First State, creating visibility challenges of different severity levels in various locations.
The Delaware Department of Transportation is tracking the foggy conditions, which are affecting roadways from New Castle County in the north to Sussex County in the south. The dense moisture in the air is reducing visibility significantly, making travel particularly treacherous for morning commuters.
Drivers are advised to exercise extreme caution when traveling on Delaware roads today, reducing speed and increasing following distance to account for the limited visibility. The fog conditions are expected to impact traffic flow and could lead to delays throughout the state’s highway system.
DelDOT continues to monitor the weather situation and will provide updates as conditions change throughout the day.
Delaware Department of Transportation officials have temporarily shut down a portion of Front Street due to flooding conditions affecting the roadway.
The closure impacts the section of Front Street running from Walnut Street to Cave Neck Road, with motorists advised to seek alternate routes until the water subsides and the road can safely reopen.
DelDOT continues to monitor the situation and will provide updates on when normal traffic flow can resume on this stretch of roadway.
Torrential downpours struck New Zealand’s South Island on Tuesday, creating dangerous flooding conditions and prompting authorities to shut down numerous roads and bridges as a destructive storm system continued its path southward after wreaking havoc in Wellington over the weekend.
Weather officials warned that a low-pressure system positioned off the eastern coastline could deliver additional rounds of intense rainfall throughout Tuesday. The meteorological service cautioned that waterways could surge quickly and that the saturated ground conditions raised concerns about potential landslides.
MetService New Zealand’s most recent forecast also predicted hazardous ocean conditions with massive swells expected along the coastline.
Emergency officials issued a local state of emergency for the Banks Peninsula area adjacent to Christchurch, the nation’s second-most populous city, following severe flooding, toppled trees, and mudslides that isolated neighborhoods while knocking out utilities and communications infrastructure in multiple locations.
“We anticipated the weather easing off, but unfortunately that hasn’t happened, and isn’t forecast to begin easing until 6:00 p.m. (0500 GMT),” Christchurch Mayor Phil Mauger said.
Mayor Mauger called on citizens to limit water usage as the extreme weather persisted, and officials instructed some residents to boil their drinking water after floodwaters compromised a water processing plant.
The popular tourist destination of Akaroa, located approximately 90 kilometers (56 miles) northwest of Christchurch, became completely inaccessible due to the conditions.
Cameron Gordon, who owns a local cafe, described how floodwaters had risen to his establishment’s exterior walls. “Worst I’ve seen in my 20 years by quite some margin,” he told NZME media group.
Digital photographs circulating online revealed crumbled roadway sections, submerged streets, and rapidly swelling creeks throughout the affected areas.
The weather system had previously created significant chaos across extensive portions of the North Island, where aviation operations were suspended, primary transportation routes were blocked, and electrical service was disrupted for tens of thousands of people. Multiple Wellington residents on the North Island continued experiencing power outages on Tuesday, according to New Zealand news outlets.
After a prolonged stretch of cold and limited rainfall, a much more unsettled weather pattern is taking shape across the Delmarva Peninsula this week. Several low pressure systems are expected to move through the Mid-Atlantic, bringing multiple opportunities for measurable rain through the weekend.
First Round: Wednesday into Wednesday Night
The first system arrives Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday night as a warm front lifts northward ahead of low pressure tracking through the Midwest.
For Delmarva, this system is expected to bring mainly light rain, with recent model trends pointing toward an all-rain event. Rainfall amounts look modest overall, with:
Low probability of totals exceeding 1 inch
Most locations likely seeing light to moderate rainfall
Rain chances highest Wednesday afternoon and evening
While rainfall amounts do not appear heavy, this system could deliver the first measurable rainfall in several weeks for parts of the region, as recent precipitation events have largely fallen as snow due to persistent cold temperatures.
Thursday: Spotty Showers Possible
Delmarva remains in the warmer sector of the system Thursday into Thursday night. That means temperatures stay milder, and while widespread rain is not expected, isolated showers may pass through at times.
Second System: Friday into Saturday
Another low pressure system moves toward the region late Friday into Saturday. Much like the midweek system, this one also appears to favor primarily rain across Delmarva.
Current projections suggest:
Rain likely late Friday into early Saturday
Lower probabilities of heavy rainfall
No significant winter weather concerns for the Peninsula
At this time, forecast guidance does not indicate any moderate or major impacts from this system.
Watching the Weekend
Looking ahead to late weekend, there are signals of yet another potential system. However, forecast models vary significantly on its strength and track. It is too early to determine specific impacts or precipitation types, but it is something forecasters will continue monitoring.
Overall Impact for Delmarva
For the Delmarva Peninsula, this upcoming pattern looks to bring beneficial rainfall rather than disruptive weather. After weeks of colder conditions and limited liquid precipitation, this stretch of rain could help recharge soils and provide needed moisture without significant flooding concerns.
Good morning, Delmarva! We’re dealing with a steady soaking rain across the peninsula today, so definitely keep those umbrellas handy if you’re heading out.
Today’s story is all about the rain. We’re looking at cloudy skies with temperatures reaching around 50 degrees, which isn’t too bad for mid-January. However, this northeast wind at 5 to 10 mph is bringing in a persistent rain system with 100% chance of precipitation. We could see between 1 and 2 inches of new rainfall, so watch for some ponding on roadways and give yourself extra time if you’re traveling.
Tonight, the rain continues with temperatures dropping to around 40 degrees. Sunday brings a slight improvement with just a chance of light rain and cooler highs near 45. The good news? Sunday night looks much better as we clear out with temps dipping to 29 degrees.
Stay dry out there, Delmarva, and remember – this rain will help our lawns come springtime! I’m tracking your forecast and will have updates throughout the weekend.
Good morning, Delmarva! We’re looking at a mild but cloudy Wednesday across the peninsula, with temperatures climbing to a pleasant 54 degrees under mostly cloudy skies. Light southwest winds around 5 mph will keep things comfortable for any outdoor activities you have planned.
However, get ready for a dramatic temperature swing! Tonight brings our first notable weather change as we’ll see the chance for some light rain moving through, with temperatures dropping significantly to around 29 degrees. This sets up an interesting Thursday as that moisture could transition to a slight chance of light snow early in the day before skies begin to clear and we see partly sunny conditions. Thursday’s high will only reach about 34 degrees.
Thursday night turns quite chilly with partly cloudy skies and temperatures plummeting to around 20 degrees – so you’ll definitely want to bundle up and protect any sensitive plants or pipes.
Stay warm out there, Delmarva, and keep those winter coats handy! I’m your meteorologist reminding you to stay weather-aware as we navigate this temperature roller coaster.
A significant winter storm is barreling toward southern Delmarva, prompting the National Weather Service to issue a Winter Storm Warning effective from 7 PM tonight through 7 AM Monday morning.
The warning covers inland Sussex County, Delaware beaches, and portions of southern New Jersey including Cape May and Atlantic counties. Forecasters predict 4 to 8 inches of snow and sleet accumulation, with up to one-tenth of an inch of ice coating surfaces. Wind gusts could reach 35 mph, creating dangerous whiteout conditions.
Travel is expected to become very difficult, with the hazardous conditions likely impacting Monday morning’s commute. Officials strongly advise against unnecessary travel during the storm.
If you must venture out, the National Weather Service recommends keeping emergency supplies in your vehicle including extra flashlights, food, and water. For the latest road conditions, dial 5-1-1 before traveling.
The Winter Storm Warning remains in effect until Monday at 7 AM. TV Delmarva will continue monitoring this developing storm and provide updates throughout the weekend. Stay with us for the latest forecast information and travel advisories as conditions change.
A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect until 1:00 PM Monday for much of northern Delmarva, with dangerous icy conditions expected to create hazardous travel during the Monday morning commute.
The National Weather Service warns that portions of New Castle and Kent counties in Delaware, along with Queen Anne’s, Talbot, and Caroline counties on Maryland’s Eastern Shore, will see additional snow and sleet accumulations up to one inch. Perhaps most concerning is the potential for ice accumulations up to one-tenth of an inch, which could make roads extremely slippery.
The mixed precipitation is expected to continue through Monday afternoon, making morning travel particularly treacherous for commuters heading to work or school.
Officials strongly advise avoiding unnecessary travel. If you must drive, the National Weather Service recommends keeping emergency supplies in your vehicle, including an extra flashlight, food, and water. For the latest road conditions, drivers can dial 5-1-1 before heading out.
The Winter Storm Warning, issued Saturday afternoon by the National Weather Service in Mount Holly, New Jersey, will remain in effect until 1:00 PM Monday. Residents should monitor conditions closely and plan for potential delays or cancellations Monday morning.
A developing low pressure system is expected to bring another round of wet weather to the Delmarva region late Sunday into Monday, with rain favored across much of the area.
The latest forecast guidance shows the storm system tracking south of Delmarva as it moves along the East Coast. In recent model runs, there has been a continued shift toward a more southern and faster-moving track. This trend reduces the overall impact locally and keeps the bulk of the system’s energy offshore.
With this setup, precipitation will primarily affect the coastal plain, including areas along the Atlantic coastline and the lower Eastern Shore. Rain is expected to be the dominant precipitation type across Delmarva.
While a brief mix could occur at the very onset in isolated spots, the overall air mass in place ahead of this system is milder compared to recent storms. Temperatures leading into the event will support mainly rain, and snow is not expected to be an issue for the region.
Confidence has increased that measurable precipitation will occur, particularly closer to the coast, as forecast models continue to come into better agreement. Rainfall amounts and exact timing will continue to be refined, but the most likely window for wet conditions appears to be late Sunday through early Monday.
There remains a small amount of uncertainty. A few model solutions still suggest a slightly stronger and farther north track, which could expand precipitation coverage inland. However, the prevailing forecast favors a weaker system staying mainly to our south.
Drought conditions continue across parts of the Mid-Atlantic, according to the latest update from the U.S. Drought Monitor.
Much of Maryland and Virginia remains in Moderate to Severe Drought, while portions of Delaware and the Delmarva Peninsula are classified as either Abnormally Dry or in Moderate Drought. The weekly drought assessment reflects ongoing rainfall deficits, low soil moisture, and below-normal streamflow levels.
Although the region has seen occasional precipitation events this winter, it has not been enough to significantly improve long-term moisture deficits. Water managers continue to monitor conditions closely as the region heads toward spring, when agricultural demands typically increase.
Officials say meaningful, sustained rainfall will be needed to ease drought conditions across the Mid-Atlantic in the weeks ahead.
Residents across Delmarva should keep an eye on the forecast heading into late Sunday and early Monday as a developing low pressure system tracks along the East Coast.
Current model guidance shows the center of low pressure sliding by to the south of the peninsula. While there is still some uncertainty regarding the exact track and strength of the system, the latest trends suggest Delmarva will remain on the milder side of this storm.
Temperatures on Saturday are expected to climb into the 40s across much of the region. That relatively mild air mass will be in place ahead of the system’s arrival, meaning any precipitation that reaches Delmarva would fall as rain.
Forecast confidence continues to increase that the stronger storm scenario seen in some earlier model runs is becoming less likely. While a more amplified system would bring heavier precipitation farther north, current ensemble and deterministic guidance favor a weaker solution overall.
Because there is still some uncertainty in how far north the precipitation shield extends, rain chances have been maintained in the forecast from Sunday afternoon through early Monday. Probabilities currently range from around 30 percent to as high as 70 percent across the peninsula, with the higher chances generally closer to southern portions of Delmarva.
At this time, the main impact locally appears to be periods of rain late Sunday into early Monday. No winter weather impacts are expected for Delmarva with this system.
We will continue to monitor trends as newer data comes in over the next couple of days.
A noticeable warming trend is expected to take hold across the Eastern United States, including the Delmarva region, as we head deeper into February.
According to the latest Climate Prediction Center outlook, the 6 to 10 day temperature forecast, valid February 16 through February 20, shows a strong signal for above normal temperatures across much of the eastern half of the country. Delmarva is firmly within that above-average zone, with higher confidence indicated by the deeper orange shading across the Mid-Atlantic.
The trend continues in the 8 to 14 day outlook, valid February 18 through February 24. While the intensity of the warmth slightly moderates compared to the earlier period, the overall pattern still favors temperatures running above seasonal averages across Delaware and Maryland’s Eastern Shore.
What This Means for Delmarva
For mid to late February, average high temperatures across Delmarva typically range from the low to mid 40s. With this projected pattern, highs could frequently climb into the upper 40s and 50s, with occasional days potentially pushing even warmer if sunshine is present.
Overnight lows are also expected to trend milder than average, reducing the frequency of hard freezes and potentially limiting prolonged cold stretches.
Why the Warm Pattern?
The large-scale pattern depicted on the outlook maps shows persistent ridging across much of the central and eastern United States. This setup promotes milder air flowing northward and limits sustained Arctic air intrusions into the Mid-Atlantic region.
Meanwhile, colder-than-normal conditions are favored across parts of the western United States, reinforcing the overall east-west temperature contrast.
A developing storm system along the Eastern Seaboard could bring unsettled weather to the Delmarva region late Sunday into early Monday, though significant impacts appear less likely based on the latest forecast trends.
We continue to monitor an area of low pressure expected to track along the East Coast beginning Sunday and continuing into Monday. While uncertainty remains in the exact timing and track, most recent model guidance has shifted the system farther south and east. This trend would limit impacts across Delaware and Maryland’s Eastern Shore.
Temperatures leading into the weekend will be relatively mild for February standards. Highs Saturday are expected to reach the upper 30s to upper 40s across Delmarva. With that milder air mass in place, precipitation that does reach the region would most likely fall as rain, especially across southern Delaware and along the coast.
There remains a lower probability scenario in which the storm strengthens and tracks slightly farther north. In that case, some colder air could wrap into the system, allowing for a brief period of snow or a rain-snow mix, mainly across northern portions of the peninsula. However, this solution currently carries a lower likelihood compared to the prevailing forecast guidance.
At this time, precipitation chances late Sunday into early Monday range from about 30 to 60 percent across Delmarva, with the highest probabilities across southern Delaware. Farther north on the peninsula, precipitation chances are lower.
Residents should continue monitoring updates through the weekend as the track and strength of the system become clearer.
A generally quiet stretch of weather is expected across the Delmarva Peninsula through the end of the workweek, with increasing cloud cover and a return to rain chances late in the weekend and early next week.
Midweek Through Friday: Dry and Seasonable Wednesday through Friday will feature a mix of clouds and sunshine with dry conditions across the region. Afternoon highs will range from the upper 30s to mid 40s, while overnight lows dip into the 20s. These temperatures are close to seasonal averages for early February, and no precipitation is expected during this period.
Saturday: Mild and Mostly Dry Saturday continues the dry trend, with partly sunny skies and highs climbing into the mid 40s. This will be one of the milder days of the upcoming week, making it a decent day for outdoor plans before wetter weather arrives.
Sunday into Monday: Rain Likely A developing storm system is expected to bring increasing rain chances late Sunday into early Monday. Sunday appears cloudy with rain becoming likely, especially later in the day and overnight. High temperatures will remain in the mid 40s, with milder overnight lows staying well above freezing.
Rain chances linger into Monday, though coverage may become more scattered as the system begins to move away. Temperatures on Monday are expected to reach the upper 40s.
Early Next Week: Improving Conditions By Tuesday, conditions are expected to improve with a return to partly sunny skies. Highs will remain mild, hovering in the upper 40s, with no additional precipitation currently expected.
We continue to monitor a developing storm system expected to impact the Delmarva Peninsula late this weekend into early next week. While some uncertainty remains regarding the system’s exact track and strength, confidence is increasing that the region will see a period of rain.
Current forecast guidance shows an area of low pressure moving along the eastern seaboard sometime between late Sunday and early Monday. Because the system is still several days away, details such as rainfall amounts and exact timing are still being refined. However, the overall pattern supports at least some rain affecting Delmarva during this timeframe.
Temperatures ahead of the system are expected to remain relatively mild for early February standards. Highs on Friday and Saturday are forecast to reach the mid 30s to low 40s across the peninsula, supporting an all-rain event for the region.
The most likely window for rainfall appears to be late Sunday night into early Monday morning, though this timing could shift as the forecast becomes clearer. At this point, there are no indications of significant winter weather impacts for Delmarva with this system.
Residents are encouraged to stay updated with the latest forecasts over the coming days as confidence improves and more details on rainfall amounts and impacts become available.
After a stretch of bitter cold, temperatures across the Delmarva Peninsula are set to moderate back toward seasonal levels as we move into the middle of the week.
A shift in the upper-level pattern will allow warmer air to move into the region on Tuesday as high pressure slides offshore and a warm front crosses the area. This will bring daytime temperatures closer to average for mid-February, leading to some daytime thawing across Delmarva.
Despite the milder afternoons, overnight lows will continue to drop below freezing. This sets up repeated thaw-and-refreeze cycles, especially on untreated roads, sidewalks, and driveways. Tuesday night is expected to be the mildest night of the week, helped by southwest winds ahead of an approaching cold front.
The warm front may also bring a chance for light wintry precipitation Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday night. Any precipitation looks to be spotty and light, with overall chances remaining low, generally no higher than 20 percent. Impacts, if any, would be minor and localized.
A cold front will move through late Tuesday night into early Wednesday, shifting winds from the southwest to the west-northwest. Some brief, light precipitation cannot be ruled out with the frontal passage. Colder air becomes more noticeable later Wednesday as a secondary front moves through, bringing increasing west-northwest winds and a return to colder conditions for the second half of the week.
While temperatures will trend cooler again, this cold spell is not expected to be nearly as severe as the recent arctic outbreak.
Looking ahead to the weekend, another system may approach the region on Sunday. This could bring milder air along with rain or a mix of rain and wintry precipitation. Confidence remains low at this time due to significant uncertainty in the storm’s track and overall setup.
A fast-moving clipper system will bring a brief period of light snow to the Delmarva Peninsula tonight, before a powerful Arctic air mass surges into the region early Saturday. While snowfall amounts will remain minor, the combination of sharply falling temperatures, strong winds, and dangerous wind chills will create hazardous conditions through the weekend.
Light Snow This Evening Into Early Saturday
Snow will overspread Delmarva this evening as a clipper system passes north of the region. Snow is expected to begin during the evening hours and continue into the overnight period before tapering off early Saturday morning.
Most areas of Delaware, eastern Maryland, and the Virginia Eastern Shore can expect a coating to around one inch of snow. While widespread impacts are not anticipated, an isolated snow squall cannot be ruled out near daybreak Saturday, particularly along the Arctic front. Any squall that develops could briefly reduce visibility and create slick travel conditions, especially on untreated roads.
Snowfall totals are expected to remain below advisory criteria across the region.
Arctic Front Ushers in Brutal Cold
A strong Arctic cold front will move through Delmarva during the pre-dawn hours Saturday. Temperatures may briefly peak near midnight before falling rapidly into the teens and single digits by Saturday morning.
Behind the front, intense cold air advection will dominate the region. Daytime temperatures Saturday are expected to struggle, remaining in the teens and lower 20s with little improvement through the afternoon.
Strong Winds Increase Cold Stress
As Arctic high pressure builds into the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley and low pressure deepens offshore, a tight pressure gradient will develop across the Mid-Atlantic. This will lead to strong northwest winds across Delmarva, sustained between 20 and 30 mph with gusts up to 50 or even 60 mph, particularly in coastal areas.
As a result, High Wind Warnings have been issued region wide in combination with extremely dangerous wind chills. Valid from 8am to 9pm EST Saturday.
Extreme Cold Warnings in Effect
Saturday night will bring the coldest conditions of the event. Overnight lows will fall into the single digits, with wind chills dropping to -10 to -25 degrees across much of Delmarva.
Because of the severity of the cold, Extreme Cold Warnings have been issued. This is part of a newer warning system introduced in October 2024, replacing the former Wind Chill Warning which is the first time ever issued throughout the Delmarva region. Even Wind Chill Warnings has never been issued for our region dating back prior to 2014. Under updated criteria, warning-level cold is now issued at lower thresholds to better reflect the health risks posed by extreme cold exposure.
Cold weather headlines are expected to continue into Sunday morning. Despite some sunshine Sunday afternoon, temperatures will remain bitterly cold, with highs only reaching the single digits to teens.
Safety Precautions Urged
Residents across Delmarva are urged to take precautions:
Limit outdoor exposure and dress in multiple layers if going outside.
Cover exposed skin to prevent frostbite.
Secure loose outdoor items due to strong winds.
Check on elderly neighbors and ensure pets have adequate shelter.
Use heating sources safely and never run generators or grills indoors.
While snowfall will be limited, this Arctic outbreak will bring dangerous cold and wind to the Delmarva Peninsula, making preparation and caution essential through the weekend.
A massive and rapidly growing sunspot region on the Sun, designated Active Region 4366, has become one of the most energetic solar flare producers in recent years, unleashing a torrent of powerful bursts that have grabbed the attention of space weather scientists around the world.
Over the past several days, the Sun has emitted dozens of solar flares from AR 4366, including numerous M-class flares and several X-class eruptions, the strongest category of solar flare. Among these was an X8-class flare detected on February 1–2, one of the most powerful recorded so far in 2026 and the most intense event this year to date.
Solar flares occur when magnetic energy built up in the Sun’s atmosphere is suddenly released. X-class flares produce intense radiation and can interfere with Earth’s ionosphere, leading to temporary radio blackouts, degraded high-frequency communications, and navigation signal disruptions. The X8 event and subsequent strong blasts have already caused R3-level radio blackouts in parts of the South Atlantic region.
In addition to the X8-class flare, researchers have recorded other powerful eruptions, including a recent X4.2 flare from the same active region. In the past 24 hours alone, NOAA scientists observed dozens of flares from AR 4366, including at least 26 events ranging from moderate M-class to X-class strengths.
The sheer number and intensity of flares from this sunspot has led forecasters to describe AR 4366 as a “solar flare factory.” As it rotates further into a position more directly facing Earth, space weather agencies warn that any future coronal mass ejections (CMEs)which are huge clouds of charged particles launched from the Sun, would be more likely to intersect Earth’s magnetic field. Even glancing blows from CMEs can spark enhanced auroras, possibly visible at lower latitudes than usual later this week.
Scientists continue to monitor AR 4366 closely. Its increasing size and magnetic complexity make it capable of further strong eruptions, and forecasters expect more activity as the Sun remains near the peak of its current 11-year cycle. Solar flares and related space weather effects, from radio transmission disruptions to vivid auroral displays, may persist as long as the region remains active.
The latest U.S. Drought Monitor update shows that the ongoing drought across the Mid-Atlantic remains a significant concern this winter, with dryness and drought conditions expanding and lingering across much of the region.
According to the most recent data from the U.S. Drought Monitor, released weekly by the National Drought Mitigation Center, USDA, and NOAA, areas of moderate drought (D1) and severe drought (D2) have grown in parts of the Mid-Atlantic, particularly across central Maryland and large portions of central Virginia. Moderate drought has also extended into southern Delaware and along portions of the Maryland and Virginia coasts. Meanwhile, abnormally dry conditions (D0) stretch across extensive portions of the region, indicating ongoing moisture deficits even where formal drought classifications are lighter.
Meteorologists and drought specialists note that this persistence of dryness is linked to persistent precipitation deficits in recent months, including well-below-normal rainfall and limited snow accumulation. These conditions have contributed to low soil moisture, suppressed streamflow levels, and challenges for water resources in watersheds throughout the Mid-Atlantic.
Although some pockets of the Northeast have seen isolated improvements due to recent precipitation, overall dryness remains widespread in the Mid-Atlantic. Without sustained rainfall or significant snowpack melt, these drought conditions could continue into the spring, potentially affecting agriculture, water supply, wildfire risk, and ecosystem health.
…HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING… …EXTREME COLD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING…
* WHAT…For the High Wind Watch, northwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph possible. For the Extreme Cold Watch, dangerously cold wind chills as low as 15 below possible.
* WHERE…Portions of central, northern, and southern Delaware, northeast Maryland, and southern New Jersey.
* WHEN…For the High Wind Watch, from Saturday morning through Saturday evening. For the Extreme Cold Watch, from Saturday afternoon through Sunday morning.
* IMPACTS…Damaging winds could blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are possible. Travel could be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. The cold wind chills as low as 15 below zero could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS… Monitor the latest forecasts and warnings for updates. Dress in layers including a hat, face mask, and gloves if you must go outside.
A surge of Arctic air will bring some of the coldest and windiest conditions of the winter so far to the region this weekend, creating dangerous wind chills and potentially hazardous travel and outdoor conditions.
An Arctic front is set to move through late Friday into Saturday, followed by strong high pressure building east across the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. As this high pressure system strengthens, it will clash with low pressure offshore, tightening the pressure gradient and driving strong northwest winds across the area.
Saturday will begin with temperatures near their daily highs early in the morning, but conditions will deteriorate quickly. By late morning, temperatures are expected to plunge into the teens as cold air rapidly pours in behind the front. Northwest winds will increase to 20 to 30 mph, with gusts reaching 40 to 50 mph. Wind Advisories are likely as these gusts could cause isolated power issues and make travel difficult, especially for high-profile vehicles.
Wind chills on Saturday will be especially dangerous. Much of the region will experience wind chills in the single digits, with values dropping as low as 10 below zero north and west of the Fall Line. The southern Poconos could see wind chills near 20 below zero during the day.
Conditions will remain harsh Saturday night as temperatures fall into the single digits, with some locations dropping below zero. Lows could reach around 5 below zero in the southern Poconos and far northwest New Jersey. While winds will decrease slightly overnight, sustained speeds of 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph will continue to drive dangerously low wind chills. By early Sunday morning, wind chills of 10 to 20 below zero are expected across much of southern New Jersey, the Delaware Valley, and Delmarva. Farther north, wind chills may fall to 20 to 25 below zero in the Lehigh Valley and northern New Jersey, with values approaching 30 below zero in the southern Poconos.
Arctic air will remain locked in place on Sunday, with daytime highs only reaching the teens to lower 20s. Winds will gradually ease through the day, but wind chills will still hover in the single digits, keeping conditions bitterly cold.
Temperatures are expected to slowly moderate as the new work week begins, but residents are urged to prepare now for the weekend cold. Limiting time outdoors, dressing in layers, protecting pets, and checking on vulnerable individuals will be critical as the region faces this prolonged blast of Arctic air.
Residents across the Delmarva Peninsula should prepare for a quick change in weather late Friday night into Saturday morning as an Arctic front sweeps through the region, bringing snow showers, gusty winds, and the potential for brief but intense snow squalls.
A fast-moving clipper system will approach the area Friday, though recent forecast trends suggest the system will arrive a bit later than previously expected. Any snow associated with the clipper is not expected to reach western portions of Delmarva until Friday evening. This initial round of snow will be light, with little to no accumulation expected.
The more impactful weather arrives late Friday night as a strong Arctic front moves through the region after midnight and clears the area by Saturday morning. This front is tied to a deep upper-level trough and strong atmospheric energy, creating favorable conditions for widespread snow showers across Delmarva.
Some of these snow showers could briefly intensify into snow squalls, capable of producing heavy snowfall in a short period of time. Visibility could quickly drop to under one mile, while wind gusts may reach up to 40 mph. In areas impacted by stronger squalls, quick accumulations of up to or slightly over one inch of snow are possible.
These conditions may lead to slick and hazardous travel, especially on untreated roads and during the early morning hours Saturday. Drivers are urged to slow down, allow extra stopping distance, and be alert for sudden changes in visibility.
Behind the front, sharply colder air will settle into the region, reinforcing winter conditions heading into the weekend. Residents should stay weather-aware and be prepared for rapidly changing conditions late Friday night into Saturday morning.
A sharp arctic cold front is expected to move across the Delmarva Peninsula late Friday into early Saturday, bringing a brief period of snow followed by very strong winds and sharply colder air. Not to mention dangerous winds chills.
The system is tied to a fast-moving clipper tracking across southern Canada. Ahead of it, a warm front will lift through the region during the day Friday. This will be followed by a much stronger cold front Friday night into Saturday morning, accompanied by strong energy in the upper atmosphere.
We are monitoring the potential for two separate rounds of snow.
The first round is expected during the day Friday as light precipitation develops ahead of the warm front. Snow amounts with this initial round should be minor, with most locations across Delaware, eastern Maryland, and the Lower Eastern Shore seeing a quick coating up to around a half inch.
The second round will arrive with the arctic cold front late Friday night into early Saturday morning. This is when conditions could become more hazardous. Brief but intense snow showers or snow squalls are possible as the front moves through. While confidence in exact placement and intensity is still limited, the atmospheric setup supports the potential for quick bursts of snow, rapidly reduced visibility, and sudden wind gusts. Confidence in snow squall development will increase over the next one to two days as higher-resolution models come into range.
Once the cold front clears the region around daybreak Saturday, conditions will turn sharply colder and much windier. Northwest winds are expected to strengthen quickly, with gusts of 40 to 50 mph possible across much of Delmarva. Strongest winds are likely Saturday afternoon and evening, particularly in open areas and near the coast, before gradually easing overnight.
We are getting concerned of again widespread below zero wind chills during the day on Saturday and into the overnight hours. Model guidance continues to drive in wind chills down in the rand of -5F to even -15F across the northern tier. Creating frost bite conditions throughout the region
A powerful arctic blast is expected to move into the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic this weekend, bringing dangerously cold temperatures and life-threatening wind chills, according to the latest outlook issued Tuesday afternoon. The coldest conditions are forecast from Friday through Monday, with impacts extending into Delmarva.
Forecasters indicate a significant arctic outbreak will surge southward late this week, ushering in some of the coldest air of the winter season. Bitterly cold temperatures combined with strong winds will result in hazardous wind chills across much of the region. While the most extreme cold will be focused across the Interior Northeast and New England, Delmarva will still experience sharply colder conditions and dangerous cold stress, especially during the overnight and early morning hours.
Wind chills across parts of the Northeast are expected to plunge well below zero, with some locations potentially seeing values in the minus 30s. Daytime temperatures in the hardest-hit areas may struggle to climb out of the teens and single digits. While Delmarva is not expected to see wind chills quite that extreme, cold air spilling southward will still bring unusually low temperatures for early February.
In addition to the cold, gusty winds are expected to accompany the arctic air mass. These winds will intensify the cold and could lead to isolated tree damage and scattered power outages, particularly in elevated and more exposed areas. Brief periods of intense snowfall are also possible with the arrival of the cold air, including the potential for snow squalls on Friday and Saturday. These fast-moving bursts of snow could quickly reduce visibility and create hazardous travel conditions, even if overall snow accumulation remains limited.
Officials are urging residents to take cold weather safety precautions seriously. Prolonged exposure to extreme cold and wind chills can lead to frostbite and hypothermia in a short period of time. Limiting time outdoors, wearing layered clothing, and covering exposed skin will be critical. Travelers are encouraged to carry cold weather survival kits, while pet owners should ensure animals have adequate protection from the cold.
Residents should also take steps to protect homes and infrastructure. Frozen pipes are a significant concern during extended cold spells, and precautions should be taken to prevent damage. Caution is advised around frozen bodies of water, as ice thickness may be unreliable.
A gradual warming trend is expected to begin by early to mid next week, but forecasters stress that the period from Friday through Monday will pose the greatest risk from extreme cold. Continued updates are expected as the arctic air mass moves closer to the region.
Delmarva has a couple chances for light snow this week, with the first arriving tonight and the second coming late in the week. While neither system looks particularly strong, there are a few details worth watching, especially for parts of central Delmarva.
The first round of snow moves in late Tuesday night and continues into early Wednesday morning. High pressure along the Southeast coast will slide offshore tonight, allowing a weak weather system to move into the Mid-Atlantic. This system does not have a lot of moisture to work with, which will keep snowfall totals limited for most areas.
For much of Delmarva, snow amounts are expected to range from just a coating to around an inch by Wednesday morning. Snow should end around or shortly after daybreak, leading to minimal impacts for the Wednesday commute.
That said, there is a small wildcard with this system. Some high-resolution model guidance suggests that if the two pieces of energy involved with this storm come together a bit more efficiently, a narrow band of heavier snow could develop. If that happens, parts of central Delmarva could see higher totals, with localized amounts approaching three inches. Confidence in this scenario remains low, but it is something we will be keeping a close eye on overnight.
Looking ahead to Friday, another chance for snow arrives as a fast-moving clipper system passes to our north. An Arctic front will sweep through the region, bringing the potential for a brief burst of snow or even a few snow squalls. It is still too early to lock in exact timing or amounts, but any snow on Friday would likely be light and short-lived.
Overall, impacts this week appear limited, but changing conditions overnight tonight and again on Friday could briefly affect travel. Stay tuned for updates as we refine the forecast and track any potential changes.
Groundhog Day delivered a familiar message this morning as Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow, pointing toward six more weeks of winter according to tradition. While the annual forecast is rooted in folklore, the outlook for Delmarva suggests that winter conditions are far from finished.
The region is already locked into a colder-than-normal pattern, and indications are that chilly conditions will persist through much of February. Arctic air masses continue to funnel into the eastern United States, keeping temperatures suppressed across the Mid-Atlantic and reinforcing a winter-like feel across Delmarva.
For the remainder of the month, daytime highs are expected to frequently remain in the 20s and low 30s, with overnight lows dipping well below freezing. Periodic intrusions of even colder air could bring stretches of single-digit temperatures and dangerous wind chills, particularly during overnight and early morning hours. While not every day will be harsh, the overall pattern favors sustained cold rather than a quick transition toward spring.
In addition to the cold, the persistent winter pattern will keep the door open for occasional light snow events. While widespread or significant snowfall is not currently expected, weak systems moving through the cold air could produce brief periods of snow or flurries at times, especially during nighttime hours. Any accumulation is expected to be minor, but even light snow could create slick travel conditions given the cold ground temperatures.
The prolonged cold will also place continued strain on heating systems and increase the risk of frozen pipes, particularly during the coldest stretches. Residents are encouraged to remain winter-prepared, limit prolonged exposure to the cold, and take precautions to protect pets, plants, and vulnerable neighbors.
Although Groundhog Day marks the symbolic midpoint of winter, February across Delmarva is shaping up to remain firmly in winter mode. A more noticeable moderation in temperatures may not arrive until later in the season, keeping winter weather concerns in focus for the weeks ahead.
Residents across Delmarva should be aware of a couple of opportunities for light snow as we move through the week, with the first chance arriving Tuesday night into early Wednesday, followed by another potential round on Friday.
High pressure will remain in control along the Southeast coast through Tuesday before sliding offshore by Tuesday night. As this occurs, a broad upper-level trough will dig into the southern Plains and Gulf Coast states, while a closed mid-level low tracks across Ontario and Quebec. At the same time, a weak surface low moving out of the Midwest will approach the Mid-Atlantic late Tuesday.
Although this system will be moisture starved and relatively weak, strong upper-level energy combined with sufficiently cold air will allow an area of light snow to develop across the region Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning. Most areas south of Interstate 78, including much of Delmarva, could see a coating to around one inch of snow. Localized totals slightly above an inch are possible, particularly across northern Delaware and portions of southern New Jersey. Areas north of Interstate 78 may see a few flurries, but little to no accumulation is expected.
Any snow from this system should taper off by Wednesday morning, with minimal impacts anticipated overall.
Looking ahead to Friday, another chance for snow may develop as a fast-moving clipper system approaches ahead of an Arctic front. While it is too early to determine exact impacts, this system could bring a brief period of light snow and possibly snow squalls to parts of the region late Friday or Friday night.
Forecast confidence and details will continue to be refined as these systems draw closer.
Another surge of arctic air is expected to move into Delmarva and the Mid-Atlantic during the second week of February, bringing a renewed threat of dangerously cold temperatures and harsh wind chills across the region. The latest outlook for February 7 through February 13 indicates a high likelihood of much below normal temperatures, particularly early in the period.
The coldest conditions are currently expected around February 7 and 8, when Delmarva and much of the Mid-Atlantic fall within a high-risk zone for much below normal temperatures. Overnight lows could plunge well into the single digits, with some inland and rural locations potentially dropping below zero. Strong winds accompanying the arctic air mass may lead to subzero wind chills, creating hazardous conditions for anyone outdoors.
While the most intense cold is expected early in the period, moderate risks for much below normal temperatures are forecast to persist across the Mid-Atlantic through at least February 10. This suggests a prolonged stretch of below-freezing temperatures, with daytime highs struggling to reach the 20s and low 30s across much of the region. A broader signal for colder-than-normal conditions remains in place through February 13, indicating limited relief as the week progresses.
The extended duration of cold increases the potential for cold-related impacts across Delmarva. Frozen and burst pipes, increased energy demand, and continued risks to vulnerable populations are all concerns as temperatures remain well below seasonal averages. Agricultural interests and pet owners should also prepare for the prolonged exposure to extreme cold.
Cold weather safety measures remain critical, including limiting time outdoors during the coldest periods, wearing layered clothing, and ensuring pets and livestock have proper shelter. Additional updates and refinements to the forecast are expected as the event draws closer.
We are closely monitoring an unusual atmospheric event developing high above the Arctic that could significantly influence weather across the United States in February and beyond. A sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) a rapid rise in temperature and pressure in the upper atmosphere is now forecast to take place in early to mid-February and trigger a collapse of the polar vortex, a large circulation of cold air normally centered over the North Pole.
What is a Stratospheric Warming Event?
Sudden stratospheric warming occurs when atmospheric waves push energy from lower levels up into the stratosphere, abruptly raising temperatures tens of kilometers above the surface and distorting the polar vortex. Under normal winter conditions the vortex helps keep the cold Arctic air bottled up in the far north. But when it is disrupted, weakened, or splits into multiple pieces, it can no longer contain that cold air, allowing it to spill southward into lower latitudes. These events are relatively rare but known to have large impacts on seasonal weather patterns.
What the Forecast Shows
Latest model guidance indicates a prolonged weakening and eventual collapse of the stratospheric polar vortex in early February, driven by a strong warming signal at the 10 mb level of the stratosphere. This collapse could split the vortex into separate lobes and shift the circulation, creating a high-pressure ridge near Greenland and low pressure extending from the eastern United States into the Atlantic. Such a pattern encourages cold, northerly flow into the central and eastern U.S. in the weeks after the stratospheric event.
We emphasize that there is a delay between the peak of the stratospheric warming and the surface weather impacts, typically ranging from 10 to 30 days. But once that coupling occurs, the result often includes a pattern favorable for colder than normal temperatures across large portions of North America.
Potential Impacts for the United States
Colder and more volatile late-winter weather is a possible outcome of this event. If the vortex collapses and the circulation becomes displaced, Arctic air may intrude far southward, increasing the likelihood of cold snaps, deeper snowstorms, and more frequent high-impact winter events. A disrupted vortex also tends to produce “blocking” patterns in the atmosphere, which can allow cold air masses to remain over regions longer than usual.
In previous winters, similar sudden stratospheric warming events have been associated with episodes of severe cold and heavy snowfall across the United States when the displaced polar air interacts with moisture and storm systems at lower levels of the atmosphere. We caution that while not every SSW leads to extreme weather at the surface, the conditions forming this February are unusual for this time of season and deserve attention.
What Comes Next
We will continue to refine the expected timing and magnitude of this event as February approaches. Because the atmospheric coupling process is complex, surface weather impacts such as specific temperature anomalies and storm tracks remain uncertain at this range. However, the emerging pattern underscores the possibility of a colder and more active late winter period across much of the United States should the stratospheric warming and vortex collapse fully materialize.
A rapidly intensifying coastal storm is expected to develop off the East Coast this weekend, bringing a combination of snow, strong winds, and coastal flooding concerns to parts of the Delmarva Peninsula. While the storm is forecast to track far enough offshore to limit widespread impacts inland, coastal and southern portions of Delmarva remain at risk for more significant winter weather impacts.
Snowfall Forecast
Snowfall amounts across Delmarva will feature a very sharp gradient, with accumulations increasing quickly from north to south and from inland areas toward the coast.
Northern and central Delaware, along with much of interior Maryland’s Eastern Shore, are expected to see little accumulation, generally less than 1 inch. This includes areas such as Dover, Easton, and much of inland Kent and Queen Anne’s counties.
Across central Delmarva, including Cambridge and Georgetown, snowfall totals are forecast to range from a coating up to around 1 inch, with 1 to 3 inches possible near Salisbury.
The highest snowfall totals are expected along the coast and across southern Delmarva. Ocean City could see 2 to 5 inches of snow, while farther south, Pocomoke City is forecast to receive 3 to 6 inches. The most significant accumulations are expected across Chincoteague, Exmore, and Cape Charles, where 4 to 8 inches of snow remain possible.
We stress that even small shifts in the storm’s track could result in noticeable changes to snowfall totals, especially along the northern edge of the heavier snow band.
Timing and Impacts
Snow is expected to develop Saturday night, with the highest confidence for accumulation occurring overnight into Sunday morning. Snow should gradually taper off from west to east by late Sunday morning.
Strong winds will become an increasing concern early Sunday morning through Sunday evening, coinciding with the period of rapid storm intensification offshore. Gusts along the Delmarva coastline could approach or exceed 55mph, especially in exposed coastal locations.
The combination of snow and strong winds could lead to blowing and drifting snow, particularly in southern Delaware and along the coast. These conditions may reduce visibility and create hazardous travel, even where snowfall totals are not extreme.
Coastal Flooding Concerns
At least minor tidal flooding is possible during the high tide cycle on Sunday, with some impacts potentially lingering into Monday. While wind direction is expected to limit more severe flooding, higher astronomical tides associated with the full moon, combined with increasing offshore swells, may exacerbate water level rises.
Additional complications include existing ice on bays and waterways, which could influence how water levels respond during high tide.
Forecast Confidence
Confidence is increasing that Delmarva will experience impacts from this winter storm, though confidence in exact snowfall placement remains below average. The storm is expected to remain offshore, but a shift of as little as 50 miles could significantly change snowfall totals across the peninsula.
Residents across Delmarva, especially in coastal and southern communities, are urged to monitor the forecast closely as additional updates and potential advisories may be issued over the next 24 hours.
The National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is preparing to roll out an important update to how severe weather threats are communicated, with changes expected to take effect in March. The update centers on a concept known as Conditional Intensity, which aims to provide clearer insight into how intense severe weather could become if it occurs.
Currently, SPC outlooks focus on the probability that severe weather will occur within a given area. These probabilities describe the likelihood of hazards such as tornadoes, large hail, or damaging winds occurring within 25 miles of a location during the forecast period. While this approach has been effective for identifying areas at risk, it does not explicitly communicate how strong those hazards may be.
The upcoming changes seek to address that gap.
What Is Conditional Intensity?
Conditional intensity describes the expected severity of a weather hazard, assuming that hazard actually occurs. In other words, it answers the question not just of whether severe weather is possible, but how strong it could be if storms develop.
For example, instead of only indicating that tornadoes are possible in an area, conditional intensity information can highlight whether the most likely tornado intensity would be weak or potentially strong. The same applies to hail size and wind speed, offering more detail on the potential impacts of severe storms.
This information has been tested for several years through experimental forecasting programs and research efforts within NOAA. Based on those results, SPC is now moving toward limited operational use.
What Will Change in March?
Beginning in March, SPC plans to add Most Probable Peak Intensity information to certain forecast products, starting with Mesoscale Discussions. These discussions are issued when conditions are becoming favorable for severe weather and often precede watches and warnings.
The new intensity information will provide estimates of the most likely maximum hail size, wind gusts, or tornado strength associated with developing storms. This will give emergency managers, broadcasters, and the public a clearer picture of potential impacts during rapidly evolving severe weather situations.
At this stage, the update will not replace existing outlook categories or probabilities. Instead, it will complement them by adding another layer of context to help users better understand risk.
Why This Matters
Severe weather risk is often misunderstood when forecasts focus solely on probabilities. A lower probability event can still produce significant impacts if the storms that form are intense. Conditional intensity information helps bridge that gap by highlighting potential worst-case outcomes when storms do occur.
This added detail is expected to improve decision making for emergency response, school and business planning, and public preparedness. It also aligns with broader efforts across meteorology to better communicate risk and uncertainty, especially during high-impact weather events.
Looking Ahead
The March rollout marks the first step toward integrating conditional intensity information into operational severe weather forecasting. SPC and its research partners will continue evaluating how this information is used and how it may expand into additional forecast products in the future.
As severe weather season approaches, forecasters emphasize that the public should continue to rely on official watches, warnings, and outlooks, while becoming familiar with this new information as it becomes available.
…COLD WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST FRIDAY… …EXTREME COLD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING…
WHAT…For the Cold Weather Advisory, very cold wind chills as low as 0 expected. For the Extreme Cold Watch, dangerously cold wind chills as low as 5 to 10 below possible.
WHERE…Dorchester, Inland Worcester, Maryland Beaches, Somerset, and Wicomico Counties.
WHEN…For the Cold Weather Advisory, from 7 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Friday. For the Extreme Cold Watch, from late Saturday night through Sunday morning.
IMPACTS…Frostbite and hypothermia will occur if unprotected skin is exposed to these temperatures. An extended period of freezing temperatures could cause ruptured water pipes.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS… Dress in layers including a hat, face mask, and gloves if you must go outside. Make frequent checks on older family, friends, and neighbors. Ensure portable heaters are used correctly. Do not use generators or grills inside. Monitor the latest forecasts and warnings for updates.
…COLD WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST FRIDAY…
* WHAT…Very cold wind chills as low as 10 below.
* WHERE…Portions of central, northern, and southern Delaware, northeast Maryland, central, northern, northwest, and southern New Jersey, and southeast Pennsylvania.
* WHEN…Until 11 AM EST Friday.
* IMPACTS…The cold wind chills as low as 10 below zero could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. Frostbite and hypothermia will occur if unprotected skin is exposed to these temperatures.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…
Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a hat, and gloves.
Keep pets indoors as much as possible.
Make frequent checks on older family, friends, and neighbors. Ensure portable heaters are used correctly. Do not use generators or grills inside.
A rapidly intensifying coastal storm is expected to develop off the East Coast this weekend, and while confidence in exact impacts remains limited, portions of the Delmarva Peninsula could see effects ranging from snowfall and strong winds to coastal flooding.
Forecast guidance continues to show cyclogenesis beginning Saturday off the southeastern United States coast. As low pressure rapidly deepens, the system is expected to track north and east Saturday night into Sunday. This development is being driven by a potent upper-level disturbance rotating around the base of a longwave trough over the eastern United States, interacting with a sharp temperature contrast along the coast.
For Delmarva, impacts will depend heavily on the exact track of the storm, which remains uncertain. Current guidance places much of the region on the northwest fringe of the precipitation shield. Small shifts in the storm’s path could make the difference between limited impacts and a more impactful winter weather event, particularly for southern and coastal Delaware.
Among the latest forecast models, solutions remain mixed. Some guidance continues to suggest light snowfall for parts of Delaware, while others are more suppressed and keep meaningful precipitation offshore. At this time, forecast confidence supports the possibility of light to moderate snow accumulations in southern Delaware, with lesser amounts farther north. Additional snow could fall beyond early Sunday depending on how quickly the system departs.
Snowfall probabilities remain highest closer to the coast. Current probabilistic guidance shows a 60 to 70 percent chance for more than 2 inches of snow near coastal areas, decreasing to 25 to 35 percent near the I-95 corridor. The probability of 6 inches or more remains lower, but remains notable near the coast where probabilities range from 35 to 50 percent.
Regardless of snowfall totals, confidence is increasing that strong winds will affect the region Saturday night into Sunday. Northerly to northeasterly winds are expected to increase inland to 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. Along the coast, winds could reach 25 to 35 mph with gusts approaching 50 mph. If the storm tracks closer to the coast, winds could be stronger than currently forecast.
Given the combination of strong winds and falling or blowing snow, there is a conditional risk for blizzard conditions in portions of southern Delmarva, especially near coastal areas. While confidence is not yet high enough for blizzard headlines, blizzard warnings could become necessary if the storm track shifts closer and snowfall rates increase alongside the strongest winds.
Strong onshore winds will also increase the risk for coastal flooding, particularly during times of high tide. This threat is further heightened by the presence of a full moon, which will result in astronomical high tides. If strong northeasterly winds persist during peak tidal cycles, water levels could rise more quickly and lead to minor to locally moderate coastal flooding in vulnerable coastal communities.
Temperatures throughout the event will be well below freezing, strongly favoring all snow across Delmarva should precipitation occur. Any snowfall that does develop would accumulate efficiently on untreated roads and elevated surfaces.
The storm is expected to pull rapidly away to the northeast by Sunday evening, allowing quieter but cold conditions to return for the start of the new week.
Overall, this remains a challenging forecast. While many model solutions currently suggest a near miss for Delmarva, even a subtle shift in the storm track could bring more substantial impacts. Residents are encouraged to stay informed, review winter weather safety plans, and monitor future forecasts as confidence improves over the coming days.
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations between 3 and
5 inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 45 to 55 mph.
* WHERE...In Maryland, Inland Worcester, Maryland Beaches, and
Somerset Counties. In Virginia, Accomack County.
* WHEN...From Saturday morning through Sunday afternoon.
* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Strong winds could
cause tree damage.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.
We are closely monitoring a rapidly strengthening coastal storm expected to develop off the East Coast this weekend. While confidence in the exact track and impacts remains low, the system has the potential to bring moderate to significant winter weather impacts to parts of the region, including snow, strong winds, and coastal flooding.
Forecast guidance continues to show low pressure rapidly developing off the southeastern U.S. coast on Saturday before intensifying and moving north and east Saturday night into Sunday. This storm will strengthen as a powerful upper level disturbance rotates around the base of a large-scale trough over the eastern United States and interacts with a strong temperature contrast along the coastline. This setup is favorable for rapid intensification, which could lead to high-impact weather depending on the storm’s eventual track.
One of the reasons forecast confidence remains limited is ongoing difficulty within some weather models in accurately handling the storm’s development. Several models are struggling with an issue known as convective feedback. This occurs when the model generates unrealistic high vertical velocities that are too strong or widespread, which in turn creates artificial areas of low pressure that should not exist. These false low pressure centers can disrupt the overall storm structure, leading to errors in the placement of the main low and causing the precipitation shield to appear displaced or unrealistic compared to what may actually occur.
As a result, small but important details such as where the heaviest snow sets up and how far inland precipitation reaches remain uncertain. This has contributed to notable spread among model solutions, particularly regarding how close the storm tracks to the coast.
If the storm tracks closer to shore, impacts could begin as early as late Saturday, with the most significant conditions occurring Saturday night into Sunday morning. With very cold air firmly in place at both the surface and aloft, any precipitation that reaches the region would almost certainly fall as snow.
Probabilistic snowfall data suggests a moderate risk for accumulating snow. The likelihood of at least 2 inches of snow is around 50 percent near the coast and roughly 40 percent along the I-95 corridor, with lower probabilities farther inland. The chance of 6 inches or more increases closer to the coast, reaching around 40 percent, while remaining near 30 percent around the urban corridor. These probabilities remain subject to change as confidence improves.
Regardless of snowfall totals, increasing winds appear likely. Northerly to northeasterly winds are expected to strengthen Saturday night into Sunday, with gusts of 25 to 35 mph inland and up to 50 mph along the coast. A closer track could result in even stronger winds, raising the risk for power outages, minor structural damage, and hazardous marine conditions. The strong wind field may also contribute to coastal flooding as water is pushed toward the shoreline.
By Sunday evening, the storm is expected to rapidly pull away to the northeast, with quieter but cold conditions settling in for early next week.
This storm remains one to watch closely over the coming days. Forecast details should become clearer as additional data is sampled and models better resolve the system. Residents are encouraged to stay informed and prepared for potential winter weather impacts this weekend.
...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THURSDAY...
* WHAT...Very cold wind chills as low as 8 below.
* WHERE...Portions of central, northern, and southern Delaware, northeast Maryland, central and southern New Jersey, and southeast Pennsylvania.
* WHEN...Until 10 AM EST Thursday.
* IMPACTS...The cold wind chills as low as 10 below zero could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. Frostbite and hypothermia will occur if unprotected skin is exposed to these temperatures.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a hat, and gloves.
Keep pets indoors as much as possible.
Make frequent checks on older family, friends, and neighbors. Ensure portable heaters are used correctly. Do not use generators or grills inside.
A major milestone in space weather monitoring was reached this week as NOAA’s Space Weather Follow On-Lagrange 1 (SWFO-L1) observatory successfully executed its final engine burn and entered its intended orbit at the Sun-Earth Lagrange point 1, roughly one million miles from Earth. At this unique vantage point, the satellite will be able to continuously observe the sun and space weather conditions before they reach our planet.
With its arrival at this critical location on January 23, the observatory has officially been renamed Space weather Observations at L1 to Advance Readiness – 1 (SOLAR-1). This marks a significant step forward in operational space weather forecasting for NOAA.
Greg Marlow, Director of NOAA’s Office of Space Weather Observations, highlighted the importance of the mission, saying, “SOLAR-1, America’s first satellite designed exclusively for continuous, operational space weather observations, represents a major advancement in our defense against solar storms.”
SOLAR-1 will provide state-of-the-art data to forecasters and other users, improving the timeliness and accuracy of space weather forecasts, warnings and alerts. Richard Ullman, Deputy Director of NOAA’s Office of Space Weather Observations, emphasized that the data will help protect critical missions and infrastructure, including support for NASA’s Artemis lunar exploration program.
“This spacecraft is going to be an impressive new tool… because space weather is a global concern,” said Shawn Dahl, Service Coordinator at NOAA’s Space Weather Prediction Center. Dahl noted that space weather events can have wide-ranging impacts, from affecting critical systems on Earth to space-based infrastructure.
SOLAR-1 will undergo additional checkout and instrument validation before beginning operational service in Spring 2026. Once fully commissioned, the observatory is expected to deliver continuous real-time observations of the solar wind and other space weather phenomena that can disrupt communications, navigation systems and power infrastructure here on Earth.
The satellite was launched on September 24, 2025, aboard a SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket from NASA’s Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the start of its journey to its final orbit.
We are closely monitoring the potential for a coastal storm to develop near the Mid-Atlantic next weekend. While confidence remains low regarding exact impacts, there is growing concern that the storm could track close enough to bring at least some impacts to portions of the region.
Latest forecast guidance, including both deterministic and ensemble models, continues to signal the development of a system off the Mid-Atlantic coast. Recent model trends suggest a scenario in which the storm tracks close to the coastline, potentially scraping coastal areas. Under this setup, locations along the immediate coast and across Delmarva would be most vulnerable, while areas farther inland such as the Poconos and nearby higher elevations could see little to no impact.
Current probabilistic snowfall guidance highlights this coastal focus. The latest National Blend of Models indicates a 20 to 25 percent chance of more than 4 inches of snow across northern and western zones. Probabilities increase to around 40 percent along the I-95 corridor and climb to near 50 percent along the immediate coast. These probabilities remain subject to change as the storm track becomes better defined in the coming days.
If the storm does impact the region, timing would favor a late Saturday arrival, with effects potentially lingering through Sunday. In addition to snowfall, strong winds may accompany the system. Even if the storm’s center remains offshore, coastal areas could still experience gusty conditions capable of producing hazardous travel and marine impacts.
One factor that is not in question is the presence of a cold airmass. Temperatures are expected to remain well below normal through next weekend and into early next week. This cold setup would be more than sufficient to support snow at the onset of the storm, should it materialize.
At this time, the forecast remains highly uncertain, and residents are encouraged to stay informed as newer data becomes available. Small changes in storm track could result in large differences in impacts, especially across coastal and near-coastal areas. Updates will continue as confidence increases over the next several days.
A prolonged and dangerous stretch of arctic cold is firmly in place across much of the eastern United States and is expected to continue into early February, according to the latest outlook from the Weather Prediction Center and Climate Prediction Center.
The cold air mass has already delivered record and near-record low temperatures across large portions of the South and Midwest in the wake of a recent winter storm. Overnight lows have plunged into the single digits and below zero in many areas, creating life-threatening conditions, especially for those still dealing with power outages or inadequate heating.
Wind chills are compounding the danger. In parts of the Ohio Valley, wind chills are forecast to drop into the minus 20s, posing a serious risk of frostbite and hypothermia even with limited exposure. Officials urge residents to limit time outdoors, dress in multiple layers, and ensure pets and livestock have adequate shelter from the cold. Frozen pipes also remain a major concern as temperatures stay well below freezing for extended periods.
The accompanying temperature outlook map shows that areas north of the highlighted pink line are expected to remain continuously below freezing through at least February 1. This includes much of the Midwest, Great Lakes, Northeast, and interior Mid-Atlantic, where daytime highs may struggle to rise above the teens and 20s.
Relief will be limited, as another surge of arctic air is expected to move southward late this week. Forecast guidance indicates a renewed blast of bitter cold spreading from the Plains into the East and Southeast Friday into Saturday. This surge could bring additional record low temperatures, potentially reaching as far south as Florida, and may mark the coldest conditions seen in several years for some locations.
Forecasters also warn that this could become one of the longest-lasting cold stretches in decades for parts of the eastern half of the country. Much below normal temperatures are expected to persist into the middle of next week before a gradual moderation begins.
With the extended duration of the cold, residents are encouraged to take ongoing precautions. This includes checking on vulnerable neighbors, using space heaters safely, keeping a slow drip on indoor plumbing, and having emergency supplies readily available.
Governor Matthew Meyer has officially ended the State of Emergency that was declared in response to the recent winter storm, effective 3 p.m. on Monday, January 26, 2026. The order, which was first issued Friday, January 23 and took effect in the early hours of Sunday, January 25, also releases the Delaware National Guard from active storm response duties.
Although the formal emergency declaration has concluded, Level 1 driving warnings remain in effect for New Castle and Kent Counties, meaning drivers are strongly advised to avoid travel unless it is necessary for health, safety, or critical business reasons. All motorists should continue to exercise extreme caution on roadways.
State and local crews are continuing cleanup operations, particularly on secondary roads where hazardous conditions may persist as ice melts and temperatures remain below freezing. The National Weather Service has issued a cold weather advisory that is expected to remain in place through Wednesday, January 28, as sub-freezing temperatures continue across the region.
In announcing the end of the state of emergency, Governor Meyer thanked residents for their cooperation during the storm.
“I am grateful that Delaware residents helped weather this winter storm by being prepared, staying informed and by remaining at home, allowing emergency crews to clear the roads and respond to calls for assistance,” Meyer said. He urged continued caution, especially while road conditions improve and winter weather impacts linger.
Residents who have not already done so are encouraged to sign up for emergency alerts through the Delaware Emergency Notification System (DENS) and visit PrepareDE.org for guidance on winter weather readiness.
The Delaware Emergency Management Agency (DEMA) continues leading coordination efforts for storm response and community safety. DEMA works with state and local partners to support preparedness, response, and recovery efforts during weather-related and other emergencies.
An extended period of dangerously cold weather is expected this week, with overnight low temperatures dropping into the single digits and wind chills falling below zero for several nights. These conditions increase the risk of frozen pipes, hypothermia, and other cold related hazards across the region.
Residents are urged to take precautions now, as the prolonged nature of the cold makes this event particularly concerning. When temperatures remain below freezing for extended periods, water inside pipes can freeze, expand, and cause pipes to crack or burst, leading to significant water damage.
To reduce the risk of frozen pipes, homeowners should allow faucets to drip slightly, especially those connected to exterior walls. Opening cabinet doors beneath sinks can help warmer air circulate around plumbing. Pipes in unheated areas such as basements, crawl spaces, garages, and exterior walls should be insulated if possible. If leaving home, indoor temperatures should be kept no lower than 55 degrees.
Knowing where your main water shutoff valve is located can help limit damage if a pipe bursts. If a frozen pipe is suspected, keep the faucet open and apply gentle heat using a hair dryer or warm towels. Open flames should never be used to thaw pipes.
The extreme cold also poses a serious threat to personal safety. With wind chills expected to remain below zero at times throughout the week, the risk of hypothermia increases significantly. Hypothermia occurs when the body loses heat faster than it can produce it, causing body temperature to drop to dangerous levels.
Symptoms of hypothermia include intense shivering, confusion, slurred speech, drowsiness, and loss of coordination. Anyone experiencing these symptoms should seek medical attention immediately. Limiting time outdoors, wearing multiple layers, and covering exposed skin are critical during this cold stretch. Hats, gloves, scarves, and insulated footwear can greatly reduce heat loss.
Space heaters should be used with caution. Keep them at least three feet away from flammable materials and never leave them unattended. Carbon monoxide and smoke detectors should be checked to ensure they are working properly, especially when using supplemental heat sources.
Pet safety is also a concern during this cold outbreak. Pets should be brought indoors whenever possible. Outdoor animals must have adequate shelter, unfrozen water, and extra food to maintain body heat.
With bitter cold expected to persist all week, preparation and awareness are essential. Taking steps now can help prevent costly damage to homes and reduce the risk of serious cold related illnesses.
Residents are encouraged to continue monitoring forecasts and any cold weather advisories or warnings that may be issued as conditions evolve.
...Kent County... Dover 6.5 in 0910 AM 01/25 Public Dover Air Force Base 6.5 in 1155 AM 01/25 AWOS Woodside 6.3 in 0300 PM 01/25 Trained Spotter Smyrna 6.0 in 0938 AM 01/25 Trained Spotter Camden 6.0 in 1138 AM 01/25 Trained Spotter Magnolia 5.6 in 0100 PM 01/25 Trained Spotter Dover 5.5 in 1100 AM 01/25 Public Harrington 2 ENE 5.5 in 0830 AM 01/26 COCORAHS
...New Castle County... Bear 10.0 in 1100 PM 01/25 Public 1 ENE Wilmington 9.0 in 0800 PM 01/25 Public Newark 1.5 S 9.0 in 0730 AM 01/26 COCORAHS 1 NE Holiday Hills 8.7 in 0900 PM 01/25 Trained Spotter Pike Creek 8.5 in 1000 PM 01/25 Trained Spotter New Castle County Airport 8.3 in 1200 AM 01/26 ASOS Twin Oaks 8.1 in 0800 PM 01/25 Trained Spotter 1 E Talleyville 8.0 in 0315 PM 01/25 Public New Castle 8.0 in 0646 PM 01/25 Public Hockessin 7.8 in 1015 PM 01/25 Trained Spotter Newark 7.5 in 0600 PM 01/25 Trained Spotter Hockessin 6.5 in 1020 AM 01/25 Public Wilmington 6.5 in 1120 AM 01/25 Trained Spotter Odessa 6.5 in 1230 PM 01/25 Trained Spotter 1 SW Middletown 6.0 in 1030 AM 01/25 Public
...Sussex County... 3 ESE Bridgeville 4.5 in 0800 AM 01/26 COCORAHS Milton 4.0 in 0800 AM 01/25 Broadcast Media Selbyville 4.0 in 0839 AM 01/25 Trained Spotter Seaford 4.0 in 0700 AM 01/26 COCORAHS Ellendale 3.4 ENE 3.7 in 0700 AM 01/26 COCORAHS Dagsboro 6.3 E 3.7 in 0715 AM 01/26 COCORAHS Milton 3.5 in 1130 AM 01/25 Public Milton 3.0 E 3.0 in 0700 AM 01/26 COCORAHS Lewes 3.9 SW 3.0 in 0942 AM 01/26 COCORAHS Dagsboro 7.1 ENE 2.9 in 0700 AM 01/26 COCORAHS Delmar 4.3 E 2.0 in 0700 AM 01/26 COCORAHS Delmar 0.1 WSW 2.0 in 0731 AM 01/26 COCORAHS Georgetown 1.5 in 0615 AM 01/25 Amateur Radio 1 WNW Seaford 1.5 in 0615 AM 01/25 Amateur Radio Millsboro 1.3 W 1.5 in 0700 AM 01/26 COCORAHS
...Maryland...
...Kent County... Rock Hall 8.5 in 0400 PM 01/25 Trained Spotter Chestertown 7.5 in 0820 PM 01/25 Trained Spotter
...Queen Annes County... Ingleside 6.5 in 1030 AM 01/25 Trained Spotter Barclay 5.5 in 0820 AM 01/25 Broadcast Media Centreville 5.5 in 0912 AM 01/25 Emergency Mngr Sudlersville 5.0 in 0851 AM 01/25 Emergency Mngr Queenstown 2.6 S 4.0 in 0800 AM 01/26 COCORAHS Church Hill 3.5 in 0810 AM 01/25 Emergency Mngr Grasonville 3.0 in 0720 AM 01/25 Emergency Mngr
A Cold Weather Advisory is now in effect for all of Delmarva as an arctic air mass settles across the region, bringing dangerously cold wind chills through Wednesday morning.
The advisory is in effect from 7 p.m. this evening through 10 a.m. Wednesday, with the coldest conditions expected overnight and during the early morning hours. Wind chills across Delmarva are forecast to fall between 0 and 10 degrees below zero, creating hazardous conditions for anyone exposed to the cold for extended periods.
These bitterly cold wind chills can quickly lead to hypothermia or frostbite if proper precautions are not taken. Even brief exposure without adequate protection can become dangerous, especially during the overnight hours when temperatures and wind chills reach their lowest values.
Residents are urged to limit time outdoors, dress in multiple layers, and wear a hat and gloves when outside. Extra care should be taken for vulnerable populations, including children, the elderly, and pets. Outdoor pets should be brought indoors, and livestock should have access to adequate shelter and water that is not frozen.
Those who do not have reliable heat in their homes or lack proper shelter are encouraged to seek assistance. Dial 211 to find warming centers or emergency shelter options available in your area.
Looking ahead, additional cold weather headlines are likely. Forecast confidence continues to increase that the Cold Weather Advisory may be extended and could be upgraded to an Extreme Cold Warning for Wednesday night and possibly Thursday night. Wind chills below zero are expected to continue during nighttime hours into the weekend, keeping dangerous cold conditions in place across Delmarva.
Residents should continue to monitor the forecast closely and prepare now for an extended stretch of dangerous cold.
The State of Delaware has issued a Level 1 Driving Warning for all counties beginning at 12:01 a.m. on Sunday, aligning with the ongoing State of Emergency activated in response to the approaching winter storm. The warning will remain in effect until further notice and may be escalated if conditions deteriorate.
Governor Matthew Meyer and state officials say the warning is intended to protect residents and emergency personnel by minimizing nonessential travel while hazardous conditions develop across the region.
What the Level 1 Driving Warning Means
Under this advisory:
Drivers must exercise extra caution if they choose to operate a vehicle.
Motorists are strongly encouraged to stay off the roads unless travel is necessary for safety, health, or essential business reasons.
The warning reflects the dangerous conditions expected from the winter storm, which includes accumulating snow, ice, and slick road surfaces. This advisory is designed to help keep roads clear for plow operators, first responders, and other essential travel during the worst of the storm.
Safety Resources and Assistance
Delawareans in need of help during the storm are urged to call 211 for critical resources, including:
Shelter options
Food assistance
Transportation support for essential medical needs
Shelters Open Across the State
State officials also confirmed that Code Purple shelters are open 24 hours statewide in response to the severe winter weather. These shelters provide a warm, safe refuge for vulnerable residents, including meals and additional support services.
Contacts for shelter services include:
New Castle County: 302-652-8033
Kent County: 1-800-733-6816
Sussex County: 302-519-0024
Why Travel Restrictions Matter
Winter weather systems like this one pose a significant risk for motorists, especially when snow and ice accumulate on untreated road surfaces. Roads can become dangerously slippery, leading to increased crashes and response delays. By reducing nonessential travel, officials aim to:
Reduce crashes and roadside emergencies
Allow crews to clear and treat roads more efficiently
Keep emergency responders available for those who truly need help
State transportation crews and plow operators are already working to pre-treat major routes, but officials remind drivers that conditions can change rapidly and secondary roads may remain hazardous for longer.
Stay Updated
Residents should continue to monitor official state updates for the latest advisories and safety guidance as the storm progresses. Following weather alerts from the National Weather Service and alerts from state agencies will help keep communities safe throughout the event.
A dangerous winter storm is barreling toward the Delmarva Peninsula, prompting the National Weather Service to issue a Winter Storm Warning from 7 PM tonight through 1 PM Monday.
The storm is expected to bring 7 to 13 inches of heavy snow and sleet, along with up to three-tenths of an inch of ice accumulation across central and northern Delaware, northeast Maryland, and portions of New Jersey and Pennsylvania.
“Travel could be nearly impossible,” warns the National Weather Service. Ice buildup on power lines and tree limbs may cause widespread power outages and tree damage throughout the region.
Locally, New Castle and Kent counties in Delaware, along with Queen Anne’s, Talbot, and Caroline counties on Maryland’s Eastern Shore, are all under the warning. The hazardous conditions are expected to severely impact Monday morning’s commute.
Officials strongly advise residents to avoid unnecessary travel. If you must drive, keep emergency supplies including a flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle. For the latest road conditions, dial 511.
The Winter Storm Warning remains in effect until 1 PM Monday. TV Delmarva will continue monitoring conditions and providing updates throughout the storm.
The State of Delaware has declared a State of Emergency as a powerful winter storm approaches the region, mobilizing state and local agencies to prepare for potentially hazardous conditions. In response, the Delaware Emergency Management Agency (DEMA) has activated the Emergency Operations Center (EOC) to coordinate preparations and response efforts across the state.
Governor Matt Meyer emphasized the importance of readiness as this system moves in, saying that Delawareans should feel secure and well supported as severe winter weather conditions develop.
What the Declaration Means
A State of Emergency gives state leaders the authority to streamline decision-making and resource deployment, improve coordination with local governments and emergency responders, and position personnel and equipment strategically ahead of the storm. The EOC activation brings key agencies together to share data, track impacts in real time, and ensure rapid communication on public safety actions.
Expected Weather and Conditions
Forecasters are tracking a strong winter system expected to bring heavy snow, a wintry mix, and significant icing across much of Delaware. Snow totals could reach near a foot in some areas, with the exact amounts depending on storm track and temperature changes. After the storm’s passage, temperatures are projected to plunge into the teens and low 20s, increasing the risk of slick conditions and prolonged cold.
This system is part of a larger winter storm affecting the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast, with similar emergency declarations and warnings issued in neighboring states as snow and ice threaten travel and infrastructure.
Preparedness Actions Urged for Residents
Officials are urging Delaware residents to take proactive steps now to prepare for potential disruptions:
Stock up on essential supplies like non-perishable food, water, prescription medicines, and pet needs.
Prepare your home for extended cold by checking heating systems, weatherproofing doors and windows, and ensuring fuel supplies are adequate.
Assemble emergency kits for vehicles and households with flashlights, batteries, blankets, first-aid kits, and a battery-powered weather radio.
Avoid nonessential travel when conditions worsen. If travel is necessary, leave extra time, go slowly, and carry emergency gear in your vehicle.
DEMA also reminds residents to dress appropriately outdoors in layers and take measures to prevent cold-related health issues like hypothermia and frostbite.
What to Watch For
Officials warn that travel could become dangerous or impossible at times during the storm, particularly on Sunday and into early next week. Power outages and hazardous road conditions are possible, especially where heavier snow and ice accumulate.
State and local partners will continue monitoring conditions, issuing updates through emergency alerts, social media, and official channels. Residents should stay tuned to local forecasts and guidance from DEMA, the National Weather Service, and transportation authorities.
..WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO 1 PM EST MONDAY...
* WHAT...Heavy snow and mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations between 8 and 12 inches and ice accumulations around three tenths of an inch.
* WHERE...Portions of central and northern Delaware, northeast Maryland, southern New Jersey, and southeast Pennsylvania.
* WHEN...From 7 PM Saturday to 1 PM EST Monday.
* IMPACTS...Significant ice accumulation on power lines and tree limbs may cause widespread and long-lasting power outages. Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning commute.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO 7 AM EST
MONDAY...
* WHAT...Heavy snow with mixed precipitation expected. Total snow
accumulations between 6 and 10 inches and ice accumulations around
one tenth of an inch. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.
* WHERE...Portions of southern Delaware and southern New Jersey.
* WHEN...From 7 PM Saturday to 7 AM EST Monday.
* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions
could impact the Monday morning commute.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for
the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.
A Cold Weather Advisory is in effect tonight across the Delmarva Peninsula as a dangerous surge of arctic air settles into the region. Mostly clear skies combined with strong winds will allow temperatures to fall rapidly after sunset, creating life-threatening cold conditions overnight into early Saturday morning.
Overnight lows are expected to range between 6 and 12 degrees, but north winds of 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph will dramatically increase the cold impact. As a result, wind chill values are expected to fall below zero across much of Delmarva, with several locations dropping into the -5 to -10 degree range by the pre-dawn hours.
The coldest wind chills are expected across interior sections of the peninsula, while coastal areas will still experience bitter conditions despite some marine influence. These wind chills can cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes, especially with prolonged exposure.
Residents are urged to limit time outdoors, dress in multiple layers including hats and gloves, and ensure pets are brought indoors. Exposed pipes should be protected, and those relying on supplemental heating should use it safely. Power outages are not expected to be widespread, but strong gusts could lead to isolated issues.
Conditions will slowly improve after sunrise Saturday, though temperatures will remain well below normal, and cold weather precautions will remain necessary throughout the day.
Stay weather aware and prepared for hazardous cold conditions across the Delmarva region tonight.
A complex and potentially high-impact winter storm is expected to affect the Mid-Atlantic this weekend, bringing a combination of snow, sleet, and freezing rain from Saturday into Monday. While confidence is increasing that much of the region will be impacted, significant uncertainty remains regarding exact precipitation types and totals due to a difficult forecast setup involving strong warm air advection overriding very cold surface temperatures.
This setup raises the risk for not only accumulating snow, but also dangerous icing, particularly across parts of Maryland, Delaware, New Jersey, and the Delmarva Peninsula.
Snowfall Forecast Overview
The heaviest snowfall is expected across northern and western portions of the region, where colder air is more firmly established.
Across northern Maryland, including areas such as Frederick, Westminster, Bel Air, Baltimore, and Wilmington, snowfall totals of 8 to 12 inches are possible by the time the storm concludes.
Farther south and east, including Washington, Annapolis, Easton, Dover, and much of central Maryland and Delaware, snow totals are expected to range between 5 and 10 inches. Snowfall amounts begin to decrease closer to the coast as warmer air aloft works into the region.
Along the immediate coast and across portions of southern Delmarva, including Salisbury, Ocean City, and Pocomoke City, snowfall totals are forecast to range from 4 to 8 inches, with lower amounts of 3 to 6 inches possible for coastal Virginia locations such as Chincoteague, Exmore, and Cape Charles.
Significant Ice Threat Also Expected
In addition to snow, portions of the Mid-Atlantic face a serious icing risk due to periods of freezing rain and sleet.
Areas shaded in darker purple on the ice forecast indicate significant icing, where ice accretion of one quarter inch or greater is possible, along with 1 to 3 inches of sleet. This includes parts of central Maryland, the western shore of the Chesapeake Bay, and portions of interior Delaware.
Surrounding areas shown in lighter pink could still see impactful icing, with less than one quarter inch of ice accumulation and 1 to 2 inches of sleet possible. Even lighter ice amounts can cause hazardous travel, downed tree limbs, and isolated power outages.
Why This Forecast Is So Difficult
This storm is particularly challenging to forecast due to strong warm air advection aloft, which allows warmer air to surge over top of a shallow layer of arctic air locked in at the surface. This creates a narrow and highly sensitive transition zone between snow, sleet, and freezing rain.
Small changes in temperature, storm track, or precipitation intensity could lead to sharp gradients in impacts over short distances. As a result, precipitation types and totals may vary significantly from one location to another, even within the same county.
Travel and Infrastructure Impacts
The combination of heavy snow and ice could lead to dangerous travel conditions throughout the weekend. Roads may quickly become snow covered or ice glazed, especially during periods of freezing rain. Ice accumulation also increases the risk of downed trees and power lines, which could result in scattered power outages.
Residents should be prepared for rapidly changing conditions and possible travel disruptions.
How to Prepare
Residents across the Mid-Atlantic are urged to take preparation steps now, ahead of the storm:
Avoid unnecessary travel during the height of the storm.
Keep an emergency kit ready with flashlights, batteries, food, water, and medications.
Charge electronic devices ahead of time in case of power outages.
Check on elderly neighbors and those with limited mobility.
If you must travel, keep a winter survival kit in your vehicle including blankets, food, and a fully charged phone.
Monitor the latest forecasts and updates, as adjustments to snow and ice totals are likely.
Bottom Line
This weekend’s winter storm has the potential to bring heavy snow, significant icing, and hazardous travel conditions across much of the Mid-Atlantic. While confidence is high that the region will be impacted, the exact nature of those impacts remains uncertain due to the complex interaction between warm air aloft and very cold surface temperatures.
Residents are encouraged to stay weather aware and prepared as the forecast continues to evolve over the coming days.
…COLD WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT TO 10 AM EST SATURDAY…
* WHAT…Very cold wind chills as low as 8 below expected.
* WHERE…Portions of central, northern, and southern Delaware, northeast Maryland, central, northern, and southern New Jersey, and southeast Pennsylvania.
* WHEN…From midnight Friday Night to 10 AM EST Saturday.
* IMPACTS…The cold wind chills as low as 8 below zero could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. Frostbite and hypothermia will occur if unprotected skin is exposed to these temperatures. Wind chill values can lead to hypothermia with prolonged exposure.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…
Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a hat, and gloves.
A significant winter storm is expected to impact the Mid-Atlantic this weekend, beginning late Saturday and continuing through Monday. The storm is forecast to bring a wide range of winter weather impacts across the region, including heavy snowfall, mixed precipitation, and areas of freezing rain, particularly across Delmarva and southern portions of Maryland and New Jersey.
Snowfall Outlook
The heaviest snowfall is expected across northern and western portions of the region. Much of northern Maryland, including areas such as Frederick, Westminster, Baltimore, Bel Air, and Gaithersburg, along with northern Delaware and southern New Jersey, could see widespread snowfall totals of 12 to 18 inches. Wilmington, Vineland, and surrounding communities also fall within this higher-impact zone.
Snow totals decrease moving south and east toward the Chesapeake Bay and coastal plain. Central Maryland locations such as Annapolis and Chestertown are forecast to receive 8 to 14 inches of snow. Areas farther south, including Easton, Cambridge, La Plata, and Lexington Park, are currently forecast to receive 6 to 12 inches.
Across southern Delmarva and the lower Eastern Shore, snowfall amounts are expected to be lower due to warmer air and a greater risk of mixing. Salisbury is forecast to receive 5 to 10 inches, while Ocean City, Pocomoke City, Chincoteague, Exmore, and Cape Charles are expected to see between 3 and 6 inches of snow.
Ice and Mixed Precipitation Concerns
In addition to snowfall, icing is a major concern for parts of the region. A corridor of significant icing is possible across southern and central Delmarva, including areas such as Georgetown, Salisbury, Ocean City, Pocomoke City, Chincoteague, and Cape Charles. These areas could experience up to a quarter inch of freezing rain, along with the potential for sleet accumulations exceeding one half inch. This could lead to hazardous travel conditions and the potential for power outages.
Farther north, including parts of northern Maryland, northern Delaware, and southern New Jersey, lighter icing is possible. These areas may see up to a tenth of an inch of freezing rain, along with periods of sleet, mainly during transitions between snow and rain.
Impacts and Timing
Travel conditions are expected to deteriorate rapidly late Saturday night as precipitation overspreads the region. The most significant impacts are likely to occur Sunday into early Monday, when snowfall rates may become heavy at times and icing issues increase across southern areas. The combination of heavy snow, ice accumulation, and gusty winds could lead to dangerous road conditions and scattered power outages.
Weather First will continue to monitor this evolving storm closely. While confidence is increasing in a high-impact winter weather event, exact snow and ice totals may still shift depending on the storm track and temperature profile.
Residents are urged to prepare now, review travel plans, and stay tuned for forecast updates as the weekend approaches.
A dangerous surge of Arctic air is expected to spread across the Mid-Atlantic region late this week and persist into early February, bringing some of the coldest conditions of the winter season so far. Forecast confidence continues to increase that this will be a prolonged and impactful cold stretch rather than a brief cold snap.
An Arctic front is forecast to move through the region this weekend, allowing frigid air to pour southward into Maryland, Delaware, Virginia, and surrounding areas. Temperatures are expected to fall sharply behind the front, with daytime highs struggling well below normal and overnight lows dropping into the teens and single digits in many locations. Some inland and higher elevation areas may fall even colder.
Strong winds accompanying the Arctic air will significantly worsen conditions by driving wind chills into dangerous territory. Wind chill values are expected to drop below zero at times across parts of the Mid-Atlantic, especially overnight and during the early morning hours. These conditions can lead to frostbite on exposed skin in a short amount of time and increase the risk of hypothermia for anyone spending extended periods outdoors.
The cold is expected to linger well beyond the weekend. Forecast trends indicate much below normal temperatures continuing through the end of January and into early February, with a heightened risk of hazardous cold conditions returning in waves. This suggests limited opportunities for meaningful warmups during this period.
The prolonged nature of the cold raises concerns for frozen pipes, increased energy demand, and stress on infrastructure. Any power outages that occur during this time could quickly become dangerous due to the sustained cold. Pets, livestock, and outdoor plumbing will need protection as temperatures remain well below seasonal averages.
Residents across the Mid-Atlantic should prepare now for an extended stretch of winter cold. Cold weather safety precautions are strongly encouraged, including limiting time outdoors, dressing in layers, protecting exposed skin, and ensuring adequate heating is available.
Additional updates will be provided as the timing and severity of the cold become more refined.
Confidence continues to grow that a significant winter storm will impact much of the Mid Atlantic, including the Delmarva Peninsula, beginning Saturday night and potentially lasting into Monday. While there is still uncertainty regarding the exact track and where the heaviest snowfall sets up, the overall signal for a high impact event continues to strengthen.
A developing area of low pressure is expected to organize near the Texas Gulf Coast on Saturday. This system will be fueled by several pieces of upper level energy diving south into the base of a persistent long wave trough dominating much of the continental United States. As these upper level disturbances interact and begin to phase Saturday night into Sunday, surface low pressure is expected to deepen while tracking east through the southeastern states and then turning north and east toward the Virginia coastline by late Sunday.
Forecast guidance has continued to trend northward with the track of the low, largely due to improved phasing of the upper level energy. While this trend increases confidence that the storm will affect the region, it also introduces uncertainty regarding snowfall totals and precipitation type, particularly for southern and coastal locations.
At this time, confidence is high that much of the region will see moderate to heavy snowfall. Probabilities for six inches or more of snow have increased significantly, ranging from around 60 percent in the southern Poconos to as high as 80 to 90 percent near and south of the I 95 urban corridor. Many areas also have the potential to receive over one inch of liquid equivalent precipitation, which supports the potential for impactful snow totals.
Snow is expected to break out across the region late Saturday night into Sunday morning. Temperatures will be cold enough at the onset for all snow, with overnight lows dropping into the single digits across northern areas and into the teens to near 20 degrees across Delmarva. These cold temperatures should initially support efficient snow accumulation.
Snow is likely to continue through the day Sunday and may fall heavy at times, especially as northeast winds increase, particularly along the coast. Late Sunday into Sunday night, there is the potential for some mixing across southern portions of the region, including Delmarva and parts of southern New Jersey, and possibly as far north as the Philadelphia area if the low tracks close enough to the coast. Given the strength of the arctic high pressure to the north and the entrenched cold air mass, plain rain appears less likely. Any mixing would more likely involve sleet or freezing rain rather than a full changeover to rain.
If mixing does occur, a return to all snow is expected later Sunday night into early Monday as colder air reasserts itself and the system begins to pull away. Precipitation should gradually taper off across the region during the day Monday.
While confidence has increased that this will be a significant winter storm, uncertainty remains regarding where the heaviest snowfall ultimately falls. Just 24 hours ago, the primary concern was whether the storm would pass far enough south to largely miss the area. Now, the focus has shifted to whether the track becomes far enough north to introduce mixing for southern and coastal locations.
As is often the case with large winter storms, the corridor of heaviest snowfall is typically narrow, sometimes only 100 miles wide. Areas southeast of this axis may experience more mixing or lower snow totals, while areas northwest may see lighter precipitation. Because of this, it will likely take another one to two forecast cycles to better resolve where any potential blockbuster snowfall sets up within the region.
Residents across Delmarva and the surrounding Mid Atlantic should closely monitor forecast updates over the coming days, as even small shifts in the storm track could have a significant impact on snowfall totals and overall impacts.
Forecast confidence is increasing that a potentially impactful winter storm could affect the Delmarva region late Saturday through Sunday, though important details regarding track and snowfall amounts remain uncertain at this time.
Weather patterns aloft are becoming increasingly active as we head toward the weekend, with interactions expected between northern and southern jet stream systems. The energy driving this setup is currently located over the Arctic and the Pacific Ocean, meaning it will take several more days for forecasts to fully resolve how this system evolves. Even so, most forecast guidance now consistently shows an area of low pressure developing near Texas on Friday before moving east along the Gulf Coast into Saturday.
As the system approaches the East Coast, guidance generally favors the low tracking northeast toward the North Carolina coast before moving offshore late Sunday into early Monday. This type of track would place Delmarva on the colder, northern side of the storm, increasing the potential for winter weather impacts across the region. A key question remains how close the storm tracks to the coastline, as even small shifts could have a major influence on snowfall totals.
A strong arctic high pressure system will be positioned to the north, supplying cold air into the Mid Atlantic. Earlier forecast guidance suggested this high might suppress the storm farther south, limiting impacts locally. However, trends over the past 12 to 24 hours show the storm track edging farther north, increasing the likelihood that precipitation spreads into Delmarva.
Snow probabilities have responded accordingly. Current guidance now indicates a 75 to 95 percent chance of at least 2 inches of snow and a 70 to 85 percent chance of 6 inches or more for areas along and south of the Interstate 95 corridor, with probabilities decreasing farther north.
Even more impressive with NBM blends of >12 inches of snow are between 50-60% as of this morning. These numbers are notably higher than those from previous forecast cycles and point toward a growing signal for a meaningful winter weather event.
If this storm materializes, snowfall could begin late Saturday and continue through Sunday, with the potential for lingering impacts into Monday depending on how quickly the system moves away. While confidence in exact snowfall totals remains low, the overall signal for a winter storm affecting at least part of Delmarva is stronger than typically seen at this lead time.
It is important to note that East Coast winter storms often produce narrow bands of heavy snow, sometimes only 50 to 100 miles wide. With the storm’s key ingredients still thousands of miles away, it is far too early to determine which specific locations will see the highest accumulations. Residents across Delmarva should continue to monitor forecast updates closely over the coming days as details become clearer.
Confidence continues to increase in the development of a significant winter storm that is expected to impact a large portion of the central and eastern United States beginning Friday and continuing through the weekend. This system has the potential to produce a wide swath of heavy snow and dangerous ice, leading to hazardous travel and possible infrastructure impacts.
Current forecast trends indicate this storm will track from the Great Plains toward the East Coast, strengthening as it moves east. Areas north of the storm track are expected to see periods of heavy snow, while locations along and just south of the track face a heightened risk for freezing rain and sleet.
Heavy snow is likely across portions of the central Plains, Ohio Valley, and into parts of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. Snowfall rates could become intense at times, resulting in rapidly deteriorating road conditions, reduced visibility, and significant travel disruptions. Snow-covered roads and difficult driving conditions are expected where the heaviest bands develop.
South of the snow zone, dangerous ice accumulation is becoming increasingly likely. A wintry mix of freezing rain and sleet may create treacherous conditions, especially on untreated surfaces. Ice accretion raises concerns for downed trees and power outages, particularly in areas that experience prolonged freezing rain.
There is a growing signal for at least moderate winter storm impacts from Friday through Sunday. These impacts include hazardous travel, disruptions to daily routines, and possible damage to infrastructure. The combination of snow, ice, and cold temperatures could make conditions especially dangerous during peak travel periods.
While confidence in a high-impact winter storm is increasing, some uncertainty remains regarding the exact track and timing. Small shifts in the storm’s path could significantly change where the heaviest snow and ice set up. Forecast details will continue to be refined as the system approaches.
Residents across the affected regions should begin preparing now for potentially dangerous winter weather conditions this weekend. Additional updates will be issued as confidence continues to improve and impacts become clearer.
A prolonged stretch of colder than normal temperatures is becoming increasingly likely across much of the eastern United States as we move deeper into late January. The latest temperature outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center show a strong and persistent signal for below average temperatures developing during both the 6–10 day and 8–14 day forecast periods.
The 6–10 day outlook highlights a broad area of colder than normal conditions expanding from the Midwest into the Ohio Valley, Mid-Atlantic, and Northeast. The highest confidence for below normal temperatures is centered over the Great Lakes and interior Northeast, where probabilities strongly favor temperatures well below seasonal averages. This colder air mass is expected to gradually spread eastward and southward as the pattern evolves.
By the 8–14 day timeframe, the cold signal strengthens and becomes more entrenched across the eastern half of the country. Much of the Mid-Atlantic, Southeast, and Northeast show a high likelihood of sustained below normal temperatures, indicating that this will not be a brief cold snap. Instead, forecast guidance suggests repeated intrusions of Arctic air reinforcing the cold pattern well into early February.
Meteorologically, this setup is driven by a strong ridge of high pressure over the western United States and a deep trough anchored across the eastern U.S. This configuration allows cold air from Canada to repeatedly spill southward, keeping temperatures suppressed for an extended period. While the western U.S. remains warmer than average under the ridge, the eastern states remain locked in a colder regime.
For residents across the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast, this pattern could bring multiple days of daytime highs running well below normal, along with colder overnight lows. The persistence of the cold also raises the potential for increased energy demand, frozen pipes, and heightened vulnerability for those without adequate heating. Any storm systems that develop during this period would also need to be closely monitored, as the presence of cold air could support winter weather threats.
Forecast confidence is increasing that this cold stretch will be one of the more significant and long-lasting cold periods of the season for the eastern United States. Residents are encouraged to prepare for prolonged winter conditions and stay updated as forecasts are refined in the coming days.
A strong solar flare, classified as an X1.9 event, erupted from the Sun on January 18, 2026, peaking around 18:09 UTC, according to the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center. This flare originated from Active Region 3431, a magnetically complex sunspot group currently facing Earth.
Space weather forecasters are tracking a G4 (Severe) geomagnetic storm affecting Earth’s magnetic environment tonight, raising the possibility of rare auroral displays visible across mid-Atlantic skies, including the Delmarva region.
What Is a G4 Magnetic Storm?
A geomagnetic storm occurs when charged particles from the Sun, often launched by a solar flare or coronal mass ejection (CME), slam into Earth’s magnetosphere and disturb its magnetic field. The intensity of these storms is measured on the NOAA Space Weather Scale from G1 (minor) to G5 (extreme). A G4 storm represents severe levels of geomagnetic activity, indicating strong magnetic fluctuations and a heightened potential for vivid auroras at unusually low latitudes.
During a G4 event:
Particles from the Sun funnel into the upper atmosphere near the poles and excite atoms like oxygen and nitrogen, creating luminous curtains of light known as the aurora borealis.
The auroral zone expands, sometimes far south of its normal range, allowing observers in mid-latitude regions (including the Mid-Atlantic) to see lights typically confined to far northern skies.
Geomagnetic storms at this level can also affect radio communications, GPS accuracy, and in rare cases electric power systems, though modern grids are usually resilient.
Aurora Potential Tonight for Delmarva
Forecasters monitoring the aurora forecast models say the current geomagnetic activity could push the auroral oval southward toward the mid-Atlantic. Under G4 conditions, auroras have in the past been reported as far south as the southeastern United States, with some displays reaching states like Florida and Alabama during strong storms.
For observers in Delaware and the broader Delmarva region, this means:
Timing: The best chances for sightings are typically after local sunset through the late evening and into the early morning hours. Auroras are most visible when the sky is fully dark.
Colors & Forms: If visible, the lights may appear as greenish glows or shimmering curtains, occasionally with hints of red or pink at the edges, depending on atmospheric conditions and storm strength.
Visibility Factors: Clear skies and low light pollution will improve viewing prospects. Urban lighting and cloud cover can wash out faint auroral activity.
This level of geomagnetic storming is rare for mid-latitude regions like the Mid-Atlantic, and any display would be an unusual and noteworthy event for skywatchers in the area.
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM EST
SUNDAY...
* WHAT...Wet snow expected. Total snow accumulations up to two
inches.
* WHERE...Dorchester, Inland Worcester, the Maryland Beaches,
Somerset, and Wicomico Counties.
* WHEN...From 10 AM to 10 PM EST Sunday.
* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The advisory may need to be expanded
southward with future updates if the snow forecast continues to
trend upward.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Slow down and use caution while traveling. Call 511 for road
information.
A prolonged stretch of below normal temperatures is expected to grip the Delmarva region beginning Sunday and lasting through the middle of next week, with the most dangerous cold arriving Monday night into Tuesday.
A deep upper level trough will settle over the eastern United States, allowing an arctic air mass to surge southward into the Mid Atlantic. At the surface, strong high pressure will dominate the region, keeping conditions dry but doing little to prevent temperatures from falling sharply.
Cold air will steadily build into the region starting Sunday, with daytime temperatures remaining well below average through at least Wednesday. The core of the arctic air mass is expected to be centered over Delmarva Monday night through Tuesday night, when the cold will be at its most intense.
During this time, overnight wind chill values are expected to fall into the single digits and potentially below zero, especially during the overnight and early morning hours. Current indications suggest Monday night will be the coldest period, with slightly less extreme conditions expected Tuesday night.
Daytime temperatures on Tuesday are also trending colder, with highs forecast to struggle into the upper teens to low 20s across much of Delmarva. These values are well below normal for mid January and could pose risks to anyone spending extended time outdoors.
Given the severity of the cold, cold weather advisories or warnings may be issued for one or both nights. Residents are encouraged to prepare now by limiting outdoor exposure, protecting pets, and ensuring vulnerable pipes and plumbing are properly insulated.
Temperatures are expected to gradually moderate later in the week as the upper level trough begins to lift, allowing readings to trend closer to seasonal averages by Thursday.
A developing storm system will bring a period of light snow early Saturday morning before transitioning to rain for many locations as the day goes on. The highest chances for accumulating snow will be found near and northwest of the Interstate 95 corridor, with the greatest totals expected farther north.
An upper level trough will be positioned over the eastern United States this weekend, allowing several smaller disturbances to move through the region. The first of these systems is expected to arrive during the pre dawn hours on Saturday. As it moves in, increasing lift in the atmosphere and a gradual influx of milder air aloft will help precipitation develop.
Forecast guidance now suggests the system will be slightly more organized than previously expected. As a result, rainfall totals have increased modestly. Areas near and northwest of I 95 are expected to receive between one tenth and two tenths of an inch of liquid precipitation through Saturday, while locations southeast of I 95 are likely to remain under one tenth of an inch.
Precipitation is expected to begin mainly as snow early Saturday before gradually changing to rain from southeast to northwest. Little to no snow accumulation is expected southeast of the I 95 corridor before the transition occurs. Near and just northwest of I 95, snowfall amounts should range from a light dusting up to one inch.
Farther north, including the Lehigh Valley, northwest New Jersey, and the southern Poconos, colder air will allow snow to persist longer. In these areas, snowfall totals are now forecast to reach one to two inches, with up to three inches possible at higher elevations in the southern Poconos where rain mixing may be limited.
Watching a Coastal System for Sunday
Attention then turns to a separate storm system expected to develop offshore late in the weekend. This coastal low is forecast to form near the Outer Banks and track northeastward on Sunday. At this time, the overall threat for a significant snowfall remains low.
Most forecast models continue to favor a track well offshore, which would limit impacts across the region. Under the current forecast, light snow is possible along the coast and areas south and east of I 95 on Sunday, while locations farther inland may see little or no accumulation.
There is still some uncertainty, as a small number of ensemble models suggest a closer track could occur. However, confidence in that scenario remains low. Probabilities for advisory level snowfall remain modest, generally around 20 to 25 percent at the immediate coast, decreasing farther inland.
Current snowfall forecasts call for around one half inch to one and a half inches along the coast and southern Delaware, with a coating to one inch possible up to the I 95 corridor. North and west of I 95, only a few flurries or trace amounts are expected.
Any precipitation associated with this system is expected to taper off Sunday night as the storm pulls farther offshore.
The Mid-Atlantic region continues to grapple with expanding dry conditions this winter, with drought intensifying across much of the area, according to the latest update from the United States Drought Monitor.
The U.S. Drought Monitor map released this week shows that moderate to severe drought conditions have grown across key parts of the Mid-Atlantic, including central Maryland and large portions of central Virginia. While some northern areas of Pennsylvania experienced wetter conditions, southern and eastern portions of the region have remained dry, allowing drought to deepen.
Abnormally dry conditions now extend through wide swaths of the Mid-Atlantic. The Monitor categorizes drought severity on a scale from D0 (abnormally dry) to D4 (exceptional drought), and recent assessments show that drought categories have climbed across the region as a result of ongoing precipitation deficits and above-normal temperatures.
Officials say the dry pattern is tied largely to below-average rainfall and snowfall over recent months. Water resources, including streamflow and groundwater levels, have been slow to recover, particularly in areas that saw little relief from fall and early winter precipitation. Some parts of the region have already enacted water restrictions for residents and agriculture due to low reservoir and river levels.
Forecasters with NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center warn that drought persistence is likely through the late winter and early spring, as the outlook shows no strong signal for widespread heavy precipitation in the Mid-Atlantic. Climatologists note that any recovery will be gradual, and areas with long-term moisture deficits may continue to see dry conditions linger well into the spring months.
The drought’s effects are being felt across industries and ecosystems. Farmers report increasingly dry fields that have challenged winter cover crops and pasture lands. Municipal water managers are monitoring reservoir levels and preparing for the possibility of expanded water use restrictions as the season progresses. Ecologists also warn that prolonged dry conditions could strain forests, wetlands, and aquatic habitats already stressed by low streamflows.
Residents across the Delmarva region will want to stay weather aware this weekend as multiple rounds of precipitation are possible, including the potential for snow. Forecast confidence remains moderate to low, but the overall pattern supports unsettled conditions from Saturday through Sunday night.
A broad area of low pressure aloft, known as a longwave trough, will settle over the eastern United States this weekend. Several smaller disturbances moving through this pattern will help generate periods of precipitation, beginning early Saturday and possibly continuing into Sunday night.
The first system is expected to move through Saturday morning and appears to be relatively weak. Precipitation may begin near or shortly after daybreak, when temperatures are at their coldest. Some locations could see a brief mix or light snow at the onset, especially inland areas, before temperatures rise through the morning. As daytime heating and weak warm air move in, most of Delmarva should transition to light rain. Any snow accumulation during this first round is expected to be minimal, with little more than a trace for most areas. Overall precipitation amounts should remain under a tenth of an inch.
Attention then turns to a second system that could develop offshore late Sunday into Sunday night. This system carries more uncertainty and higher potential impacts, depending largely on how close the surface low tracks to the coast. Recent forecast guidance has shown a slight shift toward a closer approach, which has increased the chance for precipitation across the region, especially near coastal areas.
With a cold front moving through Saturday night, colder air will be in place on Sunday. If the offshore low tracks close enough, much of the precipitation could fall as snow, particularly during the latter half of Sunday and into Sunday night. At this time, the probability of seeing measurable snow across coastal Delmarva is around 35 to 50 percent (of greater than 1″), with lower chances farther inland. The likelihood of higher snowfall amounts remains low, but it cannot be ruled out if the storm trends closer to the coast.
While confidence has increased slightly compared to earlier forecasts, there is still considerable uncertainty regarding the exact track and strength of this system. Residents across Delmarva should continue to monitor the forecast through the weekend, as small changes in storm position could significantly impact precipitation type and amounts.
More updates will be provided as forecast confidence improves.
