The National Hurricane Center in Miami issued its third forecast advisory for Tropical Depression Two at 3:00 a.m. UTC on Monday, July 20, 2026, tracking the slow-moving storm over the Gulf of Mexico.
As of the advisory, the center of the depression was located near latitude 28.0 North, longitude 85.1 West. Forecasters say the position is accurate within about 30 nautical miles. The storm is drifting toward the north-northwest — roughly 335 degrees — at just 3 knots, making it an extremely slow-moving system.
Current maximum sustained winds stand at 25 knots, with gusts reaching up to 35 knots. The storm’s minimum central pressure is estimated at 1008 millibars.
Looking ahead, forecasters expect the depression to gradually strengthen. By Tuesday morning, July 21, winds could reach 35 knots with gusts up to 45 knots — potentially pushing the system to tropical storm status. By Wednesday, July 22, maximum winds are projected to climb to 45 knots with gusts near 55 knots.
The extended outlook through July 25 shows the storm tracking westward and eventually moving inland, with winds expected to drop back to around 30 knots as it pushes onshore.
Forecasters caution that track errors on day four average around 125 nautical miles and roughly 175 nautical miles on day five, with intensity estimates carrying an average error of about 15 knots per day. Mariners within 300 miles of the storm’s center are being asked to submit reports every three hours.
The next advisory was scheduled for 9:00 a.m. UTC Monday. The forecast was issued by Forecaster Blake.
