The National Hurricane Center in Miami released its second wind speed probability advisory for Tropical Depression Two on Sunday, July 19, 2026, at 9 p.m. Coordinated Universal Time.
According to the advisory, the center of the tropical depression was positioned near latitude 27.5 degrees North and longitude 85.0 degrees West at that time. The storm’s maximum sustained winds were clocking in at approximately 25 knots — that’s around 30 miles per hour or 45 kilometers per hour.
The Hurricane Center provided detailed probability tables showing the likelihood of sustained winds reaching tropical-storm force (34 knots / 39 mph), 50-knot (58 mph), and hurricane-force (64 knots / 74 mph) thresholds at dozens of specific locations along the Gulf Coast over the next five days.
Among the locations with notable cumulative probabilities for tropical-storm-force winds over the five-day period: Apalachicola showed a 19 percent cumulative chance, Panama City, Florida reached 22 percent, and a Gulf forecast area point near 29 degrees North and 87 degrees West showed a 47 percent cumulative probability — the highest in the table. Locations further west, including Buras, Louisiana at 18 percent, New Orleans at 12 percent, and Cameron, Louisiana at 21 percent, also carried measurable chances.
Further west along the Texas Gulf Coast, Galveston showed a 16 percent cumulative chance of tropical-storm-force winds, while Matagorda, Texas registered 13 percent. Corpus Christi and Rockport, Texas each carried a 3 percent cumulative probability.
Some locations also showed small but notable chances of 50-knot winds, including Cameron, Louisiana at 4 percent and Galveston, Texas at 3 percent. A handful of Gulf forecast area grid points showed probabilities for hurricane-force 64-knot winds, though those remained at or below 2 percent cumulatively.
The advisory was prepared by forecaster Cangialosi at the National Hurricane Center.
