The National Hurricane Center in Miami issued its first wind speed probability advisory for Potential Tropical Cyclone One at 3:00 p.m. Coordinated Universal Time on Tuesday, June 16, 2026.
At the time of the advisory, the center of the system was positioned near latitude 27.0 North, longitude 98.0 West. Maximum sustained winds were estimated at approximately 25 knots — equivalent to 30 miles per hour or 45 kilometers per hour.
The advisory, prepared by Forecaster Blake, outlines the probability of tropical-storm-force winds of at least 34 knots (39 mph), 50-knot winds (58 mph), and hurricane-force winds of 64 knots (74 mph) reaching various locations along the Gulf Coast over the next five days.
Among the locations with notable cumulative probabilities of experiencing at least tropical-storm-force winds are Cameron, Louisiana, with a 25 percent cumulative chance; Galveston, Texas, at 25 percent; and a Gulf forecast grid point near 28.0 North, 95.0 West, carrying a 37 percent cumulative probability — the highest listed in the advisory.
Other areas listed in the probability table include Baton Rouge, Lafayette, Alexandria, New Iberia, and Lake Charles in Louisiana, as well as Port Arthur, Freeport, High Island, Matagorda, Port O’Connor, and Rockport in Texas.
Residents and interests along the Gulf Coast are encouraged to monitor updates from the National Hurricane Center as the system continues to develop.
