Trump Sets July 4 Deadline for EU Trade Deal; Gas Prices Surge 52% Since Iran Conflict

President Donald Trump has issued an ultimatum to the European Union, demanding the 27-nation alliance finalize last year’s trade agreement by July 4 or face increased tariff rates on their goods entering the United States.

The president’s Thursday social media declaration appears to extend a previous deadline after Trump announced last Friday that European automobiles would be subject to a 25% tariff beginning this week. The president has expressed frustration that the European Parliament has not yet completed the trade framework negotiated in the previous year. The situation became more complex in February when the Supreme Court determined Trump did not have legal authority to declare an economic emergency for imposing the original tariffs that pressured the EU into negotiations.

In related economic news, Americans with lower incomes are bearing the brunt of rising fuel costs following the Iran conflict, according to new research from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York released Wednesday. Despite significantly cutting back on gas purchases, these households still face higher expenses at gas stations, exacerbating economic disparities.

Wealthy Americans, conversely, increased their fuel spending while making minimal reductions to consumption patterns. Middle-class families experienced impacts somewhere between these extremes. Economists describe this phenomenon as contributing to the “K-shaped economy.”

AAA data shows regular gasoline prices have increased 31 cents over the past week, reaching an average of $4.54 per gallon Wednesday. This represents a 52% increase from pre-war levels. The primary driver of higher prices is oil tankers stranded near the Strait of Hormuz due to the conflict.

Oil prices dropped below $100 per barrel Wednesday amid renewed optimism for a peace agreement. While this could eventually reduce gas prices, energy analysts predict it will take several months for costs to return to pre-conflict levels.

The economic pressures are affecting major corporations as well. McDonald’s reported stronger-than-anticipated first-quarter sales but warned that elevated fuel costs and consumer concerns could impact spring sales. Chairman and CEO Chris Kempczinski noted progress in attracting lower-income customers through value meals and promotional pricing, while acknowledging gas prices will disproportionately affect this demographic.

The fast-food giant’s global same-store sales increased 3.8% during January through March, exceeding Wall Street projections. However, April saw declining same-store sales. Revenue climbed 9% to $6.52 billion in the first quarter, also surpassing analyst expectations.

Appliance manufacturer Whirlpool is also feeling economic strain, with the Iran conflict creating what the company calls a “recession-level industry decline” in America as consumer confidence plummeted in late February and March. The maker of KitchenAid, Maytag and Whirlpool brands has raised prices to stabilize its North American operations as Americans postpone major purchases. Revenue fell nearly 10% as major appliance sales in North America dropped more than 7%.

Despite broader economic challenges, the U.S. job market remains relatively stable. Weekly unemployment claims rose by 10,000 to 200,000 for the week ending May 2, according to Thursday’s Labor Department report. This figure came in below the 205,000 new applications economists had predicted and remains at historically low levels despite inflation and other economic pressures.

The previous week’s claims, representing the lowest figure since 1969, were adjusted upward by 1,000 to 190,000. Total Americans receiving unemployment benefits for the week ending April 25 decreased by 10,000 to 1.77 million.