Stock Futures Drop as Middle East Tensions Drive Up Energy Costs

Stock market futures dropped Friday morning as continuing Middle East warfare raised concerns about rising inflation driven by higher energy prices, while investors prepared for an important employment report.

The military operations between the U.S.-Israel coalition and Iran have now lasted nearly a week with no resolution in sight. Energy prices have experienced their largest weekly increase since Russia began its invasion of Ukraine in 2022, as commercial shipping through the critical Strait of Hormuz came to a complete stop.

Qatar’s natural gas production sector reported that even with an immediate end to the Middle Eastern warfare, it would require “weeks to months” to restore normal delivery schedules, according to industry reports.

Rising oil costs pushed airline stocks lower during pre-market hours, with American and Delta both falling 1%. The passenger airline sector within the S&P 500 is heading toward a 9% weekly decline.

Market participants are paying close attention to the weekly employment data, particularly watching how corporate adoption of artificial intelligence might affect job numbers. The employment figures are scheduled for release at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time.

Robust economic indicators throughout the week, combined with surging crude oil prices, have caused market analysts to delay their projections for a 25-basis-point Federal Reserve interest rate reduction from July to October, based on LSEG data compilation.

Early Friday morning at 5:14 a.m. Eastern Time, Dow E-mini contracts dropped 130 points or 0.27%, while S&P 500 E-minis declined 23 points or 0.34%. Nasdaq 100 E-mini futures fell 102.5 points or 0.41%.

Semiconductor companies focused on artificial intelligence saw declines, with Nvidia and Advanced Micro Devices each dropping approximately 0.7%. Federal authorities are considering new export regulations for AI semiconductor technology, though no final decisions have been reached.

Even with the negative sentiment, American equities have outperformed both Asian and European markets this week, supported by a 1.5% recovery in technology shares following February’s declines. The technology-focused Nasdaq index is positioned for modest weekly increases.

Marvell Technology shares surged 12% after the semiconductor firm projected fiscal 2028 revenues exceeding analyst expectations.

Market confidence also received support from the perception that America faces less vulnerability to energy disruptions due to its status as an oil-exporting nation.

Energy sector stocks showed strength Friday, with Occidental Petroleum gaining 2% and NextDecade rising 2.3%. Natural gas exchange-traded funds posted increases of 2.2% and 1% respectively.

Gap Inc. shares tumbled 5.9% following the retailer’s warning about challenges and uncertainty from U.S. import duties, while projecting annual adjusted earnings mostly below analyst forecasts.

Oracle stock edged up 1% after reports emerged that the business software giant is planning significant workforce reductions as it confronts financial strain from extensive AI data center development investments.