Colombia Heads to Runoff: Leftist Senator vs. Right-Wing Outsider

BOGOTA — Colombian citizens are heading to the polls this Sunday to decide the country’s next president in a runoff election that pits a leftist senator against a right-wing lawyer and businessman making his first run for office.

The May first round failed to produce a clear winner, setting up a showdown between Senator Ivan Cepeda, who represents the left, and Abelardo De La Espriella, a political outsider from the right who has never previously held public office.

Cepeda, 63, is running on a platform that would extend the current administration’s agenda — including state pension payments for low-income Colombians, labor reforms backed by unions, continued peace negotiations with armed groups that have battled the government for decades, and a freeze on new oil exploration projects.

De La Espriella, 47, is offering a sharply different vision. He wants to end peace talks with armed groups and launch a sweeping military campaign against them, while also expanding Colombia’s oil and gas industry. He has blamed the current government for the country’s economic troubles and security problems, and has pledged to cut taxes and shrink the size of government by as much as 40%. However, he has said he would keep a 23% minimum wage increase and other well-received social programs put in place by the current administration.

No matter who wins, the new president will face serious challenges, including heavy public debt and a divided Congress that could block major reform efforts.

Polling and financial markets appear to lean toward De La Espriella, who led the first round with 43% of the vote, though analysts say the final outcome could be very close. Both candidates have worked hard to bring out voters — nearly half of all eligible Colombians sat out the May election.

LATIN AMERICA’S RIGHTWARD TURN

Colombia’s election is unfolding against a backdrop of political shifts across the region. Voters in Chile, Argentina, Costa Rica, and Ecuador have all chosen right-wing presidents in their most recent elections. Bolivia also broke with two decades of leftist leadership last year by electing center-right candidate Rodrigo Paz.

In Peru, vote counting is still underway from a June 7 election, with conservative Keiko Fujimori — daughter of former President Alberto Fujimori, who spent 16 years in prison for human rights violations — appearing set to claim the presidency after three previous unsuccessful bids.

Concerns about rising crime and sluggish economies have been the driving force behind most of these rightward shifts, including in Colombia.

Peace negotiations launched by the current Colombian government have largely fallen apart as armed factions have grown stronger and drug trafficking organizations have expanded, fueling increases in murders and extortion, particularly along the Caribbean coast.

De La Espriella has attempted to link Cepeda — whose father, a communist leader, was assassinated — to criminal elements, though the current government points out it has confiscated more cocaine than any previous administration. Cepeda has pushed back firmly, stating there is no factual basis for those claims.

Meanwhile, Cepeda has raised questions about De La Espriella’s legal career, noting that he has represented clients connected to right-wing paramilitary groups and corruption cases — including Alex Saab, who faces U.S. charges for allegedly laundering money on behalf of ousted Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro. De La Espriella has maintained that his professional work does not make him complicit in any wrongdoing.

U.S. President Donald Trump has been actively working to expand American influence throughout the region, including the arrest of Maduro, military strikes targeting alleged drug traffickers in the Caribbean, and the formation of a military coalition called the Shield of the Americas, made up of right-wing leaders committed to combating drug trafficking.

Trump, who has had a public falling-out with Colombia’s current president, came out this month with an explicit endorsement of De La Espriella.

“It is my Honor to give Abelardo my Complete and Total Endorsement,” Trump wrote on Truth Social, calling Sunday’s election “very important to the future of Colombia and its relationship to the United States.”

More than 41 million Colombians are eligible to participate in the vote. Polling locations will be open for eight hours beginning at 8 a.m. local time, or 1 p.m. GMT. Early results are anticipated within a few hours of polls closing.