The National Hurricane Center in Miami issued its first wind speed probability bulletin for Tropical Depression Two on Sunday, July 19, 2026, at 3:00 p.m. Coordinated Universal Time.
At the time of the report, the center of the tropical depression was positioned near latitude 28.0 degrees North and longitude 85.3 degrees West, with maximum sustained winds of approximately 25 knots — about 30 miles per hour or 45 kilometers per hour.
The bulletin outlines the probability of locations along the Gulf Coast experiencing sustained wind speeds reaching at least 39 mph (tropical storm force), 58 mph, or 74 mph over the following five days.
According to the probability table, Apalachicola, Florida faces a 26 percent cumulative chance of experiencing tropical storm-force winds of at least 39 mph by the end of the five-day forecast period. Panama City, Florida carries a 31 percent cumulative probability for the same wind threshold.
Pensacola, Florida shows a 12 percent cumulative probability of reaching tropical storm-force winds, while Mobile, Alabama stands at 11 percent. Areas along the Louisiana coast, including New Orleans and Houma, each carry a 13 percent cumulative chance of tropical storm-force conditions.
Further west, Galveston, Texas has a 15 percent cumulative probability of sustained winds reaching at least 39 mph, with a 3 percent chance of winds hitting 58 mph or higher.
The report was prepared by forecaster Cangialosi at the National Hurricane Center. Residents across the Gulf Coast are encouraged to monitor future updates as the storm system continues to develop.
