The National Hurricane Center in Miami released its fifth wind speed probability bulletin for Tropical Depression Two at 11:00 a.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Monday, July 20, 2026.
At the time of the report, the center of the tropical depression was located near latitude 28.5 degrees North and longitude 85.6 degrees West, with maximum sustained winds of approximately 30 knots — equal to 35 miles per hour or 55 kilometers per hour.
The bulletin provided a five-day outlook showing the probability of sustained winds reaching tropical storm force (39 mph), 50-knot force (58 mph), and hurricane force (74 mph) at specific locations along the Gulf Coast.
Among the areas with the highest cumulative probabilities of experiencing at least tropical storm-force winds over the five-day period were locations near longitude 87.0 degrees West at latitude 29.0 degrees North, where the cumulative probability reached 66 percent. Panama City, Florida, showed a cumulative probability of 14 percent, while Apalachicola, Florida, carried an 8 percent cumulative chance.
Further west, New Orleans, Louisiana, carried an 8 percent cumulative probability, and Buras, Louisiana, showed a 14 percent cumulative chance. Locations in Texas, including Galveston, showed a 7 percent cumulative probability by the end of the five-day forecast window.
The probability table covered locations stretching from Apalachicola, Florida, westward through Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and into Texas, including cities such as Mobile, Gulfport, Pensacola, Baton Rouge, Lake Charles, Cameron, Port Arthur, and Galveston.
The bulletin was issued by Forecaster Beven at the National Hurricane Center.
