The National Hurricane Center in Miami issued its first forecast advisory Tuesday afternoon for Potential Tropical Cyclone One, a developing weather system that could pose a threat to portions of the Gulf Coast.
As of 3:00 p.m. UTC on Tuesday, June 16, 2026, the center of the disturbance was located near 27.0 degrees north latitude and 98.0 degrees west longitude, an area near the Texas-Mexico border region. The position is estimated to be accurate within 60 nautical miles.
The system is currently drifting toward the northeast at about 5 knots, or roughly 6 miles per hour. Maximum sustained winds are currently at 25 knots, with gusts reaching up to 35 knots. The minimum central pressure is estimated at 1007 millibars.
According to the forecast, the system is expected to strengthen into a tropical storm by the morning of June 17, with maximum sustained winds increasing to 35 knots and gusts up to 45 knots. The storm is forecast to continue tracking northeast toward the Louisiana and Texas coast.
By the afternoon of June 18, the system is expected to move inland, with winds weakening to 25 knots. Forecasters predict the storm will fully dissipate by June 19, 2026.
The National Hurricane Center has requested ship reports from vessels within 300 miles of the storm’s current position. The next full advisory was scheduled for 9:00 p.m. UTC Tuesday, with an intermediate advisory expected at 6:00 p.m. UTC. Forecaster Blake issued the advisory.
