The National Hurricane Center in Miami issued its second wind speed probability bulletin for Potential Tropical Cyclone One at 9 p.m. Coordinated Universal Time on Tuesday, June 16, 2026.
At the time of the advisory, the center of the system was located near latitude 27.3 degrees north and longitude 97.6 degrees west, placing it near the Texas Gulf Coast. Maximum sustained winds were recorded at approximately 25 knots — equivalent to 30 miles per hour or 45 kilometers per hour.
The bulletin outlines the probability of tropical storm-force winds of at least 34 knots (39 mph) reaching several Gulf Coast locations over the next five days. Among the locations with the highest cumulative chances of experiencing those wind speeds are Cameron, Louisiana, with a 21 percent cumulative probability, and Galveston, Texas, also showing a 20 percent cumulative probability.
Other locations listed in the advisory include Lafayette, Louisiana; New Iberia, Louisiana; Fort Polk, Louisiana; Lake Charles, Louisiana; Port Arthur, Texas; Freeport, Texas; High Island, Texas; Matagorda, Texas; and Port O’Connor, Texas. Cumulative wind speed probabilities at those locations ranged from 3 to 13 percent for tropical storm-force winds over the five-day period.
The bulletin did not show any significant probabilities for stronger winds of 50 knots or 64 knots at any of the listed locations.
The advisory was prepared by forecaster Blake at the National Hurricane Center.
