KYIV, June 10 – A research organization is warning that Ukraine will experience electricity shortfalls and consumer blackouts during the upcoming summer season, even with energy imports and robust solar power generation, according to the DiXi Group think tank’s latest analysis.
Throughout the ongoing conflict, Russia has continuously targeted Ukraine’s electrical generation facilities and transmission infrastructure, causing extensive damage to thermal power stations and forcing the country to boost energy imports while implementing widespread consumer power cuts.
According to DiXi’s analysis, assuming mild weather conditions and no additional infrastructure damage, the electricity deficit could reach 0.7 gigawatts during peak usage periods, but this figure could climb to 2.4 GW if temperatures rise substantially.
The situation will be further complicated by scheduled maintenance work at nuclear facilities that serve as crucial components of the nation’s power grid.
“As average daily temperatures rise, hourly power cuts will be unavoidable, and a shortage could occur even at night, when demand is at its lowest,” the organization reported.
Should high temperatures combine with additional infrastructure damage, the deficit would surge to 6.2 GW compared to total demand of 15.8 GW, representing approximately 40% of power needs.
During the 2025-2026 winter period, when Russian missile strikes destroyed more than half of Ukraine’s electricity generation infrastructure, power outages in the capital Kyiv extended for 14 to 16 hours at a time.
